AI Predicts Dublin Derby Betting Tips

The Dublin Derby: St Patrick’s Athl. vs Shelbourne

The Premier Division heats up as St Patrick’s Athletic host Shelbourne in a fiery Dublin derby. With kick-off set for April 4, 2025, at 19:45 UTC, this match promises tension, drama, and potential betting value. Let’s break down the numbers, trends, and NerdyTips AI NT 4.0’s predictions to find the smartest bets.

Match Odds & Key Stats

The bookmakers favor the home side, pricing a St Pat’s win at 1.88, while a draw sits at 3.28 and a Shelbourne victory at 4.35.

Looking at historical trends:
– Home teams win 37.7% of Premier Division matches.
– Away victories occur 26.0% of the time.
– Draws are common (36.3%), making this a tight fixture.

Recent form also suggests a close contest:
– St Pat’s have won 6 of their last 10, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
– Shelbourne have 4 wins in 10, scoring 1.4 goals per match while conceding 0.9.

NerdyTips AI’s Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (1.55)

The AI’s top pick is under 2.5 goals, with a 3.3/10 confidence level (odds: 1.55). Here’s why:
– St Pat’s have seen under 2.5 goals in 46% of their matches this season.
– Shelbourne’s games dip below 2.5 goals 66.4% of the time.
– Their last H2H meeting ended 1-2, but recent trends suggest a tighter, lower-scoring affair.

Alternative Bet: St Pat’s to Win (1.88)

The AI also leans toward a home victory (3.2/10 confidence), aligning with St Pat’s stronger home record (48.4% win rate in last 126 home games). Shelbourne’s 39.3% away win rate suggests they may struggle at Richmond Park.

Expected Game Flow

– Projected possession: St Pat’s (60%) vs Shelbourne (40%).
– Total shots: St Pat’s (14) vs Shelbourne (12).
– Shots on target: St Pat’s (5) vs Shelbourne (3).
– Corners: St Pat’s (4) vs Shelbourne (2).
– Yellow cards expected: St Pat’s (2), Shelbourne (3).

This data reinforces a defensive battle, supporting the under 2.5 goals bet.

Final Score Prediction: 1-0 to St Pat’s

The AI forecasts a 1-0 home win, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline. Given Shelbourne’s resilience (they held Derry City to a 1-1 draw as underdogs last season), a narrow victory for St Pat’s seems plausible.

Why This Derby Matters

Dublin derbies are always intense, and this one could have European qualification implications. St Pat’s will rely on home support, while Shelbourne will look to frustrate and counter.

Betting Verdict

– Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (1.55) – Low-scoring derbies are common.
– Value Pick: St Pat’s Win (1.88) – Stronger at home, better recent form.
– Longshot: Correct Score 1-0 (6.50+) – Fits the expected tight game.

Keep an eye on team news, but based on stats and AI insights, defensive discipline should decide this derby.

Good luck, and may the bets be with you!