Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
Welcome to our Rotherham vs Northampton prediction, where we break down everything you need to know before these two League One sides meet on January 27, 2026, at 19:45 GMT. Both teams are desperate for points, and with sports betting fans eyeing the latest betting odds, this is a fixture you won’t want to miss. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just love a good football story, we’ve got you covered with a human touch, easy-to-read insights, and a bit of football humor—because let’s face it, when you’re 23rd and 21st in League One, you need to laugh sometimes.
Let’s set the scene: Rotherham United (the Millers, but we’ll keep it simple) are currently 23rd in League One, with just 24 points from 25 matches. It’s been a rough winter—five straight defeats, no goals scored, and a home record that’s as balanced as a seesaw: 4 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses, and 15 goals scored in 12 home games. Northampton Town (let’s call them Northampton) are only slightly better off in 21st with 29 points from 24 matches. They’ve also been struggling, with just one win in their last five and only two goals scored in that stretch. For Northampton, failing to score in three consecutive matches is a new low since August.
Head to head, Rotherham have the psychological edge—winning the last five meetings, including a 3-0 thumping back in December 2024 and a dramatic 2-1 away win in October 2.14, thanks to a last-gasp free-kick from Josh Benson. In their last 20 encounters, Rotherham have won 10, Northampton 5, with 5 draws. The Millers have scored 11 to the Cobblers’ 1 in the last five meetings—no wonder Northampton fans might be feeling a bit superstitious.
For Rotherham, Sam Nombe is the main man up front—6 goals in 10 games this season, though he’s been dealing with injuries. Josh Benson is another to watch, especially after his heroics last time out against Northampton. Cameron Dawson is expected in goal, with the likes of Zak Jules, Kian Spence, and Martin Sherif likely to feature. Injuries could play a part, with Sean Raggett out long-term.
Northampton’s top scorer is Cameron McGeehan (4 goals in 16 games), but most of those have come from midfield. Sam Hoskins is always a threat—he scored his 100th goal for the club via penalty against Rotherham in October. They’ll need more from their forwards, though, as recent games have shown a lack of cutting edge.
Managers Matthew Hamshaw (Rotherham) and Kevin Nolan (Northampton) both know the stakes—this is a classic six-pointer in the relegation battle. Expect both to set up with energy, but maybe not too much risk given their recent struggles in front of goal.
Now, let’s get into what every sports betting fan wants: the numbers. The latest betting odds have Rotherham as slight favorites at 2.14 for the home win, with the draw at 3.25 and Northampton at 3.65. The 1x2 prediction from our AI is a home win (1), with a trust rating of 3.1 and odds of 2.145. It’s not the most confident call—think of it as a cautious thumbs-up rather than a fist pump.
Our AI’s best tip for this match is over 1.5 goals (at least two goals in the game), with a confidence rating of 5.2/10 and odds of 1.42. That’s not a guarantee of fireworks, but given both teams’ defensive frailties and the desperation for points, it’s a sensible shout. The expected final score? A nervy 2-1 to Rotherham, with a 0-0 at half-time—so maybe wait until the second half before putting the kettle on.
This Rotherham vs Northampton prediction is all about context—two struggling sides, both in desperate need of a win, and recent form that suggests nerves might outweigh quality. Rotherham’s historical dominance in the head to head, their slightly higher market value, and home advantage tilt the odds in their favor, but don’t expect a goal fest. Both teams are short on confidence, so early goals may be at a premium.
For sports betting fans, the over 1.5 goals tip looks sensible, but don’t be surprised if it takes a while to get going. The betting odds reflect the tightness of this fixture, and while our AI prediction leans towards a home win, it’s hardly a banker. In matches like these, sometimes the best bet is to keep your stake sensible and your expectations realistic.
Whatever happens, this Rotherham vs Northampton prediction should help you make sense of the numbers, the tactics, and the storylines. Good luck, and may your bets be as successful as a last-minute free-kick!
