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Match Prediction

Plymouth vs Luton Prediction

Finished
England flag England

Plymouth

€10.57m

24 Jan07:30
1 : 0

Luton

€36.85m

Preview

Plymouth vs Luton Prediction League One

Plymouth vs Luton Prediction: Stats, Odds & Smart Betting Tips

Welcome to our Plymouth vs Luton prediction for the League One fixture set for January 24, 2026, with kickoff at 12:30 GMT. While in-depth pre-match details like player updates, tactical tweaks, and injury news are not yet available—these will surface closer to matchday—we can still dive into the numbers, history, and betting odds to help you make informed choices. For the latest news, always check official club sites and trusted sports outlets as the date approaches.

Team Value, Recent History & Tactical Overview

When Plymouth and Luton meet, it’s more than just another League One fixture. The home side, valued at €10.57 million, faces a Luton squad worth a hefty €36.85 million. That financial gap hints at Luton's potential squad depth, but as we've seen in football, money doesn't always dictate results. In their last head to head on September 27, 2024, Plymouth surprised many with a 3-1 victory over Luton, despite being the underdogs according to the betting odds (3.68 for Plymouth, 1.93 for Luton).

Both teams have shown they can defy expectations. Plymouth’s shock away win over Wycombe in December 2025, with odds of 5.2, is a testament to their resilience. Luton, meanwhile, held Leeds to a 1-1 draw last April, despite being priced at 5.75 for the win. These results show that both clubs are capable of upsets, and that’s worth remembering when weighing up your Plymouth vs Luton prediction.

Expected Match Dynamics & Tactical Insights

  • Possession: Luton are forecasted to edge possession at 52% compared to Plymouth’s 48%, suggesting a fairly balanced midfield battle.
  • Total Shots: Plymouth are expected to take 14 shots (4 on target), while Luton may register 11 (3 on target). This hints at an open game with both sides looking to attack.
  • Corners: Plymouth are predicted to win 5 corners, with Luton likely to get 3, for a total of 8—an indicator of attacking intent from both teams.
  • Discipline: Expect a fairly clean game, with just 2 yellow cards for Plymouth and 1 for Luton.

Betting Odds & AI-Driven Predictions

Now, let’s turn to the numbers that matter for bettors. The 1x2 betting odds are tight: 2.6 for a Plymouth home win, 3.35 for a draw, and 2.67 for a Luton away win. The market sees this as a close contest, and so does our AI.

  • Recommended Bet: Over 1.5 total goals, with odds of 1.31 and a high trust level of 8.0/10. This suggests at least two goals will be scored—a logical pick given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
  • 1x2 Prediction: Plymouth to win, with odds of 2.6 and a moderate trust level of 1.7. The AI leans towards the home side, perhaps influenced by their strong recent head to head record.
  • Final Score Prediction: 3:2 in favor of Plymouth, with a 1:1 scoreline expected at halftime. This aligns well with the over 1.5 goals tip and suggests a lively second half.

Key Takeaways for Bettors

  1. Both teams have a history of upsets, so don’t be surprised by a dramatic swing.
  2. The over 1.5 goals market looks very solid, backed by both stats and AI confidence.
  3. Plymouth’s home advantage and recent head to head success make them a value pick at 2.6, but Luton's higher squad value and slight possession edge keep things interesting.

In summary, our Plymouth vs Luton prediction points to an entertaining, goal-filled encounter. The smart money is on over 1.5 total goals, but if you fancy a risk, Plymouth to win at home is worth considering. As always, check for the latest updates before kickoff and bet responsibly!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Plymouth didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Plymouth vs Luton

O1.5 -323

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -323
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 160

Plymouth is expected to win with odds of 160
1/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -323

