Preview
Welcome to our Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction for the Primeira Liga match scheduled on January 17, 2026, at 20:30 GMT. If you’re looking for a smart, easy-to-understand sports betting preview with the latest betting odds, team news, and head to head stats, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down everything you need to know before placing your bets on this intriguing fixture.
Benfica, sitting comfortably in third place with 39 points, are the clear favorites heading into this match. They remain unbeaten in the league after 17 games, with 11 wins and 6 draws. Their defense is rock solid, having conceded just 11 goals—the second-best record in the Primeira Liga. On the other side, Rio Ave are in 10th place with 20 points, showing inconsistency with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. Their home form is a bit wobbly, with only 2 wins from 8 games at Estádio do Rio Ave F.C.
Benfica’s attacking threat is spearheaded by Greek forward Vangelis Pavlidis, who has already netted 17 times this season. With an average team rating of 7.00 and a squad value of €350.50m (compared to Rio Ave’s €42.58m), the visitors have quality and depth on their side.
Looking at the head to head record, Benfica have dominated this fixture. Rio Ave have never beaten Benfica in the Primeira Liga. In their last five meetings, Benfica have won three times, with two draws. The most recent match ended 1-1, showing that Rio Ave can sometimes frustrate the Lisbon giants. Notably, back in September 2025, Rio Ave managed a surprise 1-1 draw away at Benfica, defying the betting odds of 27.0 for a win!
Both teams have their share of absentees. Rio Ave are missing key defenders O. Richards and E. da Silva Moreira, while midfielder T. Bakoulas is out until March. Benfica have a longer injury list, with several midfielders and forwards unavailable, but crucially, Nicolás Otamendi is back from suspension and ready to marshal the defense.
Let’s get to the heart of our Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction. The current betting odds are:
Our AI-driven prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair, with under 3.5 goals as the top betting option (odds 1.52, trust level 1.8/10). The predicted final score is a rather surprising 0:0, with both teams expected to be cautious and Benfica controlling the tempo. First half? Also 0:0, so don’t expect fireworks early on.
Statistically, Benfica are expected to take 16 shots (5 on target) to Rio Ave’s 4 (1 on target), with corners predicted at 6-1 in favor of the visitors. Rio Ave might pick up 3 yellow cards, while Benfica are expected to keep their cool.
While the betting odds heavily favor Benfica, recent head to head results suggest Rio Ave can be stubborn, especially at home. However, with Mourinho’s men unbeaten and in control, it’s hard to look past an away win. Still, the under 3.5 goals market looks appealing given both teams’ recent defensive focus and the predicted low shot conversion.
That wraps up our Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out, remember: football is full of surprises, and sometimes the stats only tell half the story. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as Mourinho’s tactics!
Welcome to our Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction for the Primeira Liga match scheduled on January 17, 2026, at 20:30 GMT. If you’re looking for a smart, easy-to-understand sports betting preview with the latest betting odds, team news, and head to head stats, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down everything you need to know before placing your bets on this intriguing fixture.
Benfica, sitting comfortably in third place with 39 points, are the clear favorites heading into this match. They remain unbeaten in the league after 17 games, with 11 wins and 6 draws. Their defense is rock solid, having conceded just 11 goals—the second-best record in the Primeira Liga. On the other side, Rio Ave are in 10th place with 20 points, showing inconsistency with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. Their home form is a bit wobbly, with only 2 wins from 8 games at Estádio do Rio Ave F.C.
Benfica’s attacking threat is spearheaded by Greek forward Vangelis Pavlidis, who has already netted 17 times this season. With an average team rating of 7.00 and a squad value of €350.50m (compared to Rio Ave’s €42.58m), the visitors have quality and depth on their side.
Looking at the head to head record, Benfica have dominated this fixture. Rio Ave have never beaten Benfica in the Primeira Liga. In their last five meetings, Benfica have won three times, with two draws. The most recent match ended 1-1, showing that Rio Ave can sometimes frustrate the Lisbon giants. Notably, back in September 2025, Rio Ave managed a surprise 1-1 draw away at Benfica, defying the betting odds of 27.0 for a win!
Both teams have their share of absentees. Rio Ave are missing key defenders O. Richards and E. da Silva Moreira, while midfielder T. Bakoulas is out until March. Benfica have a longer injury list, with several midfielders and forwards unavailable, but crucially, Nicolás Otamendi is back from suspension and ready to marshal the defense.
Let’s get to the heart of our Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction. The current betting odds are:
Our AI-driven prediction leans towards a low-scoring affair, with under 3.5 goals as the top betting option (odds 1.52, trust level 1.8/10). The predicted final score is a rather surprising 0:0, with both teams expected to be cautious and Benfica controlling the tempo. First half? Also 0:0, so don’t expect fireworks early on.
