AI Tips Predict Beerschot Wilrijk Upset Win

Jupiler Pro League Betting Tips

Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot Wilrijk: A Shocking Result on the Cards?

All eyes turn to Jan Breydelstadion on 2025-04-05 at 15:00 UTC, as Cercle Brugge host Beerschot Wilrijk in what could be one of the most surprising results of the Jupiler Pro League weekend. While the odds heavily favor the home side at 1.56, our AI-powered prediction system at NerdyTips sees something different brewing beneath the surface — an unexpected away win.

With Beerschot Wilrijk priced at a massive 5.74 for the win, punters looking for value may want to consider this as a potential upset, especially with our AI’s 1X2 prediction pointing toward an away win (2) — albeit with a low trust rating of 1.4. But as any seasoned bettor knows, it’s in these low-confidence, high-reward picks where surprises often lie.

Team Insights and Stats

Cercle Brugge: Unconvincing Form Despite Home Advantage

Cercle Brugge may be the favorites, but their recent form tells a different story. They’ve managed just one win in their last 10 matches, with an average of 0.9 goals scored per game and 1.6 goals conceded. They’ve had five matches go over 2.5 goals, and their average possession sits at 49.8%.

Despite their historical edge at home — where Jupiler Pro League teams win 39.1% of the time — Cercle Brugge’s current performances don’t inspire much confidence. Their 14.1 shots per match show they’re creating chances, but the finishing has been far from clinical.

Beerschot Wilrijk: Gritty, Underestimated, and Dangerous

On the other side, Beerschot Wilrijk also come into this game with just one win in their last 10 matches. But they’ve shown flashes of resilience, particularly in their 2-2 draw against Club Brugge KV — a result that stunned many, especially given the odds of 1.25 for a Club Brugge win.

Beerschot have averaged 0.7 goals per match and conceded 1.8, but they’ve managed to keep matches tight. With 11 average shots per game and 46% possession, they’re not dominant, but they are disciplined. Their last encounter with Cercle Brugge on 2024-08-11 ended in a 4-1 defeat, but football has a short memory, and Beerschot may be out for redemption.

Betting Market Overview

1X2 Market: Beerschot Wilrijk Worth a Punt?

The odds are stacked against Beerschot Wilrijk, with the away win priced at 5.74. However, our AI model has flagged this as a potentially profitable underdog opportunity. Cercle Brugge’s shaky form, even at home, combined with Beerschot’s ability to grind out surprising results, makes the away win a tempting longshot.

While the confidence level is low (1.4), bettors looking for value in the 1X2 market might consider a small stake on Beerschot Wilrijk to win.

Top Tip: Under 3.5 Goals

The most reliable betting insight from our system is the under 3.5 goals market, which comes with a strong trust rating of 6.7/10 and odds of 1.38. Both teams have struggled to score in recent weeks, and the predicted final score of 0:1 supports this tip.

Historically, 29.3% of Jupiler Pro League matches end with more than 3.5 goals — but this fixture is unlikely to join that list. With Beerschot scoring under one goal per game and Cercle Brugge not faring much better, a low-scoring affair seems likely.

Correct Score Prediction: 0-1 to Beerschot Wilrijk

Our AI system predicts a 0:1 result in favor of the away side. This aligns with the under 3.5 goals tip and the idea that Beerschot could pull off a surprise. The first half is expected to be cagey, with a 0:0 scoreline anticipated at half-time.

Match Stats Breakdown

Let’s look at the projected match stats:

Possession: Cercle Brugge 58% – Beerschot Wilrijk 42%
Total Shots: Cercle Brugge 19 – Beerschot Wilrijk 10
Shots on Target: Cercle Brugge 5 – Beerschot Wilrijk 2
Corners: Cercle Brugge 7 – Beerschot Wilrijk 5
Yellow Cards: 1 each

Despite Cercle Brugge’s dominance in possession and shots, the prediction still favors a Beerschot win — suggesting that the visitors may be clinical with the few chances they get, while the hosts may struggle to convert.

Historical Trends and League Insights

Looking at the broader Jupiler Pro League trends, home teams win 39.1% of the time, while away wins occur in 27.8% of games. Draws are also common, making up 33.2% of results.

Interestingly, both teams have similar BTTS (both teams to score) rates — 52.7% for Cercle Brugge and 51.7% for Beerschot Wilrijk. However, given the prediction of a 0:1 scoreline, this market might not be worth exploring this time.

When it comes to goals:

80.2% of Cercle Brugge’s matches had over 1.5 goals
72.4% for Beerschot Wilrijk
29.0% of Cercle Brugge’s matches saw over 3.5 goals
34.5% for Beerschot Wilrijk

These stats reinforce the under 3.5 goals tip, as both sides tend to be involved in low to moderate scoring games.

Final Verdict: Bet Smart, Think Bold

This match has all the ingredients for a surprise. On paper, Cercle Brugge should win, but recent form, historical data, and AI predictions all hint at something different. Beerschot Wilrijk have shown they can defy the odds, and with the pressure off, they might just do it again.

Our top betting tips for Cercle Brugge vs Beerschot Wilrijk:

Best Bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38 (Confidence: 6.7/10)
Value Bet: Beerschot Wilrijk to win at 5.74 (Low confidence, high reward)
Correct Score Prediction: 0-1

This Jupiler Pro League encounter could be one for the punters who enjoy backing the underdog. Keep an eye on the live odds as kick-off approaches — and remember, in Belgian football, surprises are never far away.