Benfica vs Sporting CP: AI Football Predictions

Taça de Portugal Derby: The Eternal Derby

The Taça de Portugal’s most storied fixture, known as the “Derby de Lisboa,” sees Benfica and Sporting CP lock horns once again. With both sides boasting a rich history and fierce rivalry, this encounter promises high drama and tactical intrigue at every turn.

League & Teams Overview

Benfica and Sporting CP have dominated Portuguese football for decades, and their head-to-heads rarely disappoint. Benfica enters this derby with a 66.3% win rate over their last 166 matches, while Sporting CP edges slightly higher at 66.5% from 164 games. Historically, draws are less common, accounting for around 18% of matches for both teams. Benfica’s recent form is impressive, with 7 wins in their last 10, averaging 3.1 goals scored and conceding just 0.8 per match. Sporting CP, meanwhile, have 8 wins from 10, with a tighter defense—only 0.5 goals conceded per game.

AI Betting Tips & Statistical Insights

Powered by NerdyTips AI NT 4.0, the best tip is 1X (Benfica win or draw) at 1.36 odds and 8.0/10 confidence. This recommendation is rooted in Benfica’s strong home record and their ability to avoid defeat in high-stakes derbies. Given Sporting CP’s resilience, a draw remains a possibility, but Benfica’s recent attacking prowess tips the scale.

For the 1×2 market, the AI predicts a Benfica win (1) at 2.20 odds and 8.0/10 confidence. The home side’s superior goal average and historical edge in the derby suggest they’re primed for victory.

The under 3.5 goals tip (odds 1.42, 4.4/10 confidence) aligns with the typically cagey nature of Portuguese derbies—both teams are defensively disciplined, and recent head-to-heads have been low-scoring.

Final Score Prediction & Match Dynamics

Expect a tactical battle, with Benfica controlling possession (57%) and creating more opportunities. Our AI model predicts a 2:0 win for Benfica, with a 1:0 lead at half-time. The stats support a tight contest, but the Eagles’ home advantage and recent form make them the smart pick.

Best Tip: 1X (Benfica win or draw) at 1.36 odds—a safe and value-driven bet for the Derby de Lisboa.