icon back

Match Prediction

Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Fateh

€16.80m

29 Jan10:00
2 : 2

Al Ittihad

€141.75m

Preview

Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad Prediction Pro League

Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad prediction: points, pressure, and plot

The Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad prediction for Thursday, 2026-01-29 (kickoff 15:00 GMT) comes with a familiar theme in the Saudi Pro League: a mid-table home side trying to steady the ship, and the defending champions arriving with more noise around them than they would like. The setting is Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium in Al-Ahsa, where Al Fateh (10th, 21 pts) host Al Ittihad (6th, 30 pts) in Matchday 19.

Match context, team news, and how it may play out

Al Fateh have been hard to predict this season, especially at home. Their league record in Al-Ahsa has been “all or nothing” (wins and losses, no draws), and that mood fits the current moment: they need a response after back-to-back defeats, including a 2-0 loss to Al Fayha and a painful 5-2 reverse against Al Kholood. Their defensive numbers have also dragged them down, with the back line sitting among the weaker units in the league.

Across the tunnel, Al Ittihad arrive in a transition season. They are still carrying the status of reigning champions (their 10th title came in 2024-25), but the football has not always matched the reputation. Sergio Conceição has tried to add structure and intensity, yet injuries and contract situations have made the week-to-week reality messy rather than majestic.

Key storylines worth knowing before you bet

  • Karim Benzema uncertainty: reports suggest Benzema asked to be left out, with contract talks going nowhere and a possible return to Europe being discussed. If he does not feature, Ittihad lose a natural focal point.
  • Diaby in the headlines: Moussa Diaby is also surrounded by transfer speculation, with talk of a loan-to-buy move. Even when a player is available, that kind of noise can affect rhythm.
  • Al Fateh defensive absences: starting defenders Saeed Baattia and Ziyad Aljari are reportedly out, which matters a lot against a team expected to spend most of the match in your half.
  • Ittihad’s patched-up back line: injuries have forced makeshift solutions, including midfielders covering at center-back. That can leave moments to attack, even for an underdog.

Tactical expectations: structure vs control

José Gomes is expected to lean into protection first. A 5-3-2 shape makes sense for Al Fateh right now: lower risk, more bodies around the box, and a clearer plan to survive the stretches without the ball. Zaydou Youssouf’s job should be to screen the defense and slow counters, while Mourad Batna remains the main supplier of ideas—his creativity has been a season-long lifeline, with seven assists to his name.

For Al Ittihad, the plan is usually simpler to describe than to execute: hold territory, squeeze the game, and let quality decide it. With Benzema likely absent, the finishing and final-pass responsibility shifts more toward Diaby and Ahmed Al-Ghamdi, and the visitors may try to win the match by pinning Al Fateh deep rather than turning it into a track meet.

Head to head notes to keep in mind

  • Head to head history traditionally leans Al Ittihad’s way: 14 wins to Al Fateh’s 5 in the last 27 meetings.
  • The most recent H2H on 2025-04-17 went against the usual script, with Al Fateh winning 2-0 despite Al Ittihad being priced shorter.

Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad prediction: odds, tips, and AI picks

The market is clearly backing the visitors. Current 1X2 odds are: Home win 6.0, Draw 4.65, Away win 1.62. Even with the off-field questions, the price tells you bookmakers expect Al Ittihad to control the game.

What our numbers suggest (and why)

NerdyTips’ top betting tips for this match line up with that idea: the most profitable 1X2 play is 2 (Al Ittihad to win) at 1.62, with a trust rating of 5.7/10. That trust score is solid rather than absolute—very fitting for a match where the away side is stronger, but not perfectly settled.

AI match projections

  • Full-time result: Al Ittihad to win (1.62), trust 5.7/10
  • Goals market: Under 3.5 goals (1.78), confidence 4.7/10
  • Correct score: 1-2
  • Half-time score: 0-1

Stats snapshot: where the edge is expected

The projections paint a match where Al Fateh spend long spells absorbing pressure. Possession is estimated at 38% for the hosts and 62% for Al Ittihad, with shot volume also tilted heavily: 7 shots for Al Fateh versus 17 for Al Ittihad. On target, it’s projected 2 to 6—enough to hint that Al Fateh may create chances, but the visitors should create more, and better ones.

  • Possession: Al Fateh 38% vs Al Ittihad 62%
  • Total shots: 7 vs 17
  • Shots on goal: 2 vs 6
  • Corners: 4 vs 8 (12 total)
  • Yellow cards: 2 vs 0

How form and value back up the prediction

There is also a big financial reality behind the odds. Al Fateh’s squad value is estimated at €16.80m, while Al Ittihad sit around €141.75m. Money does not score goals by itself, but over a season it usually buys more match winners—and that tends to show in games where one team is expected to dominate the ball.

Both teams have already shown they can upset the expected script. Al Fateh’s 2-1 win over Al Ahli on 2025-12-26 came at big odds (5.3), and Al Ittihad’s 2-1 away win at Al Nassr on 2025-10-28 was also a surprise to the market (5.8). That’s a useful reminder: this league has talent everywhere, and “safe” bets are often only safe on paper.

Final verdict: best angles for bettors

In our Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad prediction, the clearest path is still the away win, mainly because the game script points toward Al Ittihad controlling possession, territory, and shot count. The value pick alongside it is Under 3.5 goals, which fits a match where Al Fateh may sit deep in a 5-3-2 and Al Ittihad may try to win without turning the game wild—especially if Benzema is not involved.

  • Best 1X2 bet: Al Ittihad to win (2) @ 1.62
  • Best goals bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.78
  • Projected score: Al Fateh 1-2 Al Ittihad

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Ittihad

2 -161

Al Ittihad is expected to win with odds of -161
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 -161

Al Ittihad is expected to win with odds of -161
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -128

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -179

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U5.5 -263

Away win/draw and under 5.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

0.97
xG
2.24
38%
Ball Possession
62%
7
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Goal
6
3
Shots Off Goal
7
4
Corners
8

Average / Match

1.23
Expected Goals
2.16
3
Total Goals
2.6
1.4
Goals Scored
1.9
1.6
Goals Against
0.7
42%
Possession
61%
10.8
Total Shots
16.9
3.6
Shots on Goal
6.5
4.8
Shots off Goal
7.2
13.2
Fouls
11.6
5
Corners
8
1.9
Offsides
2.1
299
Total Passes
541

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
3
6
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
1

Head to Head

Al Fateh
5 - 5 - 12
Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 12-Sep-25
4:2
 Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 17-Apr-25
2:0
 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 24-Nov-24
2:0
 Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 16-Mar-24
2:4
 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 21-Sep-23
2:1
 Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 18-Mar-23
1:5
 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 07-Oct-22
3:1
 Al Fateh Al Fateh
Al Fateh Al Fateh 06-May-22
4:4
 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
Al Fateh Al Fateh 20-Dec-21
2:3
 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad
Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 04-Nov-21
3:0
 Al Fateh Al Fateh

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Fateh

25 JanL Al Fayha Al Fayha.
2:0
 Al Fateh. Al Fateh
20 JanL Al Fateh Al Fateh.
2:5
 Al Kholood. Al Kholood
16 JanD Al Najma Al Najma.
1:1
 Al Fateh. Al Fateh
13 JanW Al Fateh Al Fateh.
3:1
 Al Riyadh. Al Riyadh
10 JanW Neom SC Neom SC.
0:1
 Al Fateh. Al Fateh
03 JanW Al Fateh Al Fateh.
2:0
 Al Shabab. Al Shabab
29 DecW Al Khaleej Al Khaleej.
0:1
 Al Fateh. Al Fateh
26 DecW Al Fateh Al Fateh.
2:1
 Al Ahli SC. Al Ahli SC
29 NovL Al Hilal Al Hilal.
4:1
 Al Fateh. Al Fateh
22 NovL Al Hilal Al Hilal.
2:1
 Al Fateh. Al Fateh

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Ittihad

26 JanWAl Ittihad Al Ittihad.
2:1
Al Okhdood.Al Okhdood
22 JanLAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya.
2:1
Al Ittihad.Al Ittihad
16 JanLAl Ittihad Al Ittihad.
0:1
Al Ettifaq.Al Ettifaq
13 JanDDamac Damac.
1:1
Al Ittihad.Al Ittihad
09 JanWAl Kholood Al Kholood.
0:4
Al Ittihad.Al Ittihad
03 JanWAl Ittihad Al Ittihad.
1:0
Al Taawon.Al Taawon
31 DecWNeom SC Neom SC.
1:3
Al Ittihad.Al Ittihad
27 DecWAl Ittihad Al Ittihad.
2:0
Al Shabab.Al Shabab
23 DecWAl Ittihad Al Ittihad.
1:0
Nasaf Qarshi.Nasaf Qarshi
29 NovWAl Ittihad Al Ittihad.
4:1
Al Shabab.Al Shabab

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi17
45-16
45
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah17
29-12
40
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah17
41-16
39
4 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr16
44-18
37
5 Al Taawon Al Taawon16
35-19
35
6 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq17
27-26
29
7 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC16
29-20
27
8 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej17
37-27
25
9 NEOM NEOM17
21-28
21
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh17
22-31
21
11 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm16
17-29
17
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha17
16-31
17
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood17
25-32
15
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab17
14-25
13
15 Damac Damac16
13-28
11
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh17
17-37
11
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood16
13-31
9
18 Al Najma Al Najma17
17-36
4
Video preview

Trusted by:

BeSoccer logo BeSoccer
DAZN logo DAZN
OneFootball logo OneFootball
Football365 logo Football365
YahooSports logo YahooSports
PlanetFootball logo PlanetFootball
BeSoccer logo BeSoccer
DAZN logo DAZN
OneFootball logo OneFootball
Football365 logo Football365
YahooSports logo YahooSports
PlanetFootball logo PlanetFootball
You might also like:
Lens vs Le Havre Brighton vs Everton Toulouse vs Auxerre
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches