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Match Prediction

Sudtirol vs Padova Prediction

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Italy flag Italy

Sudtirol

€16.92m

25 Jan09:00
3 : 0

Padova

€13.90m

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Sudtirol vs Padova Prediction Serie B

Sudtirol vs Padova Prediction: Tight Battle Expected in Bozen

Welcome to our Sudtirol vs Padova prediction for the much-anticipated Serie B fixture kicking off at 14.70 GMT on January 25, 2.16. If you’re looking for a friendly, stats-driven preview with a dash of wit—and a clear focus on total goals, betting odds, and head to head history—you’re in the right place. Let’s get into the story behind the numbers and see which side might have the upper hand, or if we’re in for another classic draw.

Recent Form and Season Context: Two Sides, One Tight Table

As of January 19, Sudtirol and Padova are separated by just three points in the Serie B table. Sudtirol, sitting 13th with 22 points, have found the going tough at home, dropping half of their last six games at Stadio Druso. Padova, meanwhile, are 11th with 25 points and have enjoyed a slightly better run on the road, picking up wins in 50% of their last six away matches. Not bad for a side that only just returned to Serie B after their 2.15 promotion party.

Padova’s season has been a bit of a rollercoaster, with consistency proving elusive since their jump from Serie C. Sudtirol, for their part, have managed some eye-catching results—like that 1:1 away draw at Monza on December 8, 2.15, when a win seemed about as likely as a snowstorm in July.

Head to Head: Draws Galore and Defensive Duels

If you love a good stalemate, the Sudtirol vs Padova head to head record is your kind of football. Out of their last six meetings, five have ended in draws, including the most recent 1:1 result back in November. In total, Sudtirol have won three, Padova four, and seven have finished even. Their last goalless draw came in April 2.12, and goals have been in short supply whenever these two lock horns.

Key Stats and Player News

  • Sudtirol’s home record: 1.0 goals per game at home, just 11% clean sheets.
  • Padova’s away form: 25% of their goals scored in the final 15 minutes, but three away games without a goal.
  • Squad value: Sudtirol €16.92m, Padova €13.90m—so not much in it.
  • Top assisters: Daniele Casiraghi (Sudtirol, 3 assists), Alessandro Capelli (Padova, 5 assists).
  • Injuries and suspensions: Sudtirol missing Jacopo Martini (metatarsal fracture); Simone Davi’s suspension status is unclear. Padova’s Pietro Fusi is one yellow card away from a suspension.
  • Recent transfers: Sudtirol have been busy, with several new faces joining the squad in January.
  • Manager watch: Fabrizio Castori is at the helm for Sudtirol this season.

Betting Odds and AI Predictions: Is Another Draw on the Cards?

Now for the numbers that matter to punters: current betting odds have Sudtirol at 2.1 for the home win, a draw at 3.3, and Padova at 4.7 to take all three points. There’s not much to separate the sides, and the bookies clearly expect a tight contest.

  • Our 1x2 prediction: X2 (draw or Padova win) with a trust level of 2.0 and odds of 1.78.
  • Most promising bet: Under 2.5 goals, with a trust score of 7.0/10 and odds of 1.59. Both teams struggle for goals and have a long history of low-scoring encounters.
  • Final score prediction: 1:1—because, well, history repeats itself.
  • Half-time prediction: 0:0. You might want to grab a coffee during the first half.

Match Stats Forecast

  1. Possession: Sudtirol 49%, Padova 51%—almost even.
  2. Shots: Home team 12, away team 10.
  3. On target: Sudtirol 3, Padova 4.
  4. Corners: Sudtirol 5, Padova 4.
  5. Yellow cards: Sudtirol 2, Padova 3—expect a few bookings.

Sudtirol vs Padova Prediction: Verdict and Betting Tips

With both teams so evenly matched—by squad value, form, and their shared love for a draw—the smart money is on a low-scoring affair. Our Sudtirol vs Padova prediction leans toward under 2.5 total goals, with a likely 1:1 finish. If you’re feeling adventurous, the X2 market (draw or Padova) offers decent value, considering Padova’s recent away form.