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -137

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -110

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

1.29
xG
1.23
48%
Ball Possession
52%
14
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.25
Expected Goals
1.37
2.9
Total Goals
3.3
1.8
Goals Scored
1.9
1.1
Goals Against
1.4
50%
Possession
59%
13.5
Total Shots
12.6
4
Shots on Goal
4.3
4.6
Shots off Goal
5
12.4
Fouls
10.9
5.1
Corners
4.9
1.9
Offsides
1.4
2.5
Yellow Cards
1.29
320
Total Passes
456

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
9
4
Over 2.5 Goals
8
3
Over 3.5 Goals
5
5
Both Teams Scored
7
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Plymouth
4 - 3 - 4
Luton
Luton Luton 13-Sep-25
2:3
Plymouth Plymouth
Luton Luton 19-Feb-25
1:1
Plymouth Plymouth
Plymouth Plymouth 27-Sep-24
3:1
Luton Luton
Plymouth Plymouth 09-Mar-19
0:0
Luton Luton
Luton Luton 17-Nov-18
5:1
Plymouth Plymouth
Luton Luton 25-Feb-17
1:1
Plymouth Plymouth
Plymouth Plymouth 06-Aug-16
0:3
Luton Luton
Plymouth Plymouth 19-Mar-16
0:1
Luton Luton
Luton Luton 24-Oct-15
1:2
Plymouth Plymouth
Plymouth Plymouth 17-Jan-15
0:1
Luton Luton

Profile time Recent Matches of Plymouth

31 Jan Stockport Stockport.
-
Plymouth. Plymouth
24 JanW Plymouth Plymouth.
1:0
Luton. Luton
17 JanW Peterborough Peterborough.
0:1
Plymouth. Plymouth
13 JanW Bristol R Bristol R.
3:4
Plymouth. Plymouth
04 JanW Plymouth Plymouth.
3:0
Burton. Burton
01 JanD Stevenage Stevenage.
1:1
Plymouth. Plymouth
29 DecD Plymouth Plymouth.
1:1
Wycombe. Wycombe
26 DecL Plymouth Plymouth.
1:4
Reading. Reading
20 DecW Doncaster Doncaster.
1:5
Plymouth. Plymouth
13 DecW Plymouth Plymouth.
1:0
Rotherham. Rotherham

Profile time Recent Matches of Luton

24 JanLPlymouth Plymouth.
1:0
Luton.Luton
17 JanDLuton Luton.
2:2
Lincoln.Lincoln
13 JanLLuton Luton.
1:2
Swindon.Swindon
10 JanWLuton Luton.
2:1
Stevenage.Stevenage
01 JanLExeter Exeter.
1:0
Luton.Luton
29 DecWLuton Luton.
3:0
Leyton Orien.Leyton Orient
26 DecWLuton Luton.
4:0
Wycombe.Wycombe
18 DecLReading Reading.
3:2
Luton.Luton
13 DecDLuton Luton.
2:2
Port Vale.Port Vale
09 DecDLeyton Orient Leyton Orien.
1:1
Luton.Luton

England - League One England - League One

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Cardiff Cardiff27
46-27
56
2 Lincoln Lincoln27
44-29
52
3 Bolton Bolton28
35-26
46
4 Bradford Bradford26
35-28
46
5 Stockport County Stockport27
38-33
46
6 Huddersfield Huddersfield28
47-38
42
7 Luton Luton27
37-33
39
8 Stevenage Stevenage26
28-24
39
9 Peterborough Peterborough27
35-35
38
10 Exeter City Exeter City26
31-24
36
11 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town25
35-29
36
12 Wycombe Wycombe27
34-31
36
13 Reading Reading26
35-33
36
14 Plymouth Plymouth27
34-39
36
15 Barnsley Barnsley23
37-36
33
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient27
40-45
32
17 Blackpool Blackpool27
34-39
32
18 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon26
28-35
32
19 Wigan Wigan26
29-31
31
20 Burton Albion Burton Albion26
27-37
30
21 Northampton Northampton26
23-32
29
22 Doncaster Doncaster26
28-44
27
23 Rotherham Rotherham26
25-39
25
24 Port Vale Port Vale25
19-37
18
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