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Match Prediction

Spezia vs Avellino Prediction

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Spezia

€30.45m

24 Jan13:30
1 : 0

Avellino

€16.88m

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Spezia vs Avellino Prediction Serie B

Spezia vs Avellino Prediction: Stats, Odds & Expert Analysis

It’s almost time for the much-awaited Spezia vs Avellino prediction! On January 24, 2026, at 18:30 GMT, Serie B fans will turn their attention to Stadio Alberto Picco, where these two sides are set to write another chapter in their football story. Let’s break down the teams, their tactics, and what the stats and betting odds might be telling us ahead of this match.

Team Form, Tactics, and Head to Head

Spezia, currently sitting 17th in Serie B, have had a season that’s been as unpredictable as a coin toss. Their last six games have included two wins, two draws, and two losses—a pattern that keeps fans biting their nails. Most recently, they played out a goalless draw against Südtirol, and before that, they squeezed past Pescara 2.1. Their ability to hold tough sides like Parma to a 2-2 draw away from home earlier this season shows they can surprise us when it matters.

Avellino, on the other hand, are a bit more settled in mid-table at 11th place. Their recent run includes a win, a loss, two draws, another loss, and a win. The last match saw them fall 2.1 to Carrarese, but this team has shown flashes of quality, especially when it comes to keeping things tight at the back and springing quick counter-attacks.

  • Spezia’s home advantage could be crucial, as their fans at Stadio Alberto Picco are known for creating a noisy atmosphere.
  • Ball possession is likely to favor Spezia (53% expected), but Avellino’s 47% means they won’t just sit back and defend.
  • Shots and corners: Spezia are predicted to take 12 shots (4 on target), while Avellino may manage 7 shots (3 on target). Expect 5 corners for Spezia and 2 for Avellino.
  • Squad value tells its own story: Spezia’s roster is valued at €30.45m, almost double Avellino’s €16.88m. On paper, the home side has more quality.

Historically, the head to head between these two teams has been fairly balanced, with neither side really dominating. Both have had their moments, and this fixture often delivers drama.

Sports Betting Odds and Market Insights

The bookmakers seem to agree that Spezia are slight favorites, pricing the home win at 2.1, the draw at 3.4, and an away win for Avellino at 4.0. These betting odds reflect the difference in squad value and home advantage, but also suggest that a draw is not off the cards.

  1. Home win (1): 2.1 odds – solid value if you fancy Spezia to get the job done.
  2. Draw (X): 3.4 odds – tempting for those who expect another tight encounter.
  3. Away win (2): 4.0 odds – the big payout, but Avellino will need a strong performance.

For those who like to keep things simple, the 1X (home win or draw) market is priced at 1.28, which tells you that the bookies really don’t see Avellino pulling off a shock.

Our AI Spezia vs Avellino Prediction and Best Bets

Now, let’s bring in the NerdyTips AI to add some science to our sports betting. After crunching all the numbers and recent form, here’s what our prediction model is telling us:

  • Best tip: 1X (Spezia win or draw), with a confidence rating of 4.7/10 and odds of 1.28. This is the safe play, and it covers the two most likely outcomes.
  • 1X2 market: Our AI leans towards a Spezia win (1), with a trust level of 3.7 out of 10 and odds of 2.1. Not the highest confidence, but the odds offer decent value for a home side with more firepower.
  • Over/under goals: Under 3.5 goals is the recommended bet (confidence level 3.5), with odds at 1.3. Both teams have shown they can keep things tight, so don’t expect a goal fest.
  • Final score prediction: 2.1 for Spezia, with a 1-1 scoreline expected at half-time. Expect a cagey first half before things open up late on.

Discipline-wise, both sides are expected to keep their cool, with 2 yellow cards each predicted. So don’t expect a red-card-filled thriller—unless someone forgets their manners!

