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Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction - Oct 10, 2026

Oct 1015:00
2:0
40
11.87 X4.00 24.30

Key moments

  1. 1st half2–0
  2. Chelsea · Goal Henderson J.Assist Palmer C.1–02'
  3. Chelsea · Goal Rogers M.Assist Henderson J.2–03'

Match Tips

Confidence

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Warning

Bournemouth has upcoming match in Europe

Best Tip
8.6/10
1x2 Tip
7.7/10
Total Goals
8.6/10
Both Teams To Score
2.5/10
Bet Builder Tip
10/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
Chelsea
Bournemouth
xGChelsea: 1.57Bournemouth: 1.15
Ball PossessionChelsea: 57%Bournemouth: 43%
Total ShotsChelsea: 15Bournemouth: 10
Shots on GoalChelsea: 6Bournemouth: 4
Shots Off GoalChelsea: 5Bournemouth: 4
CornersChelsea: 6Bournemouth: 3
Yellow CardsChelsea: 2Bournemouth: 3
OffsidesChelsea: 1Bournemouth: 2
FoulsChelsea: 9Bournemouth: 14

Preview

AI
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction: Goals at the Bridge

Our Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction points towards an entertaining home victory when the teams meet at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Kick-off is listed for 15:00, with both sides needing a positive Premier League result after difficult starts.

Two teams looking for stability

This Matchday 6 fixture arrives at an uncomfortable moment for both managers. Xabi Alonso’s Chelsea are winless in three league games, losing 2-1 against Arsenal and 3-0 to Brentford on either side of a 2-2 draw with Hull City. Most worrying is the defensive record: the Blues have conceded 12 goals in five matches, more than any other team in the division.

Marco Rose’s Bournemouth are still waiting for their first league victory of the season. Three draws and two defeats leave them 17th, although their performances have often deserved more points. Bournemouth can press with energy and attack quickly after winning possession, a style that could cause trouble for a Chelsea defence that has looked far too generous. At times, the Blues’ back line has treated opponents like invited guests.

Chelsea should try to control the match through patient possession, attacking width and movement between Bournemouth’s midfield and defence. The home side has greater individual quality, reflected by an estimated squad value of €1.08bn compared with Bournemouth’s €574.00m. However, squad value does not make tackles or track runners, so Chelsea must improve without the ball.

Injuries could shape Alonso’s approach

The international break has created a serious selection problem. Chelsea could be missing several players, with Cole Palmer and Moisés Caicedo facing late fitness tests because of muscle and calf issues. Caicedo has played only 14 minutes this season, which makes his possible return important but difficult to manage.

  • João Pedro is expected to remain out with a knee injury.
  • Reece James continues to manage a recurring thigh or hamstring problem.
  • Jamie Gittens has an ankle injury and was recently seen using crutches.
  • Marco Palestra has returned to training after a quad problem and could make his competitive debut.
  • Emmanuel Emegha and goalkeeper Mike Penders are also dealing with hamstring injuries.

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Statistics

Average / Match
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Expected GoalsChelsea: 1.77Bournemouth: 1.45
Total GoalsChelsea: 4.6Bournemouth: 3.9
Goals ScoredChelsea: 2.7Bournemouth: 2.5
Goals AgainstChelsea: 1.9Bournemouth: 1.4
PossessionChelsea: 52%Bournemouth: 49%
Total ShotsChelsea: 16.4Bournemouth: 16.3
Shots on GoalChelsea: 5.9Bournemouth: 5.3
Shots off GoalChelsea: 6Bournemouth: 6.3
FoulsChelsea: 9.1Bournemouth: 12
CornersChelsea: 6Bournemouth: 4.9
OffsidesChelsea: 1.1Bournemouth: 2
Yellow CardsChelsea: 1.88Bournemouth: 2.44
Total PassesChelsea: 463Bournemouth: 416

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
Chelsea
Bournemouth
WinsChelsea: 6Bournemouth: 3
Over 1.5 GoalsChelsea: 10Bournemouth: 9
Over 2.5 GoalsChelsea: 9Bournemouth: 8
Over 3.5 GoalsChelsea: 6Bournemouth: 5
Both Teams ScoredChelsea: 7Bournemouth: 8
Unexpected WinsChelsea: 0Bournemouth: 0
Unexpected LosesChelsea: 0Bournemouth: 0

H2H

Chelsea 12
5 Draws
4 Bournemouth
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Recent Matches

Standings

England - Premier League
# Team M G P
1 Manchester City 5 13-5 15
2 Arsenal 5 8-4 12
3 Brighton 5 16-5 10
4 Brentford 5 10-4 9
5 Leeds 5 7-3 9
6 Liverpool 5 7-4 9
7 Everton 5 6-3 9
8 Hull City 5 6-4 8
9 Newcastle 5 9-9 8
10 Chelsea 5 10-12 7
11 Ipswich 5 7-11 6
12 Manchester United 5 8-8 5
13 Nottingham Forest 5 4-5 5
14 Sunderland 5 6-10 4
15 Crystal Palace 5 6-11 4
16 Aston Villa 5 4-9 4
17 Bournemouth 5 6-8 3
18 Coventry 5 1-10 3
19 Fulham 5 5-8 2
20 Tottenham 5 2-8 2
Promotion - Champions League (League phase) Promotion - Europa League (League phase) Relegation - Championship