Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Argentina
Preview
The Union Santa Fe vs Aldosivi prediction for Monday, February 23, 2026 (00:00 GMT / 21:00 local time on Sunday) feels like one of those Liga Profesional nights where the stadium lights make every decision look heavier. Estadio 15 de Abril hosts a game that, on paper, leans Unión—yet the recent head to head story keeps whispering “not so fast.”
Unión sit around mid-table (roughly 11th), and their recent run reads like a novel with a missing chapter: the final touch. A 0-0 with San Lorenzo summed it up—plenty of work, not enough reward. Still, at home they have been remarkably hard to crack: three straight home clean sheets, and they’ve avoided defeat in about 83% of their last 12 at the 15 de Abril.
Aldosivi, hovering near 14th, arrive with mixed signals too: a 1-1 draw with Rosario Central (with Nico Cordero on the scoresheet) and a narrow loss to Tigre, but also a Copa Argentina confidence boost after a big win over San Miguel—coach Guillermo Farré openly framed it as a measuring stick for this league trip.
Leonardo Madelón is expected to keep Unión in a 4-4-2, pushing the wide midfielders high and asking for volume in the final third—while demanding more calm in front of goal. The issue: injuries. Valentín Fascendini (muscle tear) is out, while Augusto Solari (muscle) and Enzo Roldán (knee) remain sidelined. Agustín Colazo is a doubt with knee discomfort, which could affect how direct Unión can be up top.
Farré’s Aldosivi typically switch between 4-3-3 and a more conservative 4-4-2, and the plan away from home is usually simple: survive pressure, then hurt teams in transition. That matters because Unión often commit numbers forward in Santa Fe.
Two extra notes add spice: Aldosivi have won the last two meetings in 2025 (including a 0-2 win here on 2025-10-04), and the overall head to head balance is strangely even across the last 15 meetings. Also, Unión’s reserves recently let a 2-0 lead slip in a 2-2 draw—Madelón has reportedly used that as a warning about switching off.
The market opens with clear favoritism: betting odds show Unión at 1.62, the draw at 3.7, and Aldosivi at 7.1. That fits the squad gap (Unión ~€22.95m vs Aldosivi ~€8.68m) and the home defensive trend. But sports betting is rarely polite: Aldosivi already proved in October they can ignore prices (they were 6.4 then).
Our Union Santa Fe vs Aldosivi prediction leans into a tight scoreboard. The recommended bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.56, trust level 6.5/10. The projected match flow actually supports it: Unión are forecast to have 61% possession and 17 shots, yet only 4 on target—classic “control without chaos.” Aldosivi are projected at 39% possession, 9 shots, and just 1 on target, which screams “low event” football.
NerdyTips’ AI also flags “2” (away win) as the best 1x2 value pick at 7.1—but with a very low trust score (1.5). In other words: the betting odds are tempting, the head to head memory is real, but it’s a long shot. If you want a sensible angle for sports betting, Under 2.5 aligns best with both tactics and the expected shot quality.
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U2.5 -179
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1792 610
Aldosivi is expected to win with odds of 610Under 2.5 -179
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -185
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 161
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:0
0:1
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4
-
4
-
4
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|
 Union S |
04-Oct-25
0:2
| Aldosivi  |
| Aldosivi |
27-Mar-25
2:1
| Union S |
| Union S |
29-Aug-22
0:0
| Aldosivi |
| Aldosivi |
01-Oct-21
1:2
| Union S |
| Aldosivi |
04-Jan-21
1:3
| Union S |
| Aldosivi |
27-Sep-19
1:2
| Union S |
| Union S |
11-Aug-18
1:0
| Aldosivi |
| Union S |
10-Sep-16
0:0
| Aldosivi |
| Union S |
21-Nov-15
1:2
| Aldosivi |
Recent Matches of Union S| 01 Mar |
Instituto
| - |
Union S
| - | |
| 26 Feb | W |
Sarmiento
| 1 |
Union S
| 3 |
| 23 Feb | W |
Union S
| 1 |
Aldosivi
| 0 |
| 14 Feb | D |
Union S
| 0 |
San Lorenzo
| 0 |
| 07 Feb | L |
Central C
| 1 |
Union S
| 0 |
| 03 Feb | W |
Union S
| 4 |
Gimnasia M.
| 0 |
| 29 Jan | L |
Lanus
| 2 |
Union S
| 1 |
| 22 Jan | D |
Union S
| 0 |
Platense
| 0 |
| 25 Nov | L |
Union S
| 1 |
Gimnasia L.P.
| 2 |
| 17 Nov | D |
Belgrano
| 0 |
Union S
| 0 |
Recent Matches of Aldosivi
| 03 Mar |  Banfield |
- | Aldosivi |
- | |
| 23 Feb | L | Union S |
1 | Aldosivi |
0 |
| 17 Feb | W | Aldosivi |
3 |  San Miguel |
0 |
| 12 Feb | L |  Tigre |
1 | Aldosivi |
0 |
| 07 Feb | D | Aldosivi |
1 |  Rosario C |
1 |
| 02 Feb | L |  Gimnasia L.P. |
3 | Aldosivi |
1 |
| 28 Jan | D | Aldosivi |
0 |  Barracas |
0 |
| 22 Jan | D | Aldosivi |
0 |  Defensa J |
0 |
| 15 Nov | W | Aldosivi |
4 |  San Martin |
2 |
| 09 Nov | W | Banfield |
0 | Aldosivi |
1 |
Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independ. | 7 | 11-7 | 16 |
| 2 |
Belgrano | 7 | 9-4 | 15 |
| 3 |
Estudiantes | 7 | 7-2 | 15 |
| 4 |
Velez | 7 | 8-4 | 15 |
| 5 |
Tigre | 7 | 12-5 | 14 |
| 6 |
Platense | 7 | 5-3 | 12 |
| 7 |
Union Santa Fe | 7 | 9-4 | 11 |
| 8 |
Rosario | 7 | 8-6 | 11 |
| 9 |
San Lorenzo | 7 | 7-5 | 11 |
| 10 |
Defensa Y | 7 | 6-4 | 11 |
| 11 |
Independiente | 7 | 9-7 | 10 |
| 12 |
River Plate | 7 | 7-7 | 10 |
| 13 |
Talleres | 7 | 8-9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Gimnasia L.P. | 7 | 7-8 | 10 |
| 15 |
Huracan | 7 | 5-6 | 9 |
| 16 |
Boca Juniors | 6 | 5-4 | 8 |
| 17 |
Argentinos JRS | 5 | 3-2 | 8 |
| 18 |
Lanus | 5 | 8-8 | 8 |
| 19 |
Instituto | 7 | 8-8 | 8 |
| 20 |
Racing Club | 7 | 8-9 | 8 |
| 21 |
Barracas | 7 | 5-6 | 8 |
| 22 |
Central Cordoba de | 7 | 3-4 | 8 |
| 23 |
Banfield | 7 | 7-9 | 7 |
| 24 |
Gimnasia M. | 7 | 4-9 | 7 |
| 25 |
Sarmiento | 7 | 5-9 | 6 |
| 26 |
Atletico | 7 | 9-10 | 5 |
| 27 |
Deportivo | 7 | 2-5 | 4 |
| 28 |
Estudiantes de Rio | 7 | 3-11 | 4 |
| 29 |
Aldosivi | 6 | 2-6 | 3 |
| 30 |
Newells Old | 7 | 5-14 | 2 |
