Preview
Our Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction is built around a simple idea: Antwerp are finally playing like Antwerp again, but Charleroi have become the guest who keeps “accidentally” breaking your favourite vase. This Jupiler Pro League meeting kicks off on 2026-05-10 at 15:00 GMT at the Bosuilstadion, and it lands in Round 7 of the Conference League Play-off Group, where both sides are chasing a European ticket after missing the Champions’ play-offs.
Antwerp’s regular season was a grind. They ended 10th, snapping a proud run of six straight top-six finishes, and they now sit 5th in the play-off group. Charleroi finished 9th and currently hold 4th. That one-place gap is exactly why this match matters: win it, and the table starts to look friendlier.
From a game-plan point of view, Antwerp should try to control the rhythm at home. Our numbers point to 55% possession for the hosts, and that usually means more time in the attacking half, more set pieces, and more chances for their wide players to force corners and second balls. Charleroi, on the other hand, can live without the ball; they’ve often looked most dangerous when they can sit compact and break into space.
The betting odds suggest a tight contest: Home win 2.4, Draw 3.4, Away win 3.2. There’s a small lean to Antwerp, but not enough to pretend this is comfortable. Market value also hints at a slight edge: Antwerp at €52.95m vs Charleroi at €41.50m.
Our model’s best tip is HS (home team will score) at 1.25 odds, with a 6.8/10 trust rating. With Antwerp’s recent two-goal habit and home possession edge, that reads like the “keep it simple” angle for sports betting—especially since Charleroi’s away form has been shaky.
Stat-wise, we’re projecting 14 shots for Antwerp vs 11 for Charleroi, with on-target shots at 5 vs 3. Corners lean Antwerp too (6-4, total 10), and discipline looks calm-ish: 2 yellows for Antwerp, 1 for Charleroi. Put it together and the expected script is Antwerp pressing for territory, Charleroi trying to nick moments—again.
Final call for this Antwerp vs Charleroi prediction: Antwerp 2-1 Charleroi, with a 1-0 half-time score. And yes, Antwerp fans will still remember that last head to head… which is exactly why they’ll want this one wrapped up before the nerves kick in.
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Antwerp didn't play better in the last H2H match!
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6
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4
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11
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Antwerp |
25-Jan-26
0:2
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
29-May-25
1:2
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
08-Dec-24
1:3
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
06-Dec-23
5:2
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
21-Jan-24
4:1
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
19-Mar-23
0:1
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
16-Jan-22
3:0
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
27-Dec-20
2:1
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
16-Feb-20
1:1
| Charleroi ![]() |
Antwerp |
05-Nov-17
1:3
| Charleroi ![]() |
| 03 May | L |
Antwerp
| 0 |
Standard L
| 5 |
| 25 Apr | W |
KVC Westerlo
| 2 |
Antwerp
| 4 |
| 21 Apr | W |
Standard L
| 1 |
Antwerp
| 2 |
| 18 Apr | W |
Antwerp
| 2 |
OH Leuven
| 0 |
| 10 Apr | L |
Charleroi
| 2 |
Antwerp
| 1 |
| 03 Apr | L |
Antwerp
| 1 |
Genk
| 2 |
| 22 Mar | L |
Leuven
| 1 |
Antwerp
| 0 |
| 15 Mar | D |
Antwerp
| 1 |
St. Liege
| 1 |
| 06 Mar | D |
RAAL L
| 0 |
Antwerp
| 0 |
| 28 Feb | W |
Antwerp
| 1 |
St. Truiden
| 0 |
| 02 May | W | Charleroi |
2 | Genk |
0 |
| 25 Apr | W | OH Leuven |
0 | Charleroi |
2 |
| 21 Apr | D | Genk |
1 | Charleroi |
1 |
| 18 Apr | L | Charleroi |
1 | Standard L |
2 |
| 10 Apr | W | Charleroi |
2 | Antwerp |
1 |
| 05 Apr | L | KVC Westerlo |
2 | Charleroi |
0 |
| 22 Mar | L | Waregem |
1 | Charleroi |
0 |
| 14 Mar | L | Charleroi |
0 | Leuven |
2 |
| 07 Mar | D | Dender |
2 | Charleroi |
2 |
| 01 Mar | L | Charleroi |
1 | Club B |
2 |
Belgium - Jupiler Pro League| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Standard Liege | 36 | 40-42 | 30 |
| 2 |
Genk | 36 | 52-53 | 30 |
| 3 |
KVC Westerlo | 36 | 48-50 | 30 |
| 4 |
Charleroi | 36 | 46-48 | 27 |
| 5 |
Antwerp | 36 | 41-44 | 27 |
| 6 |
OH Leuven | 36 | 36-55 | 19 |