icon back

Match Prediction

Poblense vs Collerense Prediction

26 Apr16:30
3 : 0

Preview

Poblense vs Collerense Prediction Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

Poblense vs Collerense Prediction: Can the Underdogs Defy the Odds Again?

This weekend, Poblense vs Collerense prediction discussions are dominated by one glaring stat: the home side are heavy favorites, with win odds as low as 1.22. But football loves a twist, and Collerense’s recent stubborn resilience—like their 1-1 draw against Constancia as 8.0 underdogs—suggests this might not be a walk in the park. Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla sets the stage for a match where tactical discipline meets attacking intent, and NerdyTips’ AI insights hint at a controlled, low-scoring affair. Let’s break it down.

The Heavyweight vs The Spoiler

Poblense’s home form makes them the obvious pick. Their consistency at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla has been a cornerstone of their campaign, and the stats don’t lie: they’re expected to control possession and grind out a win. But Collerense, despite their underdog status (away win odds: 9.2), have shown they can frustrate better-equipped sides. Their recent away performance, where they parked the bus effectively, could force Poblense to work harder than the betting odds suggest.

Key Stats to Consider

  • Home dominance: Poblense have lost just once in their last 10 home matches.
  • Underdog grit: Collerense’s last away match saw them defy 8.0 odds with a disciplined 1-1 draw.
  • Low-scoring trend: NerdyTips’ AI favors under 3.5 goals (confidence: 1.4, odds: 1.47), aligning with a predicted 2-0 finish.

Tactical Battle: Patience vs Pragmatism

Poblense will likely dictate tempo, probing for gaps in Collerense’s compact shape. The visitors, meanwhile, will rely on quick counters and set-pieces—their only realistic path to an upset. The head to head history slightly favors Poblense, but football isn’t played on paper. If Collerense replicates their Constancia defensive effort, the home side’s fans might need to wait until the second half for breakthroughs (NerdyTips’ AI predicts 1-0 at halftime).

Where the Game Could Be Won

  1. Poblense’s midfield control: If they dominate possession early, Collerense’s resistance may crumble.
  2. Collerense’s set-piece threat: A well-delivered free-kick or corner could turn the sports betting market on its head.
  3. The mystery referee factor: A strict official could disrupt Poblense’s rhythm with tight foul calls.

Final Verdict: Trust the Odds or Expect a Surprise?

While the Poblense vs Collerense prediction leans heavily toward a home win, football’s charm lies in its unpredictability. Collerense’s underdog spirit and recent defensive grit make them a live outsider, but Poblense’s quality should prevail. NerdyTips’ AI projects a 2-0 victory, with under 3.5 goals as the smarter betting odds play. For neutrals, hope for chaos. For pragmatists, trust the data.

NerdyTips’ AI Quick Picks

  • Match winner: Poblense (confidence: 5.0/10, odds: 1.22)
  • Total goals: Under 3.5 (confidence: 1.4, odds: 1.47)
  • Half-time score: 1-0 to Poblense

Whether you’re analyzing the head to head stats or weighing sports betting value, this match offers intrigue beneath its lopsided surface. Tune in Saturday at 16:30 GMT—because even the surest bets can surprise.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Poblense vs Collerense

1 -455

Poblense is expected to win with odds of -455
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -455

Poblense is expected to win with odds of -455
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -213

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No -175

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -345

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Average / Match

1.5
Total Goals
2.7
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
0.3
Goals Against
1.5

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
3
3
Over 1.5 Goals
8
3
Over 2.5 Goals
5
0
Over 3.5 Goals
2
1
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Poblense
6 - 3 - 1
Collerense
Poblense Poblense 26-Apr-25
3:0
Collerense Collerense
Collerense Collerense 14-Dec-24
1:0
Poblense Poblense
Collerense Collerense 28-Mar-24
0:2
Poblense Poblense
Poblense Poblense 11-Nov-23
0:0
Collerense Collerense
Collerense Collerense 11-Mar-23
1:1
Poblense Poblense
Poblense Poblense 08-Nov-22
5:0
Collerense Collerense
Collerense Collerense 29-Jan-22
0:0
Poblense Poblense
Poblense Poblense 02-Oct-21
3:0
Collerense Collerense
Collerense Collerense 15-Feb-20
0:2
Poblense Poblense

Profile time Recent Matches of Poblense

24 JanW Poblense Poblense.
1:0
Barcelona B. Barcelona B

Profile time Recent Matches of Collerense

24 JanDBinissalem Binissalem.
0:0
Collerense.Collerense

Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 11

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Poblense Poblense34
47-17
72
2 Constància Constància34
55-31
67
3 Formentera Formentera34
68-34
66
4 Porreres Porreres34
51-32
62
5 Penya Independent Penya34
59-34
58
6 Platges Calvià Platges34
51-37
54
7 Manacor Manacor34
54-36
51
8 Alcúdia Alcúdia34
51-53
47
9 Binissalem Binissalem34
35-34
47
10 Llosetense Llosetense34
47-45
44
11 Santanyí Santanyí34
40-45
43
12 Mercadal Mercadal34
40-43
40
13 Felanitx Felanitx34
33-50
40
14 Collerense Collerense34
42-48
39
15 Portmany Portmany34
43-51
37
16 PE Sant Jordi PE Sant Jordi34
30-52
30
17 Campos Campos34
31-75
20
18 Migjorn Migjorn34
22-82
16
Video preview
You might also like:
Pisa vs Sassuolo Elche vs Barcelona Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches