Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Netherlands
Preview
Welcome to our Twente vs Excelsior prediction for Matchday 20 of the Eredivisie, set for January 24, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. If you’re looking for the latest sports betting odds, team news, and a friendly breakdown of what to expect, you’re in the right place. We’ve got all the key stats, head to head history, and betting tips you need to make smarter choices. Let’s dig into the numbers and see if Twente can keep their home fans smiling, or if Excelsior has another surprise up their sleeves.
FC Twente, or just Twente for short, are enjoying a solid season so far. Sitting 6th in the Eredivisie with 29 points, they’re unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions. That includes three wins and two draws, with their latest league outing a comfortable 2-0 win over Heracles Almelo. Their home record is strong, and their goal difference of 29:22 shows a nice balance between attack and defense. Twente’s style is about controlling the ball and building patiently, and with a predicted 66% possession for this game, expect them to dominate the play.
Excelsior, meanwhile, are fighting in 14th place with 20 points. Their recent form is a mixed bag: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They’ve struggled defensively, conceding 34 goals while scoring just 19. Away from home, they’ve only managed two wins in eight attempts, so the odds are stacked against them. Still, they did surprise everyone with a 1-1 draw away at AZ Alkmaar just days ago, showing they can dig deep when it matters.
Twente will be missing a few familiar faces. Mees Hilgers is out for the season with a serious knee injury, and Taylor Booth is doubtful with muscle problems. Mathias Kjølø and Max Bruns are still recovering, but Ramiz Zerrouki is back in the squad after his Africa Cup of Nations adventure. Expect Zerrouki to add some steel in midfield.
Excelsior have their own injury headaches. Chris Kevin Nadje is back after a thigh injury, but Stefan Mitrovic is still sidelined with illness. Rudy Jansen and Damien Hertog remain long-term absentees. New January signing Emil Hansson made his debut last week and could be a bright spot in attack. Ilias Bronkhorst needs to watch his tackles—one more yellow and he’s suspended.
Now, let’s talk numbers. The latest betting odds have Twente as clear favorites at 1.27 for a home win, while a draw sits at 6.5, and an Excelsior victory is a long shot at 13.0. Our AI model gives a trust score of 6.5/10 for a Twente win, making it the best tip in the 1x2 market. In plain English: Twente should win, but don’t bet the house—football loves a surprise.
Here’s how the stats stack up for this match:
Looking at the squad values, Twente’s €56.65m team is a step above Excelsior’s €17.45m lineup. That financial muscle usually shows on the pitch, especially at home. But as we saw in their last head to head, Excelsior can spring a surprise if Twente aren’t careful.
All signs point to a home win for Twente, but Excelsior’s recent gutsy performances mean this could be closer than the odds suggest. If you’re betting, the safest play is Twente to win, with a side bet on over 2.5 goals. For those who love a bit of drama, a 2-1 scoreline feels just right—Twente to edge it, but Excelsior to make them work for the points.
That’s our Twente vs Excelsior prediction for January 24, 2026. Good luck, and may your bets be as accurate as our AI’s stats! For more sports betting tips, odds, and head to head analysis, keep it locked on NerdyTips.
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1 -370
Twente is expected to win with odds of -3701 -370
Twente is expected to win with odds of -370Over 2.5 -175
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 105
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -417
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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7
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5
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5
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|
 Excelsior |
30-Aug-25
1:0
| Twente  |
| Excelsior |
10-Feb-24
0:3
| Twente |
| Twente |
08-Dec-23
4:2
| Excelsior |
| Excelsior |
01-Apr-23
0:0
| Twente |
| Twente |
31-Aug-22
4:0
| Excelsior |
| Excelsior |
23-Dec-17
0:0
| Twente |
| Twente |
27-Oct-17
1:3
| Excelsior |
| Excelsior |
12-Feb-17
1:1
| Twente |
| Twente |
06-Aug-16
1:2
| Excelsior |
| Twente |
20-Apr-16
2:0
| Excelsior |
Recent Matches of Twente| 15 Mar | L |
Twente
| 0 |
Utrecht
| 2 |
| 08 Mar | W |
G.A. Eagles
| 1 |
Twente
| 4 |
| 01 Mar | W |
Twente
| 2 |
Feyenoord
| 0 |
| 22 Feb | W |
Twente
| 2 |
Groningen
| 1 |
| 15 Feb | D |
Telstar
| 1 |
Twente
| 1 |
| 07 Feb | W |
Twente
| 5 |
Heerenveen
| 0 |
| 03 Feb | L |
AZ Alkmaar
| 2 |
Twente
| 1 |
| 30 Jan | D |
NAC Breda
| 2 |
Twente
| 2 |
| 24 Jan | D |
Twente
| 0 |
Excelsior
| 0 |
| 18 Jan | W |
Heracles
| 0 |
Twente
| 2 |
Recent Matches of Excelsior
| 07 Mar | L | Excelsior |
1 |  Heerenveen |
2 |
| 01 Mar | L | Excelsior |
0 |  G.A. Eagles |
1 |
| 20 Feb | L |  Sittard |
2 | Excelsior |
1 |
| 14 Feb | L | Excelsior |
1 |  AZ Alkmaar |
2 |
| 06 Feb | W |  NAC Breda |
0 | Excelsior |
2 |
| 01 Feb | D | Excelsior |
2 |  Ajax |
2 |
| 24 Jan | D | Twente |
0 | Excelsior |
0 |
| 21 Jan | D | AZ Alkmaar |
1 | Excelsior |
1 |
| 17 Jan | D | Excelsior |
2 |  Telstar |
2 |
| 10 Jan | L |  PSV |
5 | Excelsior |
1 |
Netherlands - Eredivisie| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven | 26 | 75-31 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord | 26 | 58-38 | 49 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen | 26 | 64-43 | 46 |
| 4 |
Twente | 26 | 45-27 | 44 |
| 5 |
Ajax | 26 | 48-34 | 44 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar | 26 | 43-42 | 39 |
| 7 |
Sparta | 26 | 33-43 | 38 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen | 26 | 44-44 | 37 |
| 9 |
Utrecht | 26 | 38-31 | 35 |
| 10 |
Groningen | 26 | 36-36 | 34 |
| 11 |
Fortuna | 26 | 40-49 | 32 |
| 12 |
GO Ahead | 26 | 39-43 | 29 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle | 26 | 35-51 | 29 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam | 26 | 29-44 | 27 |
| 15 |
Excelsior | 26 | 27-44 | 26 |
| 16 |
Telstar | 26 | 35-42 | 24 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda | 26 | 28-42 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles | 26 | 32-65 | 18 |