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O1.5 -238
At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2381 114
Rotherham is expected to win with odds of 114Over 1.5 -238
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes 100
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -127
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
0:0
2:1
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6
-
2
-
1
|
|
 Northampton |
11-Oct-25
1:2
| Rotherham  |
| Northampton |
01-Apr-25
0:2
| Rotherham |
| Rotherham |
14-Dec-24
3:0
| Northampton |
| Northampton |
17-Mar-18
0:3
| Rotherham |
| Rotherham |
30-Sep-17
1:0
| Northampton |
| Rotherham |
02-Feb-13
3:1
| Northampton |
| Northampton |
21-Aug-12
2:1
| Rotherham |
| Rotherham |
05-May-12
1:1
| Northampton |
| Northampton |
29-Oct-11
1:1
| Rotherham |
Recent Matches of Rotherham| 27 Jan | W |
Rotherham.
|
2:1
| Northampton.
|
| 24 Jan | D |
Rotherham.
|
1:1
| AFC Wimbledo.
|
| 17 Jan | L |
Stockport.
|
3:2
| Rotherham.
|
| 13 Jan | L |
Huddersfield.
|
3:0
| Rotherham.
|
| 01 Jan | L |
Rotherham.
|
0:2
| Peterborough.
|
| 29 Dec | L |
Blackpool.
|
4:0
| Rotherham.
|
| 26 Dec | L |
Bolton.
|
1:0
| Rotherham.
|
| 20 Dec | L |
Rotherham.
|
1:3
| Huddersfield.
|
| 13 Dec | L |
Plymouth.
|
1:0
| Rotherham.
|
| 10 Dec | L |
Rotherham.
|
0:3
| Blackpool.
|
Recent Matches of Northampton
| 27 Jan | L | Rotherham. |
2:1 |
Northampton. |
| 24 Jan | L |  Blackpool. |
2:0 |
Northampton. |
| 17 Jan | L | Northampton. |
1:2 |
Wycombe. |
| 14 Jan | W | Northampton. |
4:2 |
Walsall. |
| 04 Jan | D |  Bolton. |
0:0 |
Northampton. |
| 01 Jan | D | Northampton. |
0:0 |
Stockport. |
| 29 Dec | L |  Huddersfield. |
2:0 |
Northampton. |
| 26 Dec | L |  Burton. |
5:1 |
Northampton. |
| 19 Dec | W | Northampton. |
3:1 |
AFC Wimbledo. |
| 13 Dec | L |  Peterborough. |
2:1 |
Northampton. |
England - League One| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Cardiff | 27 | 46-27 | 56 |
| 2 |
Lincoln | 27 | 44-29 | 52 |
| 3 |
Bolton | 28 | 35-26 | 46 |
| 4 |
Bradford | 26 | 35-28 | 46 |
| 5 |
Stockport | 27 | 38-33 | 46 |
| 6 |
Huddersfield | 28 | 47-38 | 42 |
| 7 |
Luton | 27 | 37-33 | 39 |
| 8 |
Stevenage | 26 | 28-24 | 39 |
| 9 |
Peterborough | 27 | 35-35 | 38 |
| 10 |
Exeter City | 26 | 31-24 | 36 |
| 11 |
Mansfield Town | 25 | 35-29 | 36 |
| 12 |
Wycombe | 27 | 34-31 | 36 |
| 13 |
Reading | 26 | 35-33 | 36 |
| 14 |
Plymouth | 27 | 34-39 | 36 |
| 15 |
Barnsley | 23 | 37-36 | 33 |
| 16 |
Leyton Orient | 27 | 40-45 | 32 |
| 17 |
Blackpool | 27 | 34-39 | 32 |
| 18 |
AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 28-35 | 32 |
| 19 |
Wigan | 26 | 29-31 | 31 |
| 20 |
Burton Albion | 26 | 27-37 | 30 |
| 21 |
Northampton | 26 | 23-32 | 29 |
| 22 |
Doncaster | 26 | 28-44 | 27 |
| 23 |
Rotherham | 26 | 25-39 | 25 |
| 24 |
Port Vale | 25 | 19-37 | 18 |
