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Match Prediction

Algeria vs Nigeria Prediction

Algeria

€235.60m

10 Jan11:00
0 : 2

Nigeria

€285.80m

Preview

Algeria vs Nigeria Prediction Africa Cup of Nations

Algeria vs Nigeria: A Tactical Quarter-Final Prediction

The Africa Cup of Nations quarter-finals serve up a classic this Saturday as Algeria meets Nigeria in Marrakech. This Algeria vs Nigeria prediction dives into the tactics, team news, and the data shaping this massive fixture. Both nations have navigated contrasting paths here, setting the stage for a fascinating tactical duel under the Moroccan sun.

The Road to Marrakech: Form and History

Algeria edged past DR Congo 1-0 in extra time, a gritty win that showcased resilience but perhaps a lack of cutting edge in normal time. Nigeria, conversely, roared into the last eight with a commanding 4-0 demolition of Mozambique. The head to head record adds spice: Algeria has enjoyed the upper hand in recent years, including a win in the 2019 AFCON. However, past results offer only a backdrop to the present drama.

Team Tactics and Key Battles

Vladimir Petković’s Algeria blends experience with emerging talent. With playmaker Houssem Aouar injured, the creative burden falls heavily on Riyad Mahrez, who will look to supply Baghdad Bounedjah and in-form Mohamed Amine Amoura. The potential start of Luca Zidane in goal adds a intriguing subplot. Their approach will likely be structured, looking to absorb pressure and strike through individual quality.

Nigeria, under Eric Chelle, possesses formidable firepower. Victor Osimhen and Ademola Lookman lead a dynamic attack, supported by the midfield industry of Wilfred Ndidi. Despite notable injuries in defense, their sheer offensive threat, evidenced by 13 total shots predicted, suggests they will take the game to Algeria. The midfield battle between Ismaël Bennacer and Nigeria's engine room could decide where this match is played.

Expected Line-up Highlights & Key Absences

  • Algeria: Likely reliant on Mahrez's magic. Key absences: Aouar (injured), Guendouz (injured).
  • Nigeria: Osimhen the focal point. Key absences: Boniface, Iheanacho, Aina (all injured).

NerdyTips AI Analysis and Betting Insights

Our algorithms have crunched the numbers, and a clear picture emerges for this Algeria vs Nigeria prediction. The data points towards a tense, low-scoring affair dominated by defensive organization.

Breaking Down the AI's Match Prediction

The AI's expected scoreline of 0-2, with a half-time score of 0-1, aligns with Nigeria's stronger recent form and superior predicted shot count (13 to 7). The anticipated 52% possession for Nigeria suggests they will control proceedings, looking to break down a stubborn Algerian block. The predicted corner count (7 total) and yellow cards (Nigeria 2, Algeria 1) hint at a competitive but not overly chaotic match.

Our AI's Top Betting Tips Explained

Here’s how our AI translates its analysis into actionable betting tips:

  1. Double Chance: X2 (Nigeria Win or Draw) at 1.39. With a trust rating of 2.0/10, this reflects Nigeria's status as slight favourites (away win odds 2.55). Algeria's low shot prediction (3 on target) undermines their win potential, making the double chance a cautious pick.
  2. Under 2.55 Total Goals at 1.67. This is the AI's standout tip. Both teams' defensive setups, the high-stakes quarter-final pressure, and the predicted final score all strongly support a match with a maximum of two goals.

Final Thoughts and Strategic View

This is a clash between Algeria's tournament grit and Nigeria's explosive talent. While history favours Algeria, current momentum and the AI's deep data dive point towards the Super Eagles. Nigeria's higher squad value (€2.55.80m vs €2.55.60m) and more potent attack give them a marginal edge in what should be a tightly-contested match. For bettors, the smart money appears to be on Nigeria avoiding defeat and the goal count staying low. Expect a strategic, nervy battle where one moment of quality from Osimhen or Mahrez could be decisive.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Nigeria has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Algeria vs Nigeria

U2.5 -149

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -149
2/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -263

Nigeria to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -149

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

No -115

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -192

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:1

Correct Score

0:2

Stats Predictions

1.38
xG
1.95
48%
Ball Possession
52%
7
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.5
Total Goals
3.5
2.1
Goals Scored
2.5
0.4
Goals Against
1
56%
Possession
51%
10.3
Total Shots
14.5
4.4
Shots on Goal
6.8
3.8
Shots off Goal
4.7
16.1
Fouls
17.9
5.8
Corners
4.6
1.9
Offsides
1.6
1.5
Yellow Cards
2
509
Total Passes
468

Overview Last 10 Matches

8
Wins
7
7
Over 1.5 Goals
10
4
Over 2.5 Goals
8
3
Over 3.5 Goals
5
4
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Algeria
2 - 1 - 1
Nigeria
Algeria Algeria 27-Sep-22
2:1
Nigeria Nigeria
Algeria Algeria 14-Jul-19
2:1
Nigeria Nigeria
Algeria Algeria 10-Nov-17
1:1
Nigeria Nigeria
Nigeria Nigeria 12-Nov-16
3:1
Algeria Algeria

Profile time Recent Matches of Algeria

10 JanL Algeria Algeria.
0:2
Nigeria. Nigeria
06 JanW Algeria Algeria.
1:0
Congo DR. Congo DR
31 DecW Equatoria Equatoria.
1:3
Algeria. Algeria
28 DecW Algeria Algeria.
1:0
Burkina Fa. Burkina Faso
24 DecW Algeria Algeria.
3:0
Sudan. Sudan
12 DecD Algeria Algeria.
1:1
United A. United A
09 DecW Algeria Algeria.
2:0
Iraq. Iraq
06 DecW Bahrain Bahrain.
1:5
Algeria. Algeria
03 DecD Algeria Algeria.
0:0
Sudan. Sudan
18 NovW Saudi Arabia Saudi Arab.
0:2
Algeria. Algeria

Profile time Recent Matches of Nigeria

17 JanDEgypt Egypt.
0:0
Nigeria.Nigeria
14 JanDNigeria Nigeria.
0:0
Morocco.Morocco
10 JanWAlgeria Algeria.
0:2
Nigeria.Nigeria
05 JanWNigeria Nigeria.
4:0
Mozambique.Mozambique
30 DecWUganda Uganda.
1:3
Nigeria.Nigeria
27 DecWNigeria Nigeria.
3:2
Tunisia.Tunisia
23 DecWNigeria Nigeria.
2:1
Tanzania.Tanzania
16 DecLEgypt Egypt.
2:1
Nigeria.Nigeria
16 NovDNigeria Nigeria.
1:1
Congo DR.Congo DR
13 NovWNigeria Nigeria.
4:1
Gabon.Gabon
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