Preview
The Shandong Luneng vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction starts with an unusual feeling in Jinan: the “big name” is the one doing the chasing. This Chinese Super League game is set for 2026-05-16 at 12:35 GMT (Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium), and the table pressure sits in very different places for each side.
Shandong Taishan (still widely called Shandong Luneng) look like a team built to control the ball at home. They tend to keep it, move it, and try to win matches by camping in the opposition half. Recent home results back that up, with a 2-1 win over Shenzhen Peng City and a loud 4-1 statement against Shanghai Shenhua earlier this month. There’s also a reminder in their DNA that they can travel and punch above their price—like the 4-2 win away at Kawasaki Frontale back in 2024, when the odds said “no chance” at 5.85.
But the one thing Shandong fans don’t get in the season ticket package is calm defending. They have struggled to keep clean sheets, and when the full-backs push on, the space behind them can look like an open invitation.
Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive as the 2026 surprise package. Newly promoted teams are supposed to learn lessons; Chongqing are busy handing them out. They sit 2nd with 20 points and just pulled a 2-2 draw away at Shanghai Shenhua after leading 2-0—because apparently “protect the lead” is optional. Before that, they beat Wuhan Three Towns (2-1) and Zhejiang Professional (1-0), showing they can win both messy and tight games.
Now to the numbers and betting tips. The market leans Shandong: home win 1.57, draw 4.2, away win 5.8. That pricing fits the squad value gap too (€13.30m vs €7.34m). Still, our Shandong Luneng vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction leans into a familiar CSL script: one side has the ball, the other side has the knives.
The projected match shape supports those ideas. Shandong are expected to dominate possession (62% to 38%) and outshoot Chongqing (15 to 6), but with only 4 vs 2 on target. Translation: lots of pressure, fewer clean looks. Add 5-2 corners (7 total) and a fairly normal card forecast (2 yellows each), and it reads like Shandong push, Chongqing absorb, then break.
That’s why the “away team will score” betting angle makes sense: Shandong’s attacking posture can leave transition gaps, and Chongqing have shown they can hurt good teams away from home. For head to head lovers, this one is more about current form and tactical fit than history—and it may reward anyone willing to believe the underdog can bite back.
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Chongqing |
22-Jun-24
3:6
| Shandong L ![]() |
| 10 May | W |
Sichuan J
| 1 |
Shandong L
| 2 |
| 05 May | W |
Shandong L
| 4 |
Shanghai
| 1 |
| 01 May | D |
Shandong L
| 1 |
Qingdao Y
| 1 |
| 26 Apr | L |
Qingdao J
| 4 |
Shandong L
| 1 |
| 21 Apr | W |
Tianjin Teda
| 1 |
Shandong L
| 2 |
| 17 Apr | D |
Shandong L
| 1 |
SHANGHAI S
| 1 |
| 11 Apr | W |
Henan Jianye
| 0 |
Shandong L
| 1 |
| 04 Apr | L |
Shandong L
| 1 |
Dalian Z
| 2 |
| 21 Mar | L |
Yunnan Yukun
| 4 |
Shandong L
| 0 |
| 14 Mar | W |
Shandong L
| 2 |
Beijing
| 1 |
| 09 May | D | Shanghai |
2 | Chongqing |
2 |
| 05 May | D | Chongqing |
1 | Henan Jianye |
1 |
| 01 May | L | Dalian Z |
1 | Chongqing |
0 |
| 26 Apr | D | Chongqing |
1 | Qingdao Y |
1 |
| 21 Apr | W | SHANGHAI S |
1 | Chongqing |
2 |
| 17 Apr | W | Chongqing |
2 | Sichuan J |
0 |
| 11 Apr | W | Chongqing |
2 | Wuhan T |
1 |
| 05 Apr | W | Hangzhou |
0 | Chongqing |
1 |
| 21 Mar | D | Chongqing |
3 | Chengdu B |
3 |
| 14 Mar | W | Chongqing |
1 | Shenyang |
0 |
China - Super League| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chengdu Better | 11 | 30-9 | 31 |
| 2 |
Chongqing Tongliang | 11 | 15-10 | 20 |
| 3 |
Dalian Zhixing | 11 | 16-20 | 18 |
| 4 |
Yunnan Yukun | 11 | 23-20 | 16 |
| 5 |
Shandong | 11 | 18-16 | 14 |
| 6 |
Shanghai | 11 | 24-17 | 11 |
| 7 |
Qingdao Jonoon | 11 | 17-15 | 10 |
| 8 |
Hangzhou | 11 | 12-15 | 10 |
| 9 |
Sichuan Jiuniu | 11 | 14-20 | 10 |
| 10 |
Qingdao Youth | 11 | 8-16 | 10 |
| 11 |
Beijing Guoan | 11 | 17-16 | 8 |
| 12 |
SHANGHAI SIPG | 11 | 17-15 | 7 |
| 13 |
Shenyang Urban | 11 | 8-18 | 7 |
| 14 |
Henan Jianye | 11 | 11-14 | 6 |
| 15 |
Wuhan Three | 11 | 14-22 | 4 |
| 16 |
Tianjin Teda | 11 | 15-16 | 1 |