Preview
The Canada W vs Argentina W prediction for the SheBelieves Cup leans into an unusual mix: Canada look like the safer side on paper, yet the numbers hint at goals and a tricky finish. This one kicks off on 2026-03-07 at 17:30 GMT (12:30 p.m. ET) at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison, New Jersey, on the final matchday of the 11th SheBelieves Cup.
This edition has a clear “Concacaf vs CONMEBOL” feel, with the USA, Canada, Colombia, and Argentina playing round-robin. Canada arrive on 3 points (one win, one loss). Argentina are still on 0 points after two defeats, so motivation is simple: avoid going home empty-handed.
Canada started this tournament by shaking off real baggage: a 4-1 win over Colombia ended a five-game losing run and snapped a long 485-minute goal drought. The follow-up was a tight 1-0 loss to the USA on March 4, decided by a second-half set piece. In other words, the goals returned, but so did the fine margins.
Argentina’s recent “we can grind” reminder was that 0-0 away draw vs Mexico (2024-02-21), a result few expected given the pre-match price. They can stay compact and frustrate, but they also need more ambition here because two losses already leave no buffer.
One more oddity: the squad-value figures floating around (€21.88m for Canada vs €575.00m for Argentina) don’t pass the “reality check” for women’s football valuations. Treat that as noisy data, not a reason to bet.
The 1X2 odds price Canada as heavy favorites: Home 1.35, Draw 4.6, Away 7.4. That fits the standings, but it also creates a classic betting problem: the favorite is short, while the match dynamics (Argentina needing something, Canada recently scoring again) can pull this into a higher-variance game.
So why back goals when Canada are 1.35? Because a match can be “Canada-favored” and still turn into an open story. Argentina’s need to finally post points can force a more attacking second half, and Canada’s recent goal burst (four vs Colombia) suggests they’re no longer stuck in that drought mindset. A 2-2 projection is basically the model saying: expect momentum swings and at least one defensive wobble per side.
Practical betting advice: if you want one clean angle, the over 2.5 goals aligns with the predicted scoreline and avoids picking the exact winner. Use the 1X2 draw only as a higher-risk sprinkle. For readers searching “Canada W vs Argentina W prediction”, the most sensible play is to follow the goals market and keep stakes modest, given the low trust scores across the board.
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Canada W |
09-Apr-25
0:1
| Argentina W ![]() |
Canada W |
05-Apr-25
3:0
| Argentina W ![]() |
Canada W |
06-Oct-22
2:0
| Argentina W ![]() |
| 04 Mar | L |
USA W
| 1 |
Canada W
| 0 |
| 01 Mar | W |
Canada W
| 4 |
Colombia W
| 1 |
| 02 Dec | L |
Japan W
| 1 |
Canada W
| 0 |
| 29 Nov | L |
Japan W
| 3 |
Canada W
| 0 |
| 28 Oct | L |
Netherlan
| 1 |
Canada W
| 0 |
| 24 Oct | L |
Switzerla
| 1 |
Canada W
| 0 |
| 03 Jul | L |
USA W
| 3 |
Canada W
| 0 |
| 28 Jun | W |
Canada W
| 4 |
Costa Rica W
| 1 |
| 04 Jun | W |
Canada W
| 3 |
Haiti W
| 1 |
| 31 May | W |
Canada W
| 4 |
Haiti W
| 1 |
| 04 Mar | L | Argentina W |
0 | Colombia W |
1 |
| 01 Mar | L | USA W |
2 | Argentina W |
0 |
| 02 Dec | W | Argentina W |
8 | Bolivia W |
0 |
| 28 Oct | D | Uruguay W |
2 | Argentina W |
2 |
| 25 Oct | W | Argentina W |
3 | Paraguay W |
1 |
| 02 Aug | D | Argentina W |
2 | Uruguay W |
2 |
| 29 Jul | D | Argentina W |
0 | Colombia W |
0 |
| 25 Jul | W | Ecuador W |
0 | Argentina W |
2 |
| 21 Jul | W | Argentina W |
1 | Peru W |
0 |
| 19 Jul | W | Argentina W |
2 | Chile W |
1 |