Anapolis vs Retro Prediction

Anapolis vs Retro Prediction: A Tight Serie C Battle Under the Lights

On June 14, 2025, at 23:30 GMT, the Estádio Municipal Jonas Duarte will host a intriguing Serie C encounter between Anapolis and Retro. This match promises to be a tactical duel, with both teams fighting for crucial points in their campaign. Our Anapolis vs Retro prediction dives into the stats, betting odds, and recent form to uncover the smartest plays for this matchup.

The Stakes: A Clash of Contrasts

At first glance, this game feels like a classic David vs. Goliath tale—but with a twist. Despite Retro’s higher squad value (€1.20m compared to Anapolis’ €400k), it’s Anapolis who enter as slight favorites with home win odds at 2.4. The draw sits at 3.0, while an away victory is priced at 2.75. Why the confidence in the underdogs? Recent performances tell the story.

• Anapolis stunned with a 2-2 away draw against Atletico Goianiense (odds 6.0 for a win).


• Retro held Fortaleza EC to a 1-1 draw (odds 12.0 for a win), proving their resilience on the road.

These results suggest both teams can punch above their weight—making this fixture anything but predictable.

Betting Markets: Where the Value Lies

NerdyTips’ top recommendation for this match is under 2.5 goals, with odds at 1.57 and a trust rating of 8.4/10. Here’s why this bet stands out:

1. Serie C trends favor low-scoring games: Only 34.6% of matches see over 2.5 goals.


2. The head-to-head history supports this—last time they met (September 22, 2024), Anapolis won 2-1, but tight defenses have since emerged.


3. Our predicted scoreline of 1-0 (with a 0-0 halftime) aligns perfectly with the under 2.5 goals market.

For those eyeing the 1x2 market, a home win has a trust rating of 4.1 (odds 2.4). While less confident than the under/under pick, it’s worth noting that home teams win 40.8% of Serie C games—compared to just 19.4% for away sides.

Key Serie C Stats to Consider

• Both teams score in only 40.5% of matches.


• Over 1.5 goals land in 57.5% of games—but over 3.5 goals occur just 17.7% of the time.


• Draws are common (39.8%), adding intrigue to the betting odds.

Final Thoughts: A Nail-Biter in the Making

With Anapolis and Retro both showing grit in recent outings, expect a cagey, tactical battle. The sports betting markets reflect this, favoring a low-scoring affair. While the head-to-head leans slightly toward Anapolis, Retro’s ability to frustrate bigger teams shouldn’t be overlooked.

For bettors, the smart money is on under 2.5 goals—a play backed by data, trends, and our own Anapolis vs Retro prediction. If you’re feeling bold, a small stake on a 1-0 home win (odds 2.4) could offer value. Either way, this is one Serie C clash where patience—and defense—will likely decide the day.