Real Madrid
€1.38bn
Betis
€219.80m
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O2.5 -213
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2131 -200
Real Madrid is expected to win with odds of -200Over 2.5 -213
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 132
At least one team is not expected to score1X&O2.5 -137
Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
1:0
3:0
Preview
Welcome to our Real Madrid vs Betis prediction, where we break down everything you need to know ahead of this La Liga encounter at the Santiago Bernabéu on January 4, 2026. Whether you’re a seasoned sports betting enthusiast or just here for some friendly football banter, we’ve got you covered with the latest betting odds, head to head stats, and smart tips to help you make informed decisions.
As the new year kicks off, both Real Madrid and Betis have plenty to play for. Madrid, currently second in La Liga with 42 points from 17 matches, are hot on Barcelona’s heels. Their home form is as strong as ever, boasting 9 wins in 11 games at the Bernabéu. Betis, meanwhile, are fighting to secure a European spot and have shown they can punch above their weight—just ask Barcelona, who were held to a draw by Betis last April.
But Madrid’s squad isn’t without its headaches. Kylian Mbappé, the man who’s scored 29 goals in 24 appearances, is out for at least three weeks with a knee sprain. Trent Alexander-Arnold and Dani Carvajal are also sidelined, though Carvajal might make a surprise return to regain match fitness. Eder Militao is facing a long recovery, and Brahim Diaz is away at the Africa Cup of Nations. On the bright side, Federico Valverde is expected back, and both David Alaba and Ferland Mendy have returned to training.
Here’s a quick look at the expected Real Madrid squad:
Betis, with a squad value of €219.80m compared to Madrid’s eye-watering €1.38bn, may look like underdogs on paper, but they’re no strangers to causing upsets. Their recent draw away at Barcelona is proof that they can frustrate even the biggest sides when it matters.
Tactically, expect Madrid to dominate possession (an estimated 71%), with Betis likely to play on the counter. Madrid are predicted to rack up 19 shots (6 on target), while Betis will have to make the most of their 8 attempts (2 on target). Corners should favor the home side 6 to 2, and discipline could be an issue for Betis, with three yellow cards expected compared to Madrid’s one.
Now, let’s dive into the Real Madrid vs Betis prediction from a sports betting perspective. The current betting odds paint a clear picture:
Madrid are clear favorites, and it’s easy to see why. Their recent head to head record is strong—Madrid won 2-0 in their last meeting in September 2024. The AI-driven prediction gives Madrid a 1x2 trust level of 4.8 out of 10 for the home win, which matches the odds of 1.5. But the real value, according to our analysis, is in the goals market.
With Madrid’s attacking firepower—even without Mbappé—and Betis’ willingness to play open football, over 2.5 goals looks like a smart play. The AI model gives this bet a high confidence rating, and the stats back it up: Madrid are expected to create plenty of chances, and Betis’ defense will be under pressure all afternoon.
If you’re feeling adventurous, a correct score bet on 3:0 could offer juicy returns, but for most punters, sticking with over 2.5 goals or a Madrid win in your accumulator is the sensible move. Remember, sports betting is about playing the percentages, and all the numbers point towards a comfortable home victory with goals on the menu.
To sum up our Real Madrid vs Betis prediction: Madrid are overwhelming favorites, and the stats suggest a dominant performance. Betis have shown they can be stubborn, but the gulf in squad value, home advantage, and recent form all favor Los Blancos. Over 2.5 goals is our top tip, with a Madrid win a close second. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the football—after all, that’s what it’s all about!
For more head to head stats, betting odds, and expert tips, keep checking back with NerdyTips. Good luck!
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14
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7
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5
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Betis |
01-Mar-25
2:1
| Real Madrid ![]() |
Real Madrid |
01-Sep-24
2:0
| Betis ![]() |
Real Madrid |
25-May-24
0:0
| Betis ![]() |
Betis |
09-Dec-23
1:1
| Real Madrid ![]() |
Betis |
05-Mar-23
0:0
| Real Madrid ![]() |
Real Madrid |
03-Sep-22
2:1
| Betis ![]() |
Real Madrid |
20-May-22
0:0
| Betis ![]() |
Betis |
28-Aug-21
0:1
| Real Madrid ![]() |
Real Madrid |
24-Apr-21
0:0
| Betis ![]() |
| 20 Dec | W |
Real Madrid.
|
2:0
| Sevilla.
|
| 17 Dec | W |
CF Talavera.
|
2:3
| Real Madrid.
|
| 14 Dec | W |
Alaves.
|
1:2
| Real Madrid.
|
| 10 Dec | L |
Real Madrid.
|
1:2
| Man. City.
|
| 07 Dec | L |
Real Madrid.
|
0:2
| Celta Vigo.
|
| 03 Dec | W |
Ath Bilbao.
|
0:3
| Real Madrid.
|
| 30 Nov | D |
Girona.
|
1:1
| Real Madrid.
|
| 26 Nov | W |
Olympiakos.
|
3:4
| Real Madrid.
|
| 23 Nov | D |
Elche.
|
2:2
| Real Madrid.
|
| 09 Nov | D |
Vallecano.
|
0:0
| Real Madrid.
|
| 21 Dec | W | Betis. |
4:0 |
Getafe.![]() |
| 18 Dec | W | Murcia. |
0:2 |
Betis.![]() |
| 15 Dec | D | Vallecano. |
0:0 |
Betis.![]() |
| 11 Dec | W | Din. Zagreb. |
1:3 |
Betis.![]() |
| 06 Dec | L | Betis. |
3:5 |
Barcelona.![]() |
| 03 Dec | W | Torrent. |
1:4 |
Betis.![]() |
| 30 Nov | W | Sevilla. |
0:2 |
Betis.![]() |
| 27 Nov | W | Betis. |
2:1 |
Utrecht.![]() |
| 23 Nov | D | Betis. |
1:1 |
Girona.![]() |
| 09 Nov | D | Valencia. |
1:1 |
Betis.![]() |
Spain - La Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona | 18 | 51-20 | 46 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid | 18 | 36-16 | 42 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madri | 18 | 33-16 | 37 |
| 4 |
Villarreal | 16 | 31-15 | 35 |
| 5 |
Espanyol | 17 | 22-17 | 33 |
| 6 |
Real Betis | 17 | 29-19 | 28 |
| 7 |
Celta Vigo | 17 | 20-19 | 23 |
| 8 |
Athletic Club | 18 | 16-24 | 23 |
| 9 |
Elche | 17 | 23-20 | 22 |
| 10 |
Sevilla | 17 | 24-26 | 20 |
| 11 |
Getafe | 17 | 13-22 | 20 |
| 12 |
Osasuna | 17 | 17-20 | 18 |
| 13 |
Mallorca | 17 | 19-24 | 18 |
| 14 |
Alaves | 17 | 14-20 | 18 |
| 15 |
Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 13-20 | 18 |
| 16 |
Real Sociedad | 17 | 21-25 | 17 |
| 17 |
Valencia | 17 | 16-26 | 16 |
| 18 |
Girona | 17 | 15-33 | 15 |
| 19 |
Oviedo | 17 | 7-26 | 11 |
| 20 |
Levante | 16 | 17-29 | 10 |