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Match Prediction

San Lorenzo vs Dep. Riestra Prediction

Finished

San Lorenzo

€35.08m

31 Oct17:00
1 : 0

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San Lorenzo vs Dep. Riestra Prediction Liga Profesional Argentina

San Lorenzo vs Dep. Riestra Prediction: Stats, Tips & Storylines

Welcome to your essential San Lorenzo vs Dep. Riestra prediction, brought to you by the NerdyTips publishers. With kickoff set for 22.00 GMT on October 31, 2025, at the iconic Pedro Bidegain stadium, this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture promises a tactical chess match—and perhaps a few surprises. If you’re hunting for smart betting tips, head-to-head insights, and a friendly dose of football storytelling, you’re in the right place.

Head-to-Head, Recent Form & What’s at Stake

Let’s start with the numbers that matter. Since 2024, these two Buenos Aires neighbors have met twice, with Dep. Riestra holding the upper hand: one win and a draw, while San Lorenzo are still searching for their first victory against their less-heralded rivals. Their most recent encounter in April 2025 ended goalless, echoing the tight, low-scoring nature of their meetings. Dep. Riestra’s only win came in May 2024, a 1-0 result that set the tone for a budding rivalry.

Form-wise, both teams have had their ups and downs. San Lorenzo, affectionately known as “El Ciclón,” have posted two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five outings, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against per match. Dep. Riestra, meanwhile, top the Clausura standings with 23 points from 11 games and have shown impressive consistency: two wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last five, with a slightly better goal return.

  • San Lorenzo: 6th in the league, 16 points from 12 games
  • Dep. Riestra: 1st place, 23 points from 11 games
  • Recent San Lorenzo highlight: Drew 0-0 at River Plate in July as big underdogs
  • Recent Dep. Riestra highlight: Shock 2-1 away win over River Plate in September

Tactics, Style, and Players to Watch

Both teams tend to keep things tight at the back. Dep. Riestra, in particular, are known for a pragmatic and sometimes uncomfortable style that frustrates opponents and delivers results. Matches between these sides rarely feature fireworks—under 2.5 goals has been a common theme, with San Lorenzo’s last three at home and four of Dep. Riestra’s last six away games staying under this mark.

  1. San Lorenzo’s key man: Alexis Cuello (4 goals, 2 assists)
  2. Dep. Riestra’s danger man: Jonathan Herrera (6 goals, 1 assist)
  3. Top performers: Nicolás Tripichio (Dep. Riestra) and Alexander Díaz (San Lorenzo)

With Copa Libertadores qualification on the line (Dep. Riestra currently sit in a qualifying spot, San Lorenzo trailing), there’s more than just local pride at stake. And for trivia lovers: Dep. Riestra’s stadium is a stone’s throw from San Lorenzo’s, built on land ceded by El Ciclón—a unique twist in their shared history.

Betting Tips, Odds, and Our AI Prediction

Now for the part you’ve been waiting for: the San Lorenzo vs Dep. Riestra prediction from our AI, along with the best betting tips and odds.

  • Home win odds: 2.0
  • Draw odds: 2.73
  • Away win odds: 4.8

Our AI’s top tip? HS (Home team will score), with a trust rating of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.44. This looks like a safe bet, given San Lorenzo’s projected dominance in possession (69%) and expected 14 shots, with 4 likely to hit the target. Dep. Riestra are expected to muster 7 shots and 2 on target—enough to keep things interesting but perhaps not enough to break through.

  1. 1X2 Prediction: Home win (San Lorenzo) with a trust level of 8.0/10 and odds of 2.0
  2. Under/Over 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5, confidence 7.0/10, odds 1.44
  3. Predicted final score: 1-0 to San Lorenzo
  4. Half-time prediction: 0-0

Expect a match shaped by San Lorenzo’s technical superiority (squad value: €35.08m vs. Dep. Riestra’s €7.99m), but don’t rule out a stubborn defensive effort from the visitors. Our head to head analysis, betting tips, and predictions all point to a narrow home win—think patience, not pyrotechnics. Yellow cards? Probably a few: 2 for the hosts, 3 for the visitors, and seven corners in total (5-2 split).

Final Thoughts: Smart Bets and Storylines

To sum up our San Lorenzo vs Dep. Riestra prediction: expect a tactical battle with San Lorenzo edging it, but not by much. Back the home side to score, consider the under 2.5 goals market, and enjoy a contest where every inch of the pitch matters. For those chasing value, the home win at 2.0 looks like the pick of the bunch. Keep it nerdy, keep it smart—and may your bets be as well-placed as San Lorenzo’s passes.

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AI Predictions
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Derby match

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for San Lorenzo vs Dep. Riestra

HS -227

San Lorenzo is expected to score at least 1 goal with odds of -227
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 100

San Lorenzo is expected to win with odds of 100
8/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -417

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

No -303

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -278

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
9/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

69%
Ball Possession
31%
14
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
1
5
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.3
Expected Goals
0.91
1.8
Total Goals
2
0.9
Goals Scored
1.4
0.9
Goals Against
0.6
49%
Possession
29%
13.1
Total Shots
8.6
4
Shots on Goal
3.4
6.2
Shots off Goal
2.9
13.9
Fouls
12.9
5
Corners
2.7
1
Offsides
1.6
2.5
Yellow Cards
2.8
0.13
Red Cards
0.11
312
Total Passes
201

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
6
6
Over 1.5 Goals
6
3
Over 2.5 Goals
3
0
Over 3.5 Goals
1
4
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
1
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

San Lorenzo
0 - 1 - 1
Dep. Riestra
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 20-Apr-25
0:0
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Dep. Riestra Dep. Riestra 12-May-24
1:0
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo

Profile time Recent Matches of San Lorenzo

27 Jan Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M..
-
San Lorenzo. San Lorenzo
23 JanL San Lorenzo San Lorenzo.
2:3
Lanus. Lanus

Profile time Recent Matches of Dep. Riestra

29 JanDep. Riestra Dep. Riestra.
-
Defensa J.Defensa J
25 JanLBoca Juniors Boca Juniors.
1:0
Dep. Riestra.Dep. Riestra

Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Rosario Central Rosario16
18-8
31
2 Lanus Lanus16
20-13
30
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo16
19-12
28
4 Velez Sarsfield Velez16
19-12
26
5 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo16
13-11
24
6 River Plate River Plate16
20-15
22
7 Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.16
14-16
22
8 Talleres Cordoba Talleres16
9-12
21
9 Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento16
13-17
20
10 San Martin S.J. San Martin16
13-16
19
11 Independiente Independiente16
14-13
18
12 Atletico Tucuman Atletico16
17-22
18
13 Instituto Cordoba Instituto16
9-17
16
14 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz16
11-19
12
15 Platense Platense16
12-25
12
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