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Match Prediction

Civitanovese vs Recanatese Prediction

Finished
Italy flag Italy
Serie D - Girone F

Civitanovese

€915.00Th.

27 Apr14:00
1 : 1

Recanatese

€1.26m

Preview

Civitanovese vs Recanatese Prediction Serie D - Girone F

Civitanovese vs Recanatese Prediction: A Tight Battle in Serie D

When Civitanovese hosts Recanatese on April 27, 2025, at the Polisportivo Comunale, expect a match where tactics and tension could outweigh flair. This Civitanovese vs Recanatese prediction dives into the stats, betting odds, and trends shaping this Serie D encounter—a game where home grit meets away ambition.

Contrasting Team Values and League Trends

On paper, Recanatese holds the edge with a squad valued at €1.26M compared to Civitanovese’s €915K. But Serie D’s unpredictable nature means money doesn’t always talk. Consider these league-wide stats:

  • Home wins: 34.8% – Civitanovese’s fortress isn’t impenetrable, but it’s sturdy.
  • Draws: 39.9% – The league’s highest outcome. Patience pays here.
  • Away wins: 25.3% – Recanatese’s task is tougher than their valuation suggests.

Bookmakers mirror this balance, pricing Civitanovese at 2.27, the draw at 3.08, and Recanatese at 3.0. The odds hint at a coin-flip, but our AI leans toward X2 (Double Chance: Draw or Recanatese) at 1.55 odds with 1.9/10 confidence.

Goals? Don’t Hold Your Breath

This fixture screams caution. Serie D averages just 2.2 goals per game, and our predicted scoreline (0-0) reflects that. Key trends to note:

  • Under 2.5 goals: 59.2% of matches stay low-scoring (1.58 odds here).
  • HT 0-0: A sluggish start is likely—aligning with both teams’ recent first-half blanks.
  • BTTS (Both Teams to Score): Hits only 46.7% of the time.

Yet, Recanatese’s 4-1 thrashing of Carrarese (a 5.3-odds upset) lingers in memory. Was it a fluke or a sign of attacking intent? The head to head data suggests the former: these sides often cancel each other out.

Tactical Stalemate or Late Drama?

Civitanovese’s home record is middling, but they’ve mastered the art of disruption. Recanatese, despite their higher valuation, struggle to break compact defenses. Here’s why the draw (3.08 odds, 2.0/10 confidence) tempts:

  1. Midfield battles: Both teams prioritize structure over risk.
  2. Set-piece reliance: 21% of Serie D goals come from dead balls—a wildcard.
  3. Fatigue factor: Late-season legs favor grinding over glitter.

Final Verdict: Betting Smart

For sports betting enthusiasts, this isn’t a match to chase fireworks. Our top picks:

  • X2 (1.55): Recanatese’s depth and Civitanovese’s home hesitancy make this safer.
  • Under 2.5 goals (1.58): The numbers—and likely the tempo—back it.

While the Civitanovese vs Recanatese prediction points to a stalemate, Serie D’s love for surprises means a single moment could tilt the scales. Watch the first half closely—if it’s goalless, the draw’s your friend.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Civitanovese vs Recanatese

X2 -182

Recanatese to win or draw with odds of -182
1/10

1x2 Tip

X 208

The match is expected to end in a draw
1/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -172

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
1/10

Both Teams To Score

No -118

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -133

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:0

Average / Match

2.2
Total Goals
2.9
1.2
Goals Scored
1.2
1
Goals Against
1.7

Overview Last 10 Matches

3
Wins
3
6
Over 1.5 Goals
8
4
Over 2.5 Goals
5
3
Over 3.5 Goals
4
4
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Civitanovese
0 - 1 - 1
Recanatese
Civitanovese Civitanovese 27-Apr-25
1:1
Recanatese Recanatese

Profile time Recent Matches of Civitanