Zwolle vs FC Volendam Prediction

Zwolle vs FC Volendam prediction: home edge at MAC³PARK

The Zwolle vs FC Volendam prediction for Matchday 22 lands on Saturday, 7 February 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 GMT (18:45 local) at the MAC³PARK stadion. PEC Zwolle are trying to keep their push toward the European play-off places alive, while FC Volendam are still looking over their shoulder in the relegation fight. It’s the kind of game where one side wants comfort and the other wants survival — and both usually bring nerves along for the ride.

Match context, form, and what’s at stake

Zwolle come in with a stronger league position and the feel of a team that generally does its best work at home. They’ve taken 6 wins from 10 league games in Zwolle this season, and Henry van der Vegt has leaned into an aggressive approach there: high pressing, quick wing play, and a lot of possession. The warning label is clear, though. Zwolle have conceded a league-high 24 first-half goals, so “start sharp” isn’t a motivational poster — it’s a necessity.

Volendam, sitting lower in the table, have struggled to be convincing away from the Kras Stadion. In fact, they are still without an away win this season (0W, 2D, 8L), which makes every trip feel like an exam they forgot to study for. Rick Kruys has aimed for a compact defensive block, but transitions have been a problem, and even a new goalkeeping coach (Raymond Mulder, added in January 2026) can’t fix everything overnight.

Team news, absences, and the tactical ripple effect

Zwolle have issues of their own. Jasper Schendelaar remains out, plus longer-term injuries to Damian van der Haar, Odysseus Velanas, and Samir Lagsir. Ryan Thomas is suspended, which matters because he helps connect midfield to attack. Still, there is quality: Younes Namli is the main creator, and Koen Kostons is the headline goal threat.

Volendam travel without Gibson Yah and Anthony Descotte, while Yannick Leliendal is expected to miss due to card accumulation. Henk Veerman is close to returning but may only manage a bench role. Volendam’s goalkeeper Kayne van Oevelen faces a busy afternoon if Zwolle control the ball as expected; he’s been making 4.8 saves per match on average, which is both impressive and a little worrying for Volendam fans.

• Head to head: the last meeting on 2024-03-10 finished 1-1, and Volendam also won the reverse fixture in September 2025 (2-1).
• Home trend: Zwolle have won 14 of their last 15 home games against bottom-half teams.
• Clean-sheet issue: Volendam have gone 14 straight competitive matches without a clean sheet.

AI betting tips and match prediction for sports betting

Now to the numbers that matter for sports betting. The betting odds price Zwolle at 1.7 for the home win, the draw at 3.85, and Volendam at 5.5. Our Zwolle vs FC Volendam prediction on the 1X2 market is 1 (home win), with a trust score of 5.2/10 at odds of 1.7. That “medium” confidence fits the story: Zwolle are better, but their early-game defending can turn simple matches into complicated ones.

The AI also leans to under 3.5 goals as the stronger totals angle, rated 3.4 confidence at odds of 1.53. That might sound odd when Volendam rarely keep clean sheets, but it lines up with a game where Zwolle control territory rather than going wild. If Volendam sit deep and focus on surviving the first 30 minutes, tempo can drop, and the score can stay sensible.

Projected game script (stats and score)

• Final score pick: 2:0; half-time: 1:0
• Possession: 61% Zwolle, 39% Volendam
• Total shots: 14 vs 10; shots on target: 6 vs 3
• Corners: 2 for Zwolle, 3 for Volendam (5 total)
• Yellow cards: 1 for Zwolle, 2 for Volendam

There’s also a market logic angle: Zwolle’s squad value (€22.05m) is notably higher than Volendam’s (€12.75m), and both teams recently pulled surprise wins — Zwolle beat AZ 3-1 at huge odds, while Volendam won 2-1 away at Sparta. Still, when you combine home strength, expected possession control, and Volendam’s away record, the best fit remains the home win. In plain terms: Zwolle should do most of the playing, and Volendam may do most of the hoping.