Spezia vs Avellino Prediction: Final Thoughts

To sum it all up, our Spezia vs Avellino prediction points towards a narrow home win, but with enough unpredictability to keep things interesting for sports betting fans. The head to head history and recent form suggest a close contest, but Spezia’s home advantage and deeper squad could tip the balance. If you’re looking for value, the 1X market is the safest bet, while a punt on Spezia to win at 2.1 might just pay off. Don’t forget to check the betting odds and markets before kickoff, and as always, bet responsibly!

Whatever happens, this Serie B fixture promises plenty of talking points. Stay tuned to NerdyTips for more expert football tips, detailed analysis, and all the latest on the Spezia vs Avellino prediction.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Spezia vs Avellino

1X -357

Spezia to win or draw with odds of -357
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 110

Spezia is expected to win with odds of 110
3/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -333

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -115

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -217

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

1.29
xG
0.82
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

1.05
Expected Goals
1
2.2
Total Goals
2.9
0.8
Goals Scored
1.2
1.4
Goals Against
1.7
44%
Possession
50%
10.6
Total Shots
9.1
3.8
Shots on Goal
3.7
4.3
Shots off Goal
2.5
14.8
Fouls
14
4.8
Corners
3.4
1.2
Offsides
1.2
3
Yellow Cards
2.63
336
Total Passes
420

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
6
1
Over 3.5 Goals
2
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Spezia
3 - 0 - 2
Avellino
Avellino Avellino 25-Oct-25
0:4
Spezia Spezia
Avellino Avellino 11-May-18
1:0
Spezia Spezia
Spezia Spezia 21-Dec-17
1:0
Avellino Avellino
Spezia Spezia 11-Mar-17
2:1
Avellino Avellino
Avellino Avellino 15-Oct-16
1:0
Spezia Spezia

Profile time Recent Matches of Spezia

31 Jan Sampdoria Sampdoria.
-
Spezia. Spezia
24 JanW Spezia Spezia.
1:0
Avellino. Avellino
18 JanL Palermo Palermo.
1:0
Spezia. Spezia
10 JanL Sudtirol Sudtirol.
2:1
Spezia. Spezia
27 DecW Spezia Spezia.
2:1
Pescara. Pescara
20 DecL Frosinone Frosinone.
2:1
Spezia. Spezia
13 DecL Spezia Spezia.
0:2
Modena. Modena
08 DecW Entella Entella.
0:1
Spezia. Spezia
30 NovW Spezia Spezia.
1:0
Sampdoria. Sampdoria
23 NovL Mantova Mantova.
4:1
Spezia. Spezia

Profile time Recent Matches of Avellino

31 JanAvellino Avellino.
-
Cesena.Cesena
24 JanLSpezia Spezia.
1:0
Avellino.Avellino
17 JanLAvellino Avellino.
1:2
Carrarese.Carrarese
10 JanWAvellino Avellino.
2:1
Sampdoria.Sampdoria
27 DecDBari Bari.
1:1
Avellino.Avellino
20 DecDAvellino Avellino.
2:2
Palermo.Palermo
13 DecLCatanzaro Catanzaro.
1:0
Avellino.Avellino
08 DecDAvellino Avellino.
1:1
Venezia.Venezia
29 NovWSudtirol Sudtirol.
0:1
Avellino.Avellino
22 NovLAvellino Avellino.
0:3
Empoli.Empoli

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Frosinone Frosinone21
39-18
45
2 Venezia Venezia21
42-18
44
3 Monza Monza21
32-17
41
4 Palermo Palermo21
30-14
38
5 Cesena Cesena21
28-24
34
6 Modena Modena21
28-17
33
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia21
23-22
33
8 Catanzaro Catanzaro21
27-24
32
9 Carrarese Carrarese21
30-30
29
10 Empoli Empoli21
26-28
27
11 Sudtirol Sudtirol21
22-22
25
12 Padova Padova21
20-25
25
13 Avellino Avellino21
24-34
25
14 Reggiana Reggiana21
24-31
20
15 Spezia Spezia21
19-28
20
16 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella21
18-28
20
17 Bari Bari21
18-31
20
18 Sampdoria Sampdoria21
20-28
19
19 Mantova Mantova21
20-34
19
20 Pescara Pescara21
25-42
14
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