Match Prediction
Match Prediction
England
Preview
The Charlton vs Stoke prediction for Wednesday, 11 February 2026 (19:45 GMT) points to a tense, low-scoring evening in London, where one good moment could decide everything. Charlton arrive needing points for comfort, Stoke arrive needing a spark, and the betting odds say it is almost a coin toss.
Charlton sit in the lower third (around 18th/19th), roughly four points clear of the relegation places, so every home match feels like a small final. The recent mood is better: unbeaten in two, with a standout 2–0 win over Leicester and a stubborn 0–0 at QPR. Those back-to-back clean sheets are not just a stat; they are a sign the Addicks have found a rhythm after earlier stumbles.
Stoke, about 13th, have slid into the bottom half and are winless in five league games, most recently a cautious 0–0 with West Brom. Still, they are not far off the playoff chase, and their season-long defensive record has been excellent (only 28 conceded in 31). In other words: results have been flat, but the base is solid.
Nathan Jones looks likely to keep the same defensive structure that delivered those clean sheets, with Harry Clarke again an option at right wing-back. Charlton’s plan has been clear lately: stay compact, win second balls, and make set pieces count. Jones even promoted Danny Hylton into a set-piece/first-team coaching role, which tells you where some of the marginal gains are being hunted.
Stoke boss Mark Robins admitted his side looked “nervy” last time out and wants more punch. If he brings in Tomas Rigo and Lamine Cissé, it would be a direct attempt to add legs and forward intent, without wrecking a defence that has carried them.
The head to head story has layers. Stoke won the reverse fixture 3–0 in November, so Charlton have a clear revenge motive. There is also a reunion subplot: Jones once managed Stoke and has lost five of his last six against them. Then comes the “London problem” for Stoke: just one win in their last 41 league games in the capital since 2014. Football loves trends—right up until the week they break.
The market is tight: home win 2.77, draw 3.2, away win 2.87. That near-equality fits the game script: Charlton slightly more urgent, Stoke slightly stronger on paper. The squad values underline that gap too—Charlton at €29.05m versus Stoke at €81.58m—though injuries can make budgets look like ancient history.
For sports betting purposes, our strongest angle matches what the eye test suggests. The best under/over bet is under 2.5 goals (trust 7.0/10) at odds of 1.58. Charlton’s recent clean sheets plus Stoke’s elite defensive numbers point to a match where chances are earned the hard way.
The AI-generated 1x2 prediction leans to Stoke to win (pick “2”) at 2.87, but with a lower trust of 4.2—so treat it as a lean, not a lock. The projected final score is 0–1, with the same 0–1 at half-time, which fits a game where Stoke nick something and then protect it.
One more note for the betting odds crowd: both clubs have shown they can frustrate stronger teams away from home—Charlton’s 1–1 at Birmingham (odds 6.0) and Stoke’s 1–1 at West Brom (odds 5.0) are reminders that this league loves a plot twist. Our Charlton vs Stoke prediction still lands on under 2.5 goals as the cleanest betting option, and it is the Charlton vs Stoke prediction we would build around.
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U2.5 -172
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1722 187
Stoke is expected to win with odds of 187Under 2.5 -172
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -125
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -161
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
0:1
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1
-
0
-
2
|
|
 Stoke |
25-Nov-25
3:0
| Charlton  |
| Stoke |
08-Feb-20
3:1
| Charlton |
| Charlton |
10-Aug-19
3:1
| Stoke |
Recent Matches of Charlton| 06 Feb | D |
Charlton.
|
0:0
| QPR.
|
| 31 Jan | W |
Leicester.
|
0:2
| Charlton.
|
| 24 Jan | L |
Millwall.
|
4:0
| Charlton.
|
| 20 Jan | L |
Charlton.
|
1:2
| Derby.
|
| 17 Jan | W |
Charlton.
|
1:0
| Sheffield .
|
| 10 Jan | L |
Charlton.
|
1:5
| Chelsea.
|
| 04 Jan | D |
Blackburn.
|
2:2
| Charlton.
|
| 01 Jan | D |
Charlton.
|
1:1
| Coventry.
|
| 29 Dec | L |
Portsmouth.
|
2:1
| Charlton.
|
| 26 Dec | L |
Norwich.
|
1:0
| Charlton.
|
Recent Matches of Stoke
| 07 Feb | D |  West Brom. |
0:0 |
Stoke. |
| 31 Jan | L | Stoke. |
0:2 |
Southampto. |
| 24 Jan | D |  Birmingham. |
1:1 |
Stoke. |
| 21 Jan | L | Stoke. |
1:2 |
Middlesbro. |
| 17 Jan | D | Stoke. |
0:0 |
QPR. |
| 10 Jan | W | Stoke. |
1:0 |
Coventry. |
| 04 Jan | W |  Norwich. |
0:2 |
Stoke. |
| 01 Jan | W |  Hull. |
0:1 |
Stoke. |
| 29 Dec | L | Stoke. |
1:2 |
Sheffield . |
| 26 Dec | D | Stoke. |
0:0 |
Preston. |
England - Championship| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Middlesbrough | 31 | 48-29 | 61 |
| 2 |
Coventry | 31 | 63-35 | 59 |
| 3 |
Ipswich | 30 | 51-29 | 54 |
| 4 |
Hull City | 31 | 50-43 | 54 |
| 5 |
Millwall | 31 | 39-36 | 53 |
| 6 |
Wrexham | 31 | 44-39 | 47 |
| 7 |
Preston | 31 | 38-34 | 47 |
| 8 |
Bristol City | 31 | 43-38 | 46 |
| 9 |
Derby | 31 | 45-39 | 45 |
| 10 |
Birmingham | 31 | 43-39 | 45 |
| 11 |
Watford | 31 | 39-36 | 44 |
| 12 |
QPR | 31 | 42-43 | 44 |
| 13 |
Stoke City | 31 | 34-28 | 43 |
| 14 |
Southampton | 31 | 44-41 | 43 |
| 15 |
Swansea | 31 | 38-37 | 42 |
| 16 |
Sheffield Utd | 31 | 43-44 | 39 |
| 17 |
Norwich | 31 | 39-42 | 36 |
| 18 |
Charlton | 30 | 29-38 | 36 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth | 29 | 27-38 | 33 |
| 20 |
West Brom | 31 | 32-47 | 33 |
| 21 |
Leicester | 31 | 41-47 | 32 |
| 22 |
Blackburn | 31 | 27-40 | 32 |
| 23 |
Oxford United | 31 | 28-41 | 28 |
| 24 |
Sheffield | 31 | 18-62 | -7 |
