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Borussia M

€149.30m

19 Apr13:30
1 : 1

FSV Mainz 05

€138.70m

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Borussia M vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach vs Mainz 05 prediction and odds

Borussia Monchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction time is here, and the calendar note is simple: Sunday, 2026-04-19 at 18:30 GMT, under the lights at Borussia-Park. This Borussia Monchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction comes with tasty betting odds (Home 2.35, Draw 3.55, Away 3.2) and a match-up that usually delivers tension, duels, and the kind of “one chance, one goal… maybe” football that makes snack bowls nervous.

Match context, form notes, and what to watch

Here are the latest updates, news-style notes, and the bigger picture for Gladbach vs Mainz. In the table, Mainz have been the kind of team that can look ordinary for 70 minutes and then suddenly remember they’re allowed to win away from home. Gladbach, meanwhile, often play with ambition at Borussia-Park, trying to control the ball and move opponents side to side until a gap opens.

One reason this fixture is tricky is that both sides have shown they can surprise strong opponents:

  • Gladbach earned a 1:1 draw away at Bayer Leverkusen on 2025-09-21, despite being priced at 5.2 to win. That’s a “we refuse to follow the script” kind of result.
  • Mainz beat RB Leipzig away on 2026-01-31, winning 1:2 with win odds of 5.8. Mainz away days are not always polite.

Style and tactical feel: control vs punchy transitions

Gladbach generally look happiest when they can keep the game in the opponent’s half and use patient attacks, while Mainz tend to be more direct and practical—pressing in moments, breaking quickly, and living for second balls. That mix often leads to a match where the middle of the pitch matters as much as the penalty boxes.

Squad value also hints at a fairly even contest: Gladbach are priced around €149.30m, Mainz at €138.70m. Not identical, but close enough that you shouldn’t expect one side to simply “buy” the game with quality.

Head to head: last meeting still fresh

The most recent head to head on 2025-03-07 ended Borussia Monchengladbach 1–3 FSV Mainz 05. Interestingly, the market leaned slightly toward Mainz back then (Gladbach 2.75, Mainz 2.6), and Mainz delivered. It’s a useful reminder that this match-up can swing away from home comfort levels.

NerdyTips picks: goal angle first, then the 1X2

Now to the numbers side of this Borussia Monchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction. Our AI leans toward a tight game and low total goals, even if both teams can produce a surprise result now and then.

Recommended bet: Under 3.55 total goals

  • Bet: Under 3.55 goals
  • Odds: 1.4
  • Trust level: 3.55/10 (confidence 3.55)

That aligns with the match forecast: possession 57% Gladbach vs 43% Mainz, shots 13–10, and on-target shots just 4–3. In other words, there may be effort and territory, but not a huge amount of clean finishing chances—more “nearly” than “surely.”

1X2 lean: Draw (X)

  • Best 1X2 bet: X (Draw)
  • Odds: 3.55
  • Trust score: 2.0/10

The low trust score is important: the draw price is appealing, but the AI is basically saying, “Yes, but don’t bet the grocery money.” Still, it fits the expected game shape.

Correct score and match props snapshot

  • Predicted final score: 0:0
  • Half-time prediction: 0:0
  • Estimated corners: 7 total (Gladbach 3, Mainz 4)
  • Estimated yellow cards: Gladbach 2, Mainz 1

Putting it all together: the betting odds suggest a balanced contest, the head to head warns against assuming home comfort, and our AI points toward a cautious match with limited total goals. If you like order, Under 3.55 is the cleanest angle; if you like drama, the draw at 3.55 is the “maybe the football gods choose calm” option.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

FSV Mainz 05 didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Borussia M vs FSV Mainz 05

U3.5 -250

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -250
3/10

1x2 Tip

X 255

The match is expected to end in a draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -250

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No 120

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 100

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Stats Predictions

1.25
xG
1.23
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
3
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.14
Expected Goals
1.3
2.9
Total Goals
2.3
1.2
Goals Scored
1.3
1.7
Goals Against
1
47%
Possession
40%
12.7
Total Shots
11
4.3
Shots on Goal
4
4.8
Shots off Goal
4.6
9.7
Fouls
10.9
3.3
Corners
4.4
2.1
Offsides
2.5
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.5
428
Total Passes
336

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Borussia Monchengladbach
13 - 11 - 8
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 05-Dec-25
0:1
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 25-Oct-24
1:1
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 02-Mar-24
1:1
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 24-Feb-23
4:0
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 05-Nov-21
1:1
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 24-Oct-20
2:3
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 24-Aug-19
1:3
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 15-Apr-11
1:0
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 05-May-12
0:3
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 11-May-13
2:4
Borussia M Borussia Monchengladbach

Profile time Recent Matches of Borussia M

20 MayW Spelle-Ve Spelle-Ve 2 Borussia M Borussia M 6
16 MayW Borussia M Borussia M 4 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0
09 MayL FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 Borussia M Borussia M 1
03 MayW Borussia M Borussia M 1 Borussia D Borussia D 0
25 AprD VfL W VfL W 0 Borussia M Borussia M 0
19 AprD Borussia M Borussia M 1 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1
11 AprL RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1 Borussia M Borussia M 0
04 AprD Borussia M Borussia M 2 Heidenheim Heidenheim 2
21 MarD 1. FC Koln 1. FC Koln 3 Borussia M Borussia M 3
13 MarW Borussia M Borussia M 2 St. Pauli St. Pauli 0

Profile time Recent Matches Of FSV Mainz 05

16 MayWHeidenheim Heidenheim 0 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2
10 MayLFSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3
03 MayWFC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 1 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2
25 AprLFSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 Bayern M Bayern M 4
19 AprDBorussia M Borussia M 1 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 1
16 AprLStrasbourg Strasbourg 4 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0
12 AprLFSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 1
09 AprWFSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2 Strasbourg Strasbourg 0
04 AprWHoffenheim Hoffenheim 1 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 2
22 MarWMainz Mainz 2 Frankfurt Frankfurt 1

Germany - Bundesliga Germany - Bundesliga

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1 Bayern MünchenBayern34122-3689
2 Borussia DortmundBorussia3470-3473
3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3466-4765
4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3471-4962
5 1899 Hoffenheim18993465-5261
6 Bayer LeverkusenBayer3468-4759
7 SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3451-5747
8 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht3461-6544
9 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3445-6143
10 FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053444-5340
11 Union BerlinUnion Berlin3444-5839
12 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia3442-5338
13 Hamburger SVHamburger SV3440-5438
14 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln3449-6332
15 Werder BremenWerder Bremen3437-6032
16 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3445-6929
17 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC3441-7226
18 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3429-6026
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