Statistically, Benfica are expected to take 16 shots (5 on target) to Rio Ave’s 4 (1 on target), with corners predicted at 6-1 in favor of the visitors. Rio Ave might pick up 3 yellow cards, while Benfica are expected to keep their cool.
While the betting odds heavily favor Benfica, recent head to head results suggest Rio Ave can be stubborn, especially at home. However, with Mourinho’s men unbeaten and in control, it’s hard to look past an away win. Still, the under 3.5 goals market looks appealing given both teams’ recent defensive focus and the predicted low shot conversion.
That wraps up our Rio Ave vs Benfica prediction. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out, remember: football is full of surprises, and sometimes the stats only tell half the story. Good luck, and may your bets be as sharp as Mourinho’s tactics!
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Benfica has upcoming match in Europe
U3.5 -192
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1921X 245
Rio Ave to win or drawUnder 3.5 -192
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -133
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U5.5 280
Home win/draw and under 5.5 goals
0:0
0:0
|
2
-
4
-
25
|
|
Benfica |
23-Sep-25
1:1
| Rio Ave ![]() |
Rio Ave |
16-Mar-25
2:3
| Benfica ![]() |
Benfica |
27-Oct-24
5:0
| Rio Ave ![]() |
Rio Ave |
17-May-24
1:1
| Benfica ![]() |
Benfica |
14-Jan-24
4:1
| Rio Ave ![]() |
Rio Ave |
02-Apr-23
0:1
| Benfica ![]() |
Benfica |
08-Oct-22
4:2
| Rio Ave ![]() |
Benfica |
01-Mar-21
2:0
| Rio Ave ![]() |
Rio Ave |
18-Oct-20
0:3
| Benfica ![]() |
Rio Ave |
17-Jun-20
1:2
| Benfica ![]() |
| 31 Jan |
Rio Ave.
|
-
| Arouca.
| |
| 25 Jan | L |
Nacional.
|
4:0
| Rio Ave.
|
| 17 Jan | L |
Rio Ave.
|
0:2
| Benfica.
|
| 04 Jan | W |
Rio Ave.
|
3:1
| Casa Pia.
|
| 28 Dec | L |
Sporting CP.
|
4:0
| Rio Ave.
|
| 20 Dec | D |
Gil Vicente.
|
2:2
| Rio Ave.
|
| 13 Dec | L |
Rio Ave.
|
0:1
| Guimaraes.
|
| 06 Dec | W |
AFS.
|
1:2
| Rio Ave.
|
| 30 Nov | D |
Rio Ave.
|
1:1
| Santa Clara.
|
| 08 Nov | D |
Alverca.
|
1:1
| Rio Ave.
|
| 28 Jan | Benfica. |
- |
Real Madrid.![]() | |
| 25 Jan | W | Benfica. |
4:0 |
Estrela.![]() |
| 21 Jan | L | Juventus. |
2:0 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 17 Jan | W | Rio Ave. |
0:2 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 14 Jan | L | FC Porto. |
1:0 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 07 Jan | L | Benfica. |
1:3 |
Braga.![]() |
| 03 Jan | W | Benfica. |
3:1 |
Estoril.![]() |
| 28 Dec | D | Braga. |
2:2 |
Benfica.![]() |
| 22 Dec | W | Benfica. |
1:0 |
Famalicao.![]() |
| 17 Dec | W | SC Farense. |
0:2 |
Benfica.![]() |
Portugal - Primeira Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto | 19 | 40-4 | 55 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP | 19 | 52-10 | 48 |
| 3 |
Benfica | 19 | 42-11 | 45 |
| 4 |
SC Braga | 19 | 37-18 | 33 |
| 5 |
GIL Vicente | 19 | 24-16 | 31 |
| 6 |
Moreirense | 19 | 26-26 | 30 |
| 7 |
Famalicao | 19 | 24-14 | 29 |
| 8 |
Estoril | 19 | 37-31 | 26 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes | 19 | 20-27 | 25 |
| 10 |
Alverca | 19 | 19-33 | 23 |
| 11 |
Nacional | 19 | 26-28 | 20 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave | 19 | 22-35 | 20 |
| 13 |
Estrela | 19 | 23-36 | 19 |
| 14 |
Santa Clara | 19 | 14-21 | 17 |
| 15 |
Arouca | 19 | 20-44 | 17 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia | 19 | 20-38 | 15 |
| 17 |
Tondela | 19 | 12-33 | 12 |
| 18 |
AVS | 19 | 14-47 | 5 |