Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Match Preview
Betting Predictions Bulgaria First League
Posted on November 04, 2025

Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia: Bet of the day


The Eternal Derby: Bulgaria’s Fiercest Football Rivalry Returns

When Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia clash, the city of Sofia stands still. The Eternal Derby isn’t just a football match—it’s a spectacle, a tradition, and a battle for the soul of Bulgarian football. As the two most decorated clubs in the country, Levski and CSKA bring decades of history, pride, and passion to the pitch, making this fixture the highlight of the First League calendar.

Current Odds & Betting Markets

Bookmakers are expecting a tight contest:

  • Levski Sofia (Home Win): 1.99
  • Draw: 3.10
  • CSKA Sofia (Away Win): 3.90

For the total goals market, under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57, reflecting the expectation of a cagey, hard-fought derby.

Historic Rivalry & Recent Form

Levski Sofia and CSKA Sofia are more than just football clubs—they’re institutions. CSKA boasts 31 national titles, while Levski has lifted the trophy 26 times. Their meetings are legendary, often defined by drama, tension, and moments of brilliance.

Recent form gives Levski Sofia a slight edge. They’ve won 8 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and conceding just 0.5 per game. CSKA Sofia have also been strong, with 6 wins in their last 10, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.7 per match. Both teams are defensively solid, which often leads to tightly contested derbies.

Key Stats & Trends

Let’s break down some crucial stats from the last four years in the Bulgarian First League:

  • Home wins: 45.6%
  • Away wins: 29.9%
  • Draws: 24.5%
  • Both teams scored: 43.0%
  • Over 2.5 goals: 42.7%

For Levski Sofia specifically:

  • 55.9% win rate over 152 games
  • 37.5% of matches went over 2.5 goals
  • 34.2% saw both teams score

For CSKA Sofia:

  • 53.3% win rate over 150 games
  • 39.3% of matches went over 2.5 goals
  • 35.3% saw both teams score

These stats highlight the competitive balance between the two sides, but also suggest that high-scoring games are not the norm when these teams meet.

Head-to-Head Insights

The last time these sides met, Levski Sofia edged out CSKA Sofia 1-0—a result that fits the derby’s reputation for low-scoring, tense affairs. In fact, the under 2.5 goals market has been a profitable angle in recent Eternal Derby encounters, as both teams tend to prioritize defensive solidity over attacking flair in these high-pressure situations.

Tactical Analysis & Team News

Levski Sofia typically line up in a 4-3-3, focusing on quick transitions and disciplined defending. Their recent run of form has been built on a strong backline and the ability to strike on the counter. CSKA Sofia, under manager Hristo Yanev, are known for their competitive spirit and tactical flexibility, often adapting their approach to nullify the opposition’s strengths.

With both sides boasting solid defensive records and a history of tight matches, it’s no surprise that the under 2.5 goals market is attracting attention from bettors and tipsters alike.

NerdyTips AI NT 4.0 Predictions & Best Bets

Powered by NerdyTips AI NT 4.0, here’s how the smart money is shaping up:

  • Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals (Odds: 1.57, Confidence: 3.5/10)
  • 1X2 Prediction: Levski Sofia to win (Odds: 1.99, Confidence: 3.4/10)
  • Expected Final Score: 2:0 Levski Sofia
  • Predicted Half-Time Score: 1:0 Levski Sofia

The AI leans towards a disciplined, low-scoring affair, with Levski Sofia’s home advantage tipping the scales in their favor. The under 2.5 goals market looks particularly appealing given the historical and statistical trends.

Betting Strategy & Value Picks

Given the odds and the derby’s history, here’s how to approach your bets:

  • Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57: The Eternal Derby is rarely a goal-fest. Both teams’ recent defensive records and the pressure of the occasion suggest another tight game. While the odds aren’t huge, the probability is high.
  • Levski Sofia to Win @ 1.99: With home advantage and better recent form, Levski are justifiable favorites. The odds offer decent value for a home win in a fixture where the hosts have historically had the edge.
  • Correct Score 2:0: For those seeking bigger returns, a 2:0 win for Levski aligns with both the AI prediction and recent trends.

Final Thoughts: Expect Fireworks, But Not a Goal Rush

The Eternal Derby is always unpredictable, but the numbers point to a closely fought battle with few goals. Levski Sofia’s home form and defensive strength give them the edge, but CSKA Sofia’s resilience means nothing is guaranteed. For bettors, the under 2.5 goals market is the standout pick, with a home win also offering value.

Whatever happens, expect passion, intensity, and another unforgettable chapter in Bulgaria’s greatest football rivalry.