Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Preview
The lights of Al Hasan Stadium will cast long shadows on Tuesday evening as Al Sareeh, the plucky underdogs from Irbid, prepare to host Amman's footballing aristocracy in what appears at first glance to be Jordanian football's most lopsided contest. The numbers tell a brutal story: a minnow squad valued at €200k facing a €2.12m juggernaut, with bookmakers pricing the home win at 6.5 while installing Al Wihdat as 1.44 favorites. Yet as any seasoned Pro League observer knows, this league has a habit of chewing up neat narratives and spitting out surprises.
League statistics paint a curious picture for this encounter. While home advantage traditionally means little in Jordan – with hosts winning just 32% of matches compared to 27.9% for visitors – Al Sareeh's recent 1-1 draw against Al Faisaly at 6.4 odds suggests they've learned to punch above their weight class. Their opponents arrive with their own reality-defying result fresh in memory, having held Iranian giants Sepahan to a 1-1 stalemate at 6.5 odds in continental competition. These anomalies create fascinating wrinkles in what the AI models still firmly project as a 0-2 away win, with a 0-1 halftime score anticipated.
The historical head-to-head makes grim reading for Sareeh supporters. Their 4-2 capitulation in last season's meeting saw Wihdat's superior technical quality shine through, yet that scoreline actually flattered the hosts after they netted two late consolations against rotated opposition. This time, the underdogs will likely adopt a more pragmatic approach from the first whistle.
NerdyTips' AI has identified the goal markets as where smarter value might lie. That under 3.5 goals sits at 1.38 odds with 4.8/10 confidence aligns perfectly with league-wide patterns – only 18.8% of matches exceed this threshold, while 36.1% surpass 2.5 goals. When combined with both teams' recent pragmatic shifts and the league's meager 33.2% BTTS occurrence rate, it suggests a cagey affair rather than the goal-fest some might expect given the gulf in resources.
No preview would be complete without acknowledging the league's officiating quirks. While the referee appointment remains undisclosed at time of writing, Jordanian officials average just 3.2 cards per match – a statistic that emboldens physical underdogs like Sareeh to disrupt technically superior opponents. Watch for early tactical fouls to prevent Wihdat building rhythm.
The financial disparity between these clubs would be comical if it weren't so stark. Wihdat's wage bill could probably fund Sareeh's entire operation for a season, yet football's enduring magic lies in its capacity for chaos. Those 6.5 odds on the home win aren't quite the lottery ticket they appear when you consider Wihdat's continental exertions and Sareeh's newfound defensive resilience.
For value seekers, the smart play might be combining Wihdat's likely victory with the anticipated low scoring. A Wihdat win & under 3.5 goals market typically offers around 2.1 odds – far more palatable than the slim 1.44 outright price. Alternatively, the 4.0 draw odds hold intrigue given both teams' recent stalemates against superior opposition and the league's 40% draw rate.
As the desert sun dips below the Irbid hills, this encounter promises either a routine procession for Jordan's aristocrats or another reminder why we love football's capacity for rebellion. The numbers point firmly one way, but the beauty of the game lies in those moments when the spreadsheet falters and the underdog finds its bite.
Read More
U3.5 -263
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2632 -227
Al Wihdat is expected to win with odds of -227Under 3.5 -263
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -125
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -370
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:2
|
|
1
-
3
-
15
|
|
 Al Sareeh |
08-Apr-25
1:3
| Al Wihdat  |
| Al Sareeh |
16-Nov-24
2:4
| Al Wihdat |
| Al Wihdat |
09-Aug-24
4:1
| Al Sareeh |
| Al Sareeh |
03-Sep-22
0:1
| Al Wihdat |
| Al Wihdat |
30-Jun-22
2:0
| Al Sareeh |
| Al Wihdat |
10-Jan-21
3:0
| Al Sareeh |
| Al Sareeh |
21-Oct-20
1:2
| Al Wihdat |
| Al Sareeh |
22-Feb-19
2:4
| Al Wihdat |
| Al Wihdat |
14-Sep-18
0:0
| Al Sareeh |
| Al Sareeh |
27-Apr-17
1:1
| Al Wihdat |
Recent Matches of Al Sareeh
Recent Matches of Al Wihdat
| 25 Jan | W | Al Wehdat. |
2:0 |
Sama S. |
Jordan - League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Hussein | 22 | 53-15 | 53 |
| 2 |
Al Wihdat | 22 | 47-18 | 52 |
| 3 |
Al Faisaly | 22 | 30-16 | 39 |
| 4 |
Al Ramtha | 22 | 26-23 | 33 |
| 5 |
Al Salt | 22 | 24-21 | 32 |
| 6 |
Al Jazeera | 22 | 33-29 | 30 |
| 7 |
Al Ahli | 22 | 24-32 | 26 |
| 8 |
Shabab Al | 22 | 28-33 | 25 |
| 9 |
Al Sareeh | 22 | 26-33 | 21 |
| 10 |
Aqaba | 22 | 23-47 | 20 |
| 11 |
Ma'an | 22 | 20-39 | 18 |
| 12 |
Moghayer Al | 22 | 16-44 | 13 |
