Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction

Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction: Expert Preview, Stats & Betting Tips

The stage is set for one of the most intriguing fixtures in the Erovnuli Liga calendar: Saburtalo vs Gagra prediction is on everyone’s mind as these two sides prepare to lock horns at the Mikheil Meskhis sakhelobis Stadioni, with kick-off scheduled for 17:00 GMT on May 29, 2025. With the referee still to be announced, all eyes turn to the numbers, the odds, and the stories that make this match a must-watch for football fans and sports betting enthusiasts alike.

Setting the Scene: Market Values, Odds, and What’s at Stake

Let’s start with the basics. Saburtalo come into this game with a market value of €4.88m, more than double Gagra’s €2.19m. That financial muscle is reflected in the betting odds: a home win sits at 1.33, a draw at 4.4, and a Gagra win at a distant 8.5. The numbers paint a picture of Saburtalo as clear favourites, but if football was predictable, we’d all be rich by now (and probably a bit bored).

• Home win odds: 1.33


• Draw odds: 4.4


• Away win odds: 8.5


• Saburtalo market value: €4.88m


• Gagra market value: €2.19m

But before you rush to back the favourites, let’s dig into the league’s home win rate of just 41.7%. That’s not as high as you might expect, especially when you consider the away win rate (29.9%) and draw rate (28.4%). The odds may be stacked in Saburtalo’s favour, but history reminds us: upsets are always lurking.

Head to Head: Past Meetings and Surprising Results

Recent head to head stats add a twist to the Saburtalo vs Gagra prediction. Their last meeting on 2024-09-26 ended in a 1:1 draw, with Saburtalo heavily favoured at 1.4 and Gagra the clear outsiders at 8.5. Yet, Gagra defied the odds, holding their own against the more fancied side. It’s not the first time either team has upset the script: Saburtalo managed a gutsy 2:2 draw as 5.6 underdogs away to Dinamo Batumi on 2022-03-13, while Gagra have made a habit of frustrating bigger clubs, including their 1:1 draw as 8.5 outsiders against Saburtalo.

• Last meeting: 1:1 draw (2024-09-26)


• Saburtalo odds then: 1.4


• Gagra odds then: 8.5

These results show that while the betting odds and market values suggest a clear winner, football’s unpredictability is part of its magic. That’s why smart punters look beyond the surface.

Saburtalo vs Gagra Prediction: Goals, Trends, and Betting Insights

Let’s talk goals—because, after all, that’s what the game is about (unless you’re a defender, in which case, apologies). NerdyTips’ AI-driven recommendations are pointing firmly towards a low-scoring affair:

• Under 3.5 goals: Trust level 8.5/10, odds 1.33


• Home win most probable 1x2 outcome: Confidence 4.2, odds 1.33


• Under 3.5 goals in under/over market: Confidence 6.3, odds 1.33

Why the caution? The stats tell the story:

1. Only 27.0% of Erovnuli Liga matches see more than 3.5 goals—so the under 3.5 tip looks solid.


2. Both teams score in just 48.4% of matches, suggesting a cagey contest is likely.


3. While 71.4% of games go over 1.33 goals, only half (50.1%) break the 2.5 barrier, reinforcing the expectation of a tight, tactical battle.

NerdyTips’ final score prediction? A narrow 1:0 win for Saburtalo, with a 0:0 half-time score. This fits perfectly with the statistical trends and the betting odds, offering value for those who like their sports betting with a side of logic.

Final Thoughts: What to Watch For

So, what does all this mean for your Saburtalo vs Gagra prediction? Here’s the bottom line:

• Saburtalo are the favourites, but Gagra’s history of defying the odds means nothing is guaranteed.


• The stats and expert analysis point to a low-scoring, hard-fought encounter—under 3.5 goals is the smart play.


• With a predicted final score of 1:0, expect a tense, tactical battle rather than a goal-fest.

In the world of football and sports betting, surprises are always possible—but with the right stats and a bit of expert insight, you can give yourself the best shot at beating the odds. Just don’t blame us if the referee (once announced) decides to steal the show!

For those seeking the best Saburtalo vs Gagra prediction, the numbers, trends, and head to head history all point in one direction: a narrow Saburtalo win, with goals at a premium. Enjoy the match—may your bets be as well-informed as your banter!