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Match Prediction

Al Okhdood vs Al Qadisiya Prediction

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Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia

Al Okhdood

€13.43m

20 Feb14:00
2 : 4

Al Qadisiya

€119.72m

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Al Okhdood vs Al Qadisiya Prediction Pro League

Al Okhdood vs Al Qadisiya prediction: form, tactics and odds

Our Al Okhdood vs Al Qadisiya prediction starts with the simple calendar note: 2026.52-20, 19:00 GMT, at Prince Hathloul bin Abdulaziz Sport City Stadium in Najran. It’s Round 23, and the stakes are very different—Okhdood are scrapping near the relegation line, while Qadisiya are chasing a top-three finish with the calm confidence of a team that expects to be on the front foot.

Context, team news, and how the game may look

Since Brendan Rodgers arrived in December 2025, Al Qadisiya have leaned hard into a high-pressing, possession-first plan. That usually means long spells in the opponent’s half, quick recoveries after losing the ball, and a steady stream of chances. The “Knights of the East” also have quality to match the idea: Mateo Retegui has delivered big numbers (12 goals in 20 games since joining from Atalanta), with creative support from Julián Quiñones. Add the experience of Nacho at the back and the control of Otávio (a major winter 2026 addition), and you get a side that can win games in more than one way.

Al Okhdood, coached by the famously expressive Marius Șumudică, are more likely to play the survival classic: defend first, counter when possible, and hope Christian Bassogog can turn one run into one goal. The mood matters too. Local noise has followed some of Șumudică’s public comments praising stronger opponents—fans rarely enjoy hearing “they’re very good” right before kickoff. On the pitch, one bright spot is defender Gökhan Gül, who reportedly has an eye-catching one-on-one stat this season: among regular starters, he’s one of the few not successfully dribbled past.

Quick notes that could swing small margins

  • Injuries/availability: Qadisiya goalkeeper Koen Casteels has been monitored since an early-January issue; check lineups close to kickoff. Okhdood’s Khaled Al-Lazam has been sidelined.
  • Staff discipline: Rodgers has stressed tactical and mental discipline after a recent on-field altercation—usually a sign standards are high.
  • Money gap: Okhdood’s squad value (€13.43m) vs Qadisiya (€119.72m) underlines the uphill task.
  • Head to head: recent meetings have been tight, including two 0-0 draws (2024-09-19 and the surprising 2025-10-25 result where Okhdood held Qadisiya away).

AI betting tips, odds, and scoreline expectations

The market is blunt: 11.25 for a home win, 6.5 for the draw, and 1.271 for an away win. NerdyTips’ best betting tips agree with the odds: tip 2 (away win) lands at 1.271 with a perfect trust level of 11.25/10. Our 1x2 call is also 2 at 1.271, trust 11.25.

Why the numbers back an away win

  • Possession: 34% Okhdood vs 66% Qadisiya suggests a long night of defending for the hosts.
  • Shots: 8 vs 15 overall, and 2 vs 4 on target—Qadisiya simply project more sustained threat.
  • Corners: 2 vs 7 (total 9) fits the “away pressure” story and supports Qadisiya territory.
  • Discipline: 3 yellow cards predicted for Okhdood vs 1 for Qadisiya—often what happens when you’re chasing shadows.

Goals, halftime lean, and the suggested correct score

The model points to Over 2.5 goals at 1.65 (confidence 2.9). That pairs neatly with the projected flow: Qadisiya pushing, Okhdood absorbing, then gaps appearing. The predicted halftime score is 0:1, with a full-time call of 0:3. Given the recent 0-0 head to head history, that sounds bold—but this season’s context, squad depth, and game-state pressure make it plausible.

Final takeaway: this Al Okhdood vs Al Qadisiya Prediction is built around one theme—Qadisiya control. Okhdood can still make it awkward (they’ve done it before), but if Rodgers’ side score first, the rest may feel like a professional job rather than a surprise story.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al Okhdood vs Al Qadisiya

2 -370

Al Qadisiya is expected to win with odds of -370
10/10

1x2 Tip

2 -370

Al Qadisiya is expected to win with odds of -370
10/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -185

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -123

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -556

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

0.77
xG
2.04
34%
Ball Possession
66%
8
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Goal
4
3
Shots Off Goal
6
2
Corners
7
3
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

0.79
Expected Goals
1.95
2.8
Total Goals
3.3
0.7
Goals Scored
2.6
2.1
Goals Against
0.7
40%
Possession
60%
8.7
Total Shots
13.3
2.5
Shots on Goal
4.8
3.2
Shots off Goal
5.3
9.6
Fouls
13.1
2.9
Corners
6.5
1.4
Offsides
2.2
3.11
Yellow Cards
2.5
315
Total Passes
549

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
8
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
7
3
Over 3.5 Goals
5
5
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al Okhdood
1 - 3 - 3
Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 25-Oct-25
0:0
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 21-Feb-25
2:0
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 19-Sep-24
0:0
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 28-Jan-23
0:0
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 23-Aug-22
1:3
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 02-Feb-22
1:2
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya
Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 22-Sep-21
3:1
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Okhdood

28 FebW Al Najma Al Najma 1 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 3
23 FebL Al Fateh Al Fateh 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1
20 FebL Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 2 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4
12 FebL Al Hazem Al Hazem 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1
05 FebL Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 0 Al Hilal Al Hilal 6
02 FebD Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1 Neom SC Neom SC 1
30 JanL Al Taawon Al Taawon 1 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 0
26 JanL Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 2 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1
21 JanD Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 2 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2
16 JanL Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 4 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 1

Profile time Recent Matches of Al Qadisiya

05 MarAl Kholood Al Kholood - Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya -
28 FebDAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Taawon Al Taawon 1
23 FebWAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0
20 FebWAl Okhdood Al Okhdood 2 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 4
12 FebWAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Neom SC Neom SC 0
07 FebDAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1
03 FebWAl Khaleej Al Khaleej 0 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 1
29 JanDAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 2 Al Hilal Al Hilal 2
25 JanWAl Najma Al Najma 1 Al Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 3
22 JanWAl Qadisiya Al Qadisiya 2 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 1

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr24
65-19
61
2 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah24
46-15
59
3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi24
62-23
58
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah24
55-22
54
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC24
39-28
42
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon24
42-29
41
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq24
35-42
38
8 NEOM NEOM24
29-33
32
9 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh24
32-43
28
10 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm24
26-44
28
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej24
42-38
27
12 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha24
28-41
27
13 Al Shabab Al Shabab24
30-38
25
14 Al Kholood Al Kholood24
32-42
25
15 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh24
22-45
16
16 Damac Damac24
18-41
16
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood24
22-50
13
18 Al Najma Al Najma24
22-54
8
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