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Match Prediction

PSV vs NAC Breda Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands

PSV

€275.00m

24 Jan14:00
2 : 2

NAC Breda

€15.85m

Preview

PSV vs NAC Breda Prediction Eredivisie

PSV vs NAC Breda Prediction: Goals Expected as Leaders Host Underdogs

The PSV vs NAC Breda prediction for January 24, 2026, is on everyone’s mind as the Eredivisie leaders welcome one of the league’s most determined underdogs to Philips Stadion. With PSV Eindhoven riding a wave of form and NAC Breda eager to pull off another surprise, this fixture has all the ingredients for a memorable Saturday evening. Let’s break down the teams, tactics, and betting odds, and see what our trusted AI tips have to say.

PSV: The Relentless Machine at Home

It’s hard to look past PSV Eindhoven’s dominance this season. With 52 points from 19 matches, Peter Bosz’s men have been almost untouchable, notching up 17 wins, just one draw, and a single defeat. Their attack is firing on all cylinders, having scored a remarkable 59 goals and conceding only 23. At home, the story gets even better: six straight wins in all competitions, and a habit of putting NAC Breda to the sword, winning three of their last four home meetings by at least two goals.

Bosz has instilled a flexible, high-intensity approach in his side, switching between 4-3-3 and 4-2-3-1 formations depending on the opponent. The high press and quick transitions have been key, with creative maestro Joey Veerman pulling the strings and Luuk de Jong in lethal form—eight goals in his last five appearances. PSV’s ambition is clear, with reports suggesting they’re even looking to add Wolves striker Hwang Hee-Chan to their already fearsome attack.

Team News and Injury Updates

  • Alassane Pléa (cartilage damage) – out until August 2026
  • Myron Boadu (knee injury) – expected back December 2025
  • Nick Olij (groin injury) – return date December 2025
  • Ricardo Pepi (forearm fracture) – out
  • Ruben van Bommel (knee injury) – return July 2026
  • Sergino Dest (minor knock) – day-to-day

Despite these absentees, PSV’s depth and €275 million squad value make them overwhelming favorites.

NAC Breda: Grit, Determination, and the Occasional Surprise

NAC Breda, valued at €15.85 million, are no strangers to adversity. While they may not match PSV in star power or budget, their recent results show plenty of heart. Holding Groningen to a 0:0 draw away (at odds of 5.3!) was a reminder that they can frustrate even stronger opponents. In their last head to head with PSV, they managed to score twice in a narrow 3:2 defeat—proof that they can find the net when it matters.

Expect Breda to set up defensively, aiming to hit on the counter and make the most of set pieces. But with PSV averaging 67% possession and predicting 18 shots to Breda’s 9, the visitors will need every ounce of discipline.

PSV vs NAC Breda Prediction: What Do the Numbers Say?

Let’s dive into the betting odds and our AI-backed tips for this PSV vs NAC Breda prediction:

  • Home Win: 1.4
  • Draw: 5.4
  • Away Win: 8.25

The numbers paint a clear picture: PSV are overwhelming favorites. Our AI model gives the home win (1x2) a trust level of 5.4/10, and the odds reflect the gulf in class. But for value hunters, the standout tip is PSV to win by at least two goals (H1), with a trust level of 5.4 and odds of 1.98—backed by PSV’s recent habit of comfortable home victories over Breda.

If you’re looking for goals, the over 2.5 market is also appealing. The AI predicts a 3:1 final score, with over 2.5 goals given a 4.9 confidence rating (odds 1.4). PSV’s attack is relentless, and NAC Breda have shown they can grab a consolation.

Key Match Stats and Head to Head Insights

  1. Expected possession: PSV 67%, NAC Breda 33%
  2. Expected shots: PSV 18, NAC Breda 9
  3. Expected shots on goal: PSV 7, NAC Breda 2
  4. Expected corners: PSV 7, NAC Breda 4
  5. Expected yellow cards: 1 each
  6. Last H2H: PSV 3-2 NAC Breda (January 2025)

The stats back up the PSV vs NAC Breda prediction for a home win with plenty of action, especially in the second half. PSV’s ability to control games and Breda’s knack for the occasional surprise could make for an entertaining contest, but the gulf in quality is tough to ignore.