All signs point to another closely-fought battle at Stadio Druso. If you’re betting, keep it simple: trust the stats, expect few goals, and don’t be surprised if the points are shared yet again. After all, some things in football never change!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Padova didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Sudtirol vs Padova

U2.5 -169

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -169
7/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -115

Padova to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -169

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
7/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 105

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 106

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Correct Score

1:1

Stats Predictions

0.85
xG
0.98
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
4
5
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

0.74
Expected Goals
0.98
1.4
Total Goals
1.9
0.7
Goals Scored
0.9
0.7
Goals Against
1
42%
Possession
52%
10.7
Total Shots
11.2
3
Shots on Goal
4.6
4.7
Shots off Goal
3.8
17.4
Fouls
13.6
4.3
Corners
4.1
2.3
Offsides
1.9
2.43
Yellow Cards
3.25
308
Total Passes
426

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
3
5
Over 1.5 Goals
7
1
Over 2.5 Goals
2
0
Over 3.5 Goals
0
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Sudtirol
2 - 6 - 4
Padova
Padova Padova 01-Nov-25
1:1
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Sudtirol Sudtirol 16-Apr-22
0:0
Padova Padova
Sudtirol Sudtirol 06-Apr-22
0:1
Padova Padova
Padova Padova 09-Mar-22
0:0
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Padova Padova 12-Dec-21
0:0
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Sudtirol Sudtirol 21-Feb-21
1:1
Padova Padova
Padova Padova 25-Oct-20
2:0
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Padova Padova 10-Nov-19
0:1
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Sudtirol Sudtirol 24-Feb-18
1:1
Padova Padova

Profile time Recent Matches of Sudtirol

31 Jan Sudtirol Sudtirol.
-
Catanzaro. Catanzaro
25 JanW Sudtirol Sudtirol.
3:0
Padova. Padova
17 JanW Empoli Empoli.
0:1
Sudtirol. Sudtirol
10 JanW Sudtirol Sudtirol.
2:1
Spezia. Spezia
27 DecL Juve Stabia Juve Stabia.
1:0
Sudtirol. Sudtirol
21 DecD Entella Entella.
1:1
Sudtirol. Sudtirol
13 DecD Sudtirol Sudtirol.
0:0
Bari. Bari
08 DecD Monza Monza.
1:1
Sudtirol. Sudtirol
29 NovL Sudtirol Sudtirol.
0:1
Avellino. Avellino
23 NovD Modena Modena.
0:0
Sudtirol. Sudtirol

Profile time Recent Matches of Padova

25 JanLSudtirol Sudtirol.
3:0
Padova.Padova
17 JanLPadova Padova.
1:2
Mantova.Mantova
11 JanWPadova Padova.
2:0
Modena.Modena
27 DecLPalermo Palermo.
1:0
Padova.Padova
20 DecDPadova Padova.
1:1
Sampdoria.Sampdoria
13 DecWReggiana Reggiana.
1:2
Padova.Padova
08 DecDPadova Padova.
1:1
Cesena.Cesena
29 NovWPescara Pescara.
0:1
Padova.Padova
22 NovLPadova Padova.
0:2
Venezia.Venezia
08 NovLMantova Mantova.
1:0
Padova.Padova

Italy - Serie B Italy - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Frosinone Frosinone21
39-18
45
2 Venezia Venezia21
42-18
44
3 Monza Monza21
32-17
41
4 Palermo Palermo21
30-14
38
5 Cesena Cesena21
28-24
34
6 Modena Modena21
28-17
33
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia21
23-22
33
8 Catanzaro Catanzaro21
27-24
32
9 Carrarese Carrarese21
30-30
29
10 Empoli Empoli21
26-28
27
11 Sudtirol Sudtirol21
22-22
25
12 Padova Padova21
20-25
25
13 Avellino Avellino21
24-34
25
14 Reggiana Reggiana21
24-31
20
15 Spezia Spezia21
19-28
20
16 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella21
18-28
20
17 Bari Bari21
18-31
20
18 Sampdoria Sampdoria21
20-28
19
19 Mantova Mantova21
20-34
19
20 Pescara Pescara21
25-42
14
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