Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
If you’re searching for a sharp Parnahyba vs Iguatu prediction ahead of the Serie D fixture on July 6th, you’re in the right place. Two sides with matching home-win and draw odds (2.8) meet at Estádio Municipal Pedro Alelaf, but the bookies give Iguatu a slight nod as away favorites at 2.55. With both teams evenly matched on paper, the question is: will Parnahyba make their home ground a fortress, or can Iguatu pull off another surprise, just as they did with their memorable 0-0 at Sousa back in April, defying 5.25 odds? Let’s dig into the stats, trends, and best betting tips for this intriguing Serie D encounter.
Serie D has a reputation for being one of Brazil’s most unpredictable leagues, but one thing is certain: draws are king. Historical data shows:
Given these numbers, it’s no surprise that the 1X market (Parnahyba win or draw) is priced at 1.44 with a 2.0 trust score. This bet offers a smart hedge, especially considering Parnahyba’s gritty 1-1 draw against River AC in March, where they defied 5.16 odds and proved they can punch above their weight at home. If you’re looking for value in your Parnahyba vs Iguatu prediction, the 1X market is hard to ignore.
Serie D is not exactly the land of free-flowing football and goal-fests. In fact, only 33.4% of matches see over 2.5 goals. NerdyTips’ AI is firmly in the under 2.5 goals camp, offering 1.4 odds and a 4.3/10 trust score. The expected scoreline? A nail-biting 1-0, with a 0-0 halftime—perfect for those who enjoy the suspense of a chess match rather than a goal bonanza.
Looking at recent head to head results and league form, neither side has established clear dominance. Iguatu’s ability to frustrate favorites away from home (remember that 0-0 at Sousa?) and Parnahyba’s resilience at Estádio Pedro Alelaf suggest a game where small margins make all the difference. The odds reflect this tension, with no overwhelming favorite and a strong statistical case for a draw or narrow home win.
So, what’s the smart play for bettors? Here’s our actionable advice for this Serie D fixture:
In summary, our Parnahyba vs Iguatu prediction leans towards a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win. Expect a tense, tactical battle where every set piece feels like a cup final—and where the real drama might just be whether the scoreboard operator gets to do any work at all. For those seeking value in Serie D betting tips, under 2.5 goals and the 1X market are your best friends.
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U2.5 -250
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2501X -227
Parnahyba to win or drawUnder 2.5 -250
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -167
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -130
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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0
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0
-
1
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 Iguatu |
10-May-25
3:0
| Parnahyba  |
Recent Matches of Parnahyba| 26 Jan | L |
Piaui.
|
1:0
| Parnahyba.
|
Recent Matches of Iguatu
| 31 Jan |  Fortaleza. |
- |
Iguatu. | |
| 27 Jan | D | Iguatu. |
1:1 |
Horizonte. |
| 22 Jan | D |  Floresta EC. |
1:1 |
Iguatu. |
Brazil - Serie D| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Altos | 14 | 22-14 | 26 |
| 2 |
Imperatriz | 14 | 17-15 | 24 |
| 3 |
Sampaio Correa | 14 | 17-11 | 21 |
| 4 |
Maranhão | 14 | 18-12 | 19 |
| 5 |
Iguatu | 14 | 15-15 | 18 |
| 6 |
Tocantinópoli | 14 | 11-17 | 15 |
| 7 |
Parnahyba | 14 | 16-22 | 14 |
| 8 |
Maracanã | 14 | 12-22 | 9 |