Final Verdict: PSV vs NAC Breda Prediction and Best Bets

To sum up, all signs point to a comfortable PSV win. The smart money is on:

  • PSV -1.5 handicap (H1): PSV to win by at least two goals (odds 1.98, trust 5.4/10)
  • Over 2.5 total goals: Expect goals at both ends (odds 1.4, trust 4.9/10)
  • Correct score tip: 3:1 to PSV

If you’re feeling brave, a small flutter on NAC Breda to score might add some spice, but the PSV vs NAC Breda prediction is clear: the home side should cruise, but football is never short of surprises. After all, this is the Eredivisie—where even the biggest favorites can be caught napping!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

The odd of the best tip is highly increasing for unknown reasons. Avoid betting!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for PSV vs NAC Breda

H1 -102

H1
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 -250

PSV is expected to win with odds of -250
6/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -200

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -139

Both teams are expected to score
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

3:1

Stats Predictions

2.05
xG
0.7
67%
Ball Possession
33%
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots Off Goal
5
7
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.9
Expected Goals
1.06
4
Total Goals
2.2
2.7
Goals Scored
0.7
1.3
Goals Against
1.5
63%
Possession
56%
15.6
Total Shots
14.8
6.6
Shots on Goal
3.8
5.3
Shots off Goal
7.7
9.9
Fouls
9.9
7
Corners
7.3
1.9
Offsides
1.1
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.63
575
Total Passes
443

Overview Last 10 Matches

8
Wins
1
10
Over 1.5 Goals
4
9
Over 2.5 Goals
3
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

PSV
15 - 0 - 4
NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 22-Nov-25
0:1
PSV PSV
PSV PSV 25-Jan-25
3:2
NAC Breda NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 09-Nov-24
0:3
PSV PSV
PSV PSV 08-Feb-22
4:0
NAC Breda NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 23-Jan-20
2:0
PSV PSV
PSV PSV 09-Mar-19
2:0
NAC Breda NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 29-Sep-18
0:2
PSV PSV
PSV PSV 31-Mar-18
5:1
NAC Breda NAC Breda
NAC Breda NAC Breda 20-Aug-17
1:4
PSV PSV
NAC Breda NAC Breda 03-Feb-15
0:2
PSV PSV

Profile time Recent Matches of PSV

28 Jan PSV PSV.
-
Bayern Munic. Bayern Munich
24 JanD PSV PSV.
2:2
NAC Breda. NAC Breda
21 JanL Newcastle Newcastle.
3:0
PSV. PSV
17 JanW Sittard Sittard.
1:2
PSV. PSV
14 JanW Den Bosch Den Bosch.
1:4
PSV. PSV
10 JanW PSV PSV.
5:1
Excelsior. Excelsior
21 DecW Utrecht Utrecht.
1:2
PSV. PSV
16 DecW PSV PSV.
3:0
GVVV. GVVV
13 DecW PSV PSV.
4:3
Heracles. Heracles
09 DecL PSV PSV.
2:3
Atl. Madrid. Atl. Madrid

Profile time Recent Matches of NAC Breda

30 JanNAC Breda NAC Breda.
-
Twente.Twente
24 JanDPSV PSV.
2:2
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
17 JanLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
3:4
Nijmegen.Nijmegen
10 JanDGroningen Groningen.
0:0
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
20 DecLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
0:1
Telstar.Telstar
14 DecDNAC Breda NAC Breda.
1:1
Utrecht.Utrecht
07 DecLS. Rotterdam S. Rotterdam.
1:0
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
29 NovLExcelsior Excelsior.
1:0
NAC Breda.NAC Breda
22 NovLNAC Breda NAC Breda.
0:1
PSV.PSV
08 NovLFC Volendam FC Volendam.
2:1
NAC Breda.NAC Breda

Netherlands - Eredivisie Netherlands - Eredivisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven20
61-25
53
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord20
51-29
39
3 Ajax Ajax20
39-26
37
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen19
49-33
35
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar20
35-32
32
6 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta20
25-34
32
7 Groningen Groningen20
28-24
31
8 Twente Twente20
29-22
30
9 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna20
30-34
25
10 Heerenveen Heerenveen19
31-30
24
11 Utrecht Utrecht19
29-26
23
12 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle20
26-42
23
13 Excelsior Excelsior20
20-35
22
14 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead19
30-33
21
15 FC Volendam FC Volendam20
21-35
17
16 Telstar Telstar20
24-33
16
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda20
21-32
15
18 Heracles Heracles20
28-52
14
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