Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
Welcome to our detailed Sweden vs Slovenia prediction for the crucial World Cup Qualification Europe match on November 18, 2025. With both teams desperate to revive their campaigns, this preview dives into tactics, team news, and betting tips, helping you make sense of the head to head history and what to expect at the Strawberry Arena in Solna. Can Sweden’s new coach Graham Potter provide the magic touch, or will Slovenia’s resilience frustrate the home crowd once again?
Let’s be honest, both Sweden and Slovenia arrive in Solna with more questions than answers. The Swedes, usually a model of Nordic efficiency, have found themselves in a rut—just one point from four matches and sitting fourth in Group D. Their form before Potter’s arrival? Let’s just say, if it was a Swedish crime drama, it would be all suspense and no resolution. The new boss has inherited a side that lost their last three games, and he’s made it clear his first job is to get his players smiling and playing simple, effective football. Expect a shake-up with a 4-4-2 formation, but don’t expect miracles overnight.
Slovenia, meanwhile, have quietly become the group’s draw specialists. They’re third in the group, but with only three points and just two goals in four matches, they’re hardly striking fear into the hearts of their opponents. Their recent 0-0 draw against Switzerland was as surprising as it was impressive, especially considering the odds. Offensively, they’ve been blunt, and with star forward Benjamin Sesko out injured, they’ll be relying on the likes of Danijel Sturm and Zan Vipotnik to find a way past Sweden’s defense. Jan Oblak, always reliable, will marshal the backline, hoping to frustrate the Swedes much like he did in the last head to head.
Speaking of that, the Sweden vs Slovenia prediction must consider their previous meetings. Sweden have the historical edge, with two wins and three draws in their last five encounters. Slovenia are still searching for their first victory against the Swedes, and the most recent meeting—a 2-2 draw—proves that while Slovenia can dig in, breaking through is another story.
Sweden’s squad value dwarfs Slovenia’s (€5.75.50m vs €1.72.00m), but money doesn’t score goals. Potter will be missing some big names: Viktor Gyökeres and Tottenham’s Dejan Kulusevski are sidelined, but Liverpool’s Alexander Isak is fit and will shoulder much of the attacking burden. Isac Lidberg also joins the squad, hoping for a chance to shine. For Slovenia, Benjamin Sesko’s absence is a blow, but Kenan Toibibou’s return to the squad is a welcome boost.
With both teams needing three points, expect a tense, tactical affair—think chess, not pinball. Sweden will look to control possession (predicted at 63%), while Slovenia will aim for a compact, counter-attacking approach. Both sides are likely to keep things tight at the back, especially early on.
Now, let’s get nerdy with the numbers. According to our betting tips and AI analysis, Sweden are clear favorites (odds of 1.72 for a home win), while a Slovenia victory is priced at 5.75—reflecting their struggles in recent qualifiers. The draw sits at 3.8, and given both teams’ recent form, it’s not out of the question.
Our AI’s best tip is under 3.5 goals (odds 1.32), and with a trust level of 2.5.750, it’s hardly a slam dunk but makes sense given the stats. Both teams have been goal-shy, and with the expected final score at 1-0 to Sweden, don’t expect a goal fest. The half-time prediction is a cagey 0-0, so if you’re late to the TV, you probably won’t miss much early drama.
Looking at the numbers, Sweden are predicted to take 12 shots (4 on target), while Slovenia are expected to muster just 5 (and only 1 on target). Corners should be lopsided too—6 for the hosts, just 1 for the visitors. Even the yellow cards are expected to be polite: one apiece. In other words, this could be a disciplined, low-scoring affair.
So, what’s the best Sweden vs Slovenia prediction? Our 1x2 market tip is a home win (confidence 2.5/10, odds 1.725). If you’re feeling brave, an exact 1-0 scoreline offers a nice narrative fit, but the real value is in betting under 3.5 goals, especially with both teams struggling to create chances.
Both Sweden and Slovenia are desperate for a win, but with new leadership and home advantage, the Swedes should have just enough to edge it. The head to head history favors them, and while Potter’s reign is just beginning, a narrow victory could be the first step toward brighter days. For punters, our Sweden vs Slovenia prediction remains a tight, low-scoring home win—just don’t expect fireworks.
Whether you’re a fan of tactical chess matches or just here for the betting tips, this one is set up to be an intriguing watch. Keep those snacks handy—you might need them to get through a tense ninety minutes in Solna.
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Meaningless match!
U3.5 -313
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3131 -139
Sweden is expected to win with odds of -139Under 3.5 -313
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -115
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -278
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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1
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2
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0
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|
 Slovenia |
05-Sep-25
2:2
| Sweden  |
| Sweden |
27-Sep-22
1:1
| Slovenia |
| Slovenia |
02-Jun-22
0:2
| Sweden |
World - World Cup - Qualification Europe| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Switzerland | 5 | 13-1 | 13 |
| 2 |
Kosovo | 5 | 5-4 | 10 |
| 3 |
Slovenia | 5 | 2-7 | 3 |
| 4 |
Sweden | 5 | 3-11 | 1 |
