Dundee Derby AI Predictions & Betting Tips

Historic Rivalry Renewed: Dundee Utd vs Dundee Betting Insights

The Dundee Derby returns as Dundee United and Dundee lock horns in the Scottish Premiership. This fixture is one of Scotland’s most fiercely contested rivalries, with both sides eager to claim local bragging rights. With kick-off set for 15:00 UTC on March 16, 2025, bettors are analyzing the odds and statistics to find the best value bets.

Dundee United enters this match as the slight favorite with odds of 1.82 for a home victory, while a draw is priced at 3.60 and an away win for Dundee at 4.20. But do the numbers support these odds? Let’s break down the key stats and betting insights.

Key Betting Statistics & Trends

Over the past four years in the Scottish Premiership, home teams have won 39.3% of matches, while away teams have secured victory in 26.9% of games. Draws have occurred in 33.8% of fixtures, making the 3.60 odds for a draw an interesting option for value seekers.

Looking at both teams’ recent performances, Dundee United has won 40.0% of its last 125 matches, while Dundee has won 34.1% of its last 126. Both teams have been inconsistent, with Dundee United drawing 25.6% of their games and Dundee recording a slightly higher draw percentage at 29.4%.

One of the most compelling trends is the likelihood of goals. More than 1.5 goals have been scored in 72.8% of Dundee United’s matches and a staggering 81.7% of Dundee’s games. This aligns well with our best tip: Over 1.5 goals, which comes with a 3.5/10 confidence rating and odds of 1.28.

Recent Form & Expected Match Dynamics

Dundee United has struggled in recent weeks, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.6 goals per match. Their lack of attacking firepower is concerning, but they have managed to keep games tight.

Dundee, on the other hand, has also won 2 of their last 10 matches, but they have been involved in high-scoring encounters, averaging 1.3 goals per game while conceding 2.6 goals per match. A notable stat is that 8 of their last 10 games have seen over 2.5 goals, making the Over 2.5 goals market (44.5% league average) an option to consider.

Possession-wise, Dundee United is expected to control 57% of the ball, while Dundee will have 43%. However, Dundee has been more efficient in attack, averaging 10 shots per game, compared to Dundee United’s 9.56 shots per match.

Head-to-Head & Recent Upsets

The last time these two sides met on August 4, 2024, the match ended in a 2-2 draw, showcasing the competitive nature of this rivalry. Interestingly, Dundee United was priced at 2.40 for a win, while Dundee had odds of 2.97, indicating a closely contested matchup.

Both teams have also pulled off surprising results against Celtic this season. Dundee United managed a 0-0 draw with Celtic in December 2024 at staggering odds of 10.5, while Dundee shocked the league with a 3-3 draw against Celtic in January 2025 at 13.0 odds. These results suggest that both teams are capable of stepping up in big matches.

Predictions & Best Bets

Based on the stats and recent form, our AI model predicts a 2-1 victory for Dundee United, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. While Dundee United has struggled in front of goal, their home advantage and expected possession dominance could be the deciding factors.

Our best betting tip for this match is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28 odds, backed by a 3.5/10 confidence rating. Given that 65.0% of Scottish Premiership matches see at least two goals, and both teams have high percentages for this outcome, this bet offers a strong probability of success.

For those looking for higher odds, a Dundee United win (1X2 market) at 1.82 is another option, though it comes with a lower confidence rating of 2.1/10.

Final Thoughts

The Dundee Derby is always unpredictable, but the data suggests a match with goals. Dundee’s defensive vulnerabilities and Dundee United’s home advantage make Over 1.5 goals the safest bet. However, with both teams showing inconsistency, bettors should approach the 1X2 market with caution.

Will Dundee United secure a crucial win, or can Dundee cause an upset? One thing is certain—this derby will deliver excitement for fans and bettors alike.