Cadiz CF vs Real Sociedad II Prediction

Cadiz CF vs Real Sociedad II prediction: youth meets nerves

Cadiz CF vs Real Sociedad II prediction time at the Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla feels less like a party and more like a practical exam. Kickoff is set for February 23, 2026 at 19:30 GMT, and both teams arrive with different types of pressure: Cádiz trying to steady a shaky season, and Sanse (Real Sociedad B) trying to keep daylight between themselves and the relegation line.

Cádiz sit around mid-table (11th), but the mood has been more “please make it stop” than “playoffs incoming”. They finally snapped a four-game losing run with a gritty 1-1 against Burgos on February 14, and Gaizka Garitano has been clear: veteran players need to lead, and the “small details” must stop turning into big problems—especially early concessions.

Sanse, meanwhile, are hovering in the 16th–19th range depending on the latest swing of results, but the trend is encouraging. Jon Ansotegi’s side is young (average age around 21), intense, and stubborn—rarely the type to get blown away. They proved that again with a huge 3-0 away win at Riazor against Deportivo earlier in the season. In Segunda, that’s the kind of away day that buys you belief for months.

Team context, form, and the story behind the tactics

On paper, this is also a fun philosophy contrast: Cádiz’s experience versus Sanse’s academy rhythm. The reverse fixture on September 7 ended 3-3, one of those games where defending became optional for long stretches. Don’t assume we’ll get the same sequel here—Nuevo Mirandilla tends to demand a bit more caution.

• Cádiz recent form: D-L-L-L-L (last 5). They need stability more than style right now.
• Sanse recent form: D-D-L-W-D (last 5). Not perfect, but typically competitive.
• Cádiz absences: Tabatadze (top scorer, 6) out long-term; Brian Ocampo suspended; Suso and Caicedo still out; Kovacevic doubtful to start; and Fali has departed after disciplinary issues.
• Sanse absences: Rupérez out until March; Orobengoa and Olasagasti long-term; Gorosabel suspended.

Tactically, Garitano looks set to prioritize structure—likely a conservative 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1, with fewer risks in Cádiz’s first build-up phase. New signing Sergio Arribas is expected to help organize the back line after Fali’s exit. For Sanse, the script is familiar: high-intensity, brave possession, and lots of movement between the lines, with Gorka Carrera (11 goals) as the headline threat. One extra wrinkle: Real Sociedad’s first team has been more active in promoting B-team players since the winter changes upstairs, so rotation is always a background concern.

Odds, betting tips, and our AI match prediction

The 1X2 market prices Cádiz as the favorite: home win 2.1, draw 3.35, away win 3.7. That makes sense with home advantage and Sanse’s table position, but it also leaves room for the kind of away upset Sanse have already produced this season.

Two recent surprises are worth keeping in mind for any head to head narrative and betting tips. Cádiz grabbed a 2-2 draw away at Deportivo La Coruña on 2026-01-04 despite 5.0 win odds—proof they can punch above their mood. And Sanse’s 0-3 win at Deportivo on 2025-12.13 at 7.5 odds showed they travel better than many teams their age.

• AI 1X2 pick: Away win (2) at 3.7 odds, confidence 1.6/10
• AI goals pick: Under 3.5 at 1.27 odds, confidence 4.6/10
• Most valuable bet: Under 3.5 goals, trust score 4.5/10

So why back a Sanse win while also leaning under 3.5? Because the model sees a tight first half (predicted 0-0 at the break) before the game opens just enough for a 1-2 finish. Cádiz are projected to have about 60% possession and 14 shots, but only 4 on target—suggesting control without clean finishing, especially with key attacking absences. Sanse’s expected 12 shots and 4 on target fits their usual pattern: fewer touches, more direct danger.

Match flow projections also point to a competitive, slightly scrappy evening: 8 corners (5-3 Cádiz), and 5 total yellows (2-3). In other words, expect pressure, transitions, and a few tactical fouls—football’s version of “I’m not mad, I’m just stopping a counter.”

Final call: our Cadiz CF vs Real Sociedad II Prediction leans to Sanse at a big price, but the safer angle is the totals market. For readers wanting one simple bet, the Cadiz CF vs Real Sociedad II prediction that carries the best value-rating here is under 3.5 goals.