Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Preview
When CAP host Caldense at Estádio Pedro Alves do Nascimento on June 21, 2025, expect a game that embodies the gritty, low-scoring nature of Brazil’s Mineiro - 2 league. Our CAP vs Caldense prediction leans toward a cagey affair, where defensive solidity might trump attacking flair. With the betting odds suggesting a close contest (2.42 for CAP, 2.87 for a draw, 3.0 for Caldense), this preview dives into the stats, trends, and tactical nuances that could decide the outcome.
Before dissecting this matchup, let’s set the stage. The Mineiro second division is a league where:
Add to this the fact that both teams score in only 32.2% of games, and it’s clear why our AI model highlights NG (No Goal for one team) as the standout betting pick at 1.55 odds. The numbers scream caution: over 2.5 goals lands in just 23.3% of matches, while over 3.5 goals is a unicorn at 9.6%.
The last time these two met, on February 9, 2022, Caldense dominated with a 2-0 win. Back then, the betting odds heavily favored Caldense (1.98) over CAP (4.05). But football loves a plot twist—CAP’s recent 0-0 draw against Santo Andre, despite being 6.0 underdogs, proves they can punch above their weight.
On paper, there’s little separating these sides. CAP’s squad is valued at €275K, while Caldense’s sits at €250K. This parity reinforces the idea of a closely fought game, where a single moment—a defensive lapse, a set-piece—could swing it.
Given the league’s low-scoring DNA, here’s how the stats shape our CAP vs Caldense prediction:
Why NG (No Goal for one team)? Because in 67.8% of Mineiro - 2 games, at least one side blanks. With Caldense failing to score in their last away game and CAP’s defense showing resilience, this bet feels logical.
This isn’t a fixture for thrill-seekers. Between the league’s draw-heavy tendencies, low total goals, and CAP’s knack for defying odds, expect a tactical chess match. Our CAP vs Caldense prediction? A narrow 1-0 home win or a scoreless stalemate—with the smart money on under 2.5 goals and one team drawing a blank.
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NG -182
At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -1821 140
CAP is expected to win with odds of 142Under 2.5 -263
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -182
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -172
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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1
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6
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3
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 Caldense |
04-May-25
0:0
| Patrocinense  |
| Patrocinense |
26-Mar-23
1:0
| Caldense |
| Caldense |
22-Mar-23
1:1
| Patrocinense |
| Patrocinense |
09-Feb-22
0:2
| Caldense |
| Caldense |
07-Aug-21
0:0
| Patrocinense |
| Patrocinense |
05-Jul-21
2:3
| Caldense |
| Caldense |
06-Mar-21
0:0
| Patrocinense |
| Patrocinense |
01-Nov-20
1:1
| Caldense |
| Caldense |
10-Oct-20
1:0
| Patrocinense |
| Caldense |
01-Mar-20
2:2
| Patrocinense |
