Rapid Vienna vs Austria Vienna: Match Predictions
The 350th Vienna Derby: A Historic Battle
On Sunday, May 10, 2026, the Allianz Stadion in Hütteldorf will host the 350th edition of the Vienna Derby between SK Rapid Vienna and FK Austria Vienna. This is not just any match—it is one of the oldest and most passionate derbies in European football. Kick-off is at 16:00 UTC (17:00 local time), and the atmosphere will be electric. For bettors, this game offers some clear opportunities based on data and expert analysis from NerdyTips AI NT 4.0.
Current Odds and Best Bet
The bookmakers see Rapid Vienna as slight favorites, with a home win priced at 2.22. A draw is at 3.45, and an away win for Austria Vienna is at 3.35. However, the top recommendation from the AI is the 1X bet (home team to win or draw) with odds of 1.36 and a confidence rating of 8.5/10. This is a safe option that covers Rapid’s strong home record and the derby’s tendency to be tight.
For those looking for a more aggressive pick, the 1X2 prediction is a home win (1) with odds of 2.22 and 7.8/10 confidence. The AI also expects goals: the over 1.5 goals market is tipped with 7.3/10 confidence and odds of 1.28. The predicted final score is 2:1 to Rapid Vienna, with a half-time score of 1:1.
Key Statistics and Form
Looking at the Austrian Bundesliga over the last four years, home teams win 39.6% of games, away teams win 34.5%, and draws happen 25.9% of the time. Both teams score in 55.3% of matches, and over 1.5 goals occur in 78.9% of games. These numbers support the over 1.5 goals tip.
Rapid Vienna have won 40.2% of their last 189 matches, while Austria Vienna have a 44.7% win rate in their last 170 games. In recent form, Rapid won 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Austria Vienna won 3 of their last 10, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.9 on average. Notably, 5 of Austria Vienna’s last 10 games saw over 2.5 goals.
Possession stats favor Rapid, who average 55.9% possession compared to Austria’s 46%. Shots are similar: Rapid average 8.8 per game, Austria 9. This suggests a competitive match where Rapid may control the ball but both sides create chances.
Head-to-Head and Recent Surprises
In the last derby on September 28, 2025, Austria Vienna won 3:1 at home. The odds then were 1.92 for Rapid and 3.85 for Austria. That result shows how unpredictable this fixture can be. However, both teams have pulled off big upsets recently. Rapid beat Salzburg away on March 15, 2026, with odds of 5.5, winning 1:0. Austria Vienna also shocked Salzburg on their ground on February 6, 2026, winning 2:0 as 5.7 underdogs. These results prove both sides can rise to the occasion.
Match Projections and Betting Insights
The AI predicts Rapid will have 60% possession, take 9 shots (2 on target), and earn 4 corners. Austria Vienna are expected to have 40% possession, 7 shots (2 on target), and 3 corners. Both teams are likely to receive 2 yellow cards each. These numbers point to a balanced game where Rapid’s home advantage and possession edge could be decisive.
For bettors, the 1X bet at 1.36 is the safest choice, given Rapid’s home form and the derby’s history of close results. The over 1.5 goals market also looks strong, as 79.4% of both teams’ recent matches have seen at least two goals. If you want higher odds, the home win at 2.22 is backed by solid confidence.
Final Thoughts
The 350th Vienna Derby promises drama, passion, and goals. Whether you are a fan or a bettor, the data supports a home win or draw, with goals likely. For more expert tips on other leagues, check out Ligue 1 predictions on NerdyTips. Remember to bet responsibly and enjoy the match.