AI Predicts Empoli Victory in Monza Clash

Monza vs Empoli: Statistical Breakdown & Betting Tips

The Serie A clash between Monza and Empoli promises intrigue, with Empoli favored to win at 1.85 odds, according to NerdyTips’ AI. Here’s a data-driven breakdown of why the visitors hold the edge.

Key Match Predictions

– Top Tip: Empoli to win (2) – 6.6/10 confidence
– Expected Score: 0-2 (0-1 at HT)
– Under 2.5 Goals (1.68 odds, but low 2.0/10 trust)
– Possession: 42% Monza, 58% Empoli
– Shots: Monza 7 (2 on target), Empoli 13 (3 on target)

Why Empoli?

Recent Form:
– Empoli (1 win in 10) edges Monza (1 win in 10) marginally, averaging 0.7 goals scored vs. Monza’s 0.6. Defensively, Empoli concedes fewer (1.6 vs. 2.1 per match).
– H2H Edge: In their last meeting (March 2023), Monza won 2-1, but odds now favor Empoli (1.85 vs. 4.38 for Monza), reflecting shifted dynamics.

League Trends:
– Away wins occur in 30.9% of Serie A matches—lower than home wins (41.1%), but Empoli’s superior possession (58% predicted) and shot volume (13 vs. 7) tilt the scale.
– Only 39.1% of Empoli’s games see over 2.5 goals, aligning with the AI’s lean toward under 2.5 goals (1.68 odds).

Monza’s Struggles

– Just 31.4% win rate in their last 137 games.
– Recent form: 1 win in 10, with 46.6% possession and 8.1 shots/match—below Empoli’s 9.
– Defensive frailty: Conceding 2.1 goals/match lately.

Betting Insights

– Value Pick: Empoli’s win odds (1.85) offer solid value given Monza’s defensive woes.
– Caution: Under 2.5 goals has low confidence (2.0/10), but historical data (50.8% of Serie A games exceed 2.5 goals) suggests a tighter game.

Final Verdict

Back Empoli to win (2) at 1.85, with a likely 0-2 scoreline. For risk-takers, pairing this with under 3.5 goals (28.2% league frequency) could enhance odds.

For more data-driven football predictions, visit NerdyTips.

Note: All stats are pre-match projections—monitor lineups for last-minute adjustments.