Arsenal W vs Chelsea W Tips: AI Predictions & Best Bets
FA WSL Betting Preview: Arsenal Women vs Chelsea Women
The FA Women’s Super League brings us a classic London derby as Arsenal Women welcome Chelsea Women to the Emirates Stadium. Both teams are among the strongest in England, and this fixture is always a highlight for football fans and bettors alike. With both sides eyeing the top of the table, this encounter is set to be a key moment in the early title race.
About the FA Women’s Super League
The FA WSL stands as England’s premier women’s football league, known for its high level of competition and passionate following. Over the last four years, home teams have won 41.2% of matches, while away sides have come out on top in 35.1%. Draws make up 23.8% of results, showing a balanced league where anything can happen. In terms of goals, 68.9% of matches see over 1.5 goals, 52.2% go over 2.5 goals, and 33.9% finish with more than 3.5 goals. Both teams score in 39.1% of games, highlighting the attacking style often seen in the WSL.
Team Insights: Arsenal Women vs Chelsea Women
Arsenal Women
Arsenal Women are a club with a rich history and a strong recent record. Over their last 75 matches, they’ve won an impressive 70.7%. Their draw rate stands at 8%, and they’ve lost the rest. In terms of goals, 78.7% of their games have seen over 1.5 goals, 66.7% over 2.5, and 53.3% over 3.5. Both teams have scored in 45.3% of Arsenal’s matches, showing a tendency for open games.
Looking at their recent form, Arsenal have won 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per game and conceding 0.9. Half of these matches finished with more than 2.5 goals. Their recent run is solid but not as dominant as their long-term record.
Chelsea Women
Chelsea Women have been the team to beat in recent years. Out of their last 82 matches, they’ve won 82.9%, with a draw rate of 7.3%. Their attacking numbers are strong: 80.5% of their games have over 1.5 goals, 65.9% over 2.5, and 42.7% over 3.5. Both teams scored in 42.7% of their matches.
Chelsea’s current form is excellent, with 8 wins from their last 10 games. They average 2.2 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per match, showing a tight defence and sharp attack. Five of their last 10 games went over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head and Recent Highlights
When these sides last met on 2024-10-12, Chelsea edged Arsenal 2-1. This history suggests tight, hard-fought matches. Both teams have also pulled off big wins against Barcelona Women in Europe, with Arsenal winning 1-0 in May 2025 as 10.0 underdogs, and Chelsea winning 1-0 away in April 2024 as 12.68 outsiders. These results highlight the quality and resilience of both squads.
Betting Tips and Predictions
For this high-profile fixture, the odds are as follows: Arsenal Women to win at 2.28, Draw at 3.36, and Chelsea Women to win at 2.67. The market expects a closely contested match, with no clear favourite.
Best Tip: Under 3.5 Goals (Odds: 1.33)
Our AI-powered system recommends backing under 3.5 goals as the strongest bet for this match. The confidence rating is 2.2/10, which suggests a cautious approach, but the odds of 1.33 reflect the likelihood of a lower-scoring game. This fits with both teams’ recent defensive solidity and the fact that only 33.9% of WSL games go over 3.5 goals.
Supporting Stats for Under 3.5 Goals
– Arsenal W: 53.3% of matches over 3.5 goals (slightly higher than league average)
– Chelsea W: 42.7% over 3.5 goals
– Recent form: Both teams have seen 5 of their last 10 games go over 2.5, but not all have reached 4 goals
– Both teams have strong defensive records, especially Chelsea, who concede just 0.4 goals per game recently
The expected scoreline from our AI is 0:1 in favour of Chelsea, with a predicted 0:0 at half-time. This further supports the under 3.5 goals tip.
Double Chance: X2 (Chelsea Win or Draw, Odds: 1.5)
Another value bet is the double chance on Chelsea (X2), with a trust level of 2.2. Chelsea have a better win rate both historically and in recent form, and they are unbeaten this season. Arsenal have been solid but less consistent, making Chelsea the safer side to back not to lose.
Summary and Final Thoughts
This London derby promises a tactical battle between two top clubs. While both teams are capable of scoring, their recent defensive records and the pressure of the occasion suggest a tight affair. The best betting angle is under 3.5 goals, with Chelsea Women to avoid defeat as a strong secondary option. Bettors should expect a competitive match, likely decided by a single goal, with Chelsea’s consistency giving them a slight edge.
For more football tips, predictions, and AI-powered insights, keep following our platform for the latest updates and value bets throughout the FA WSL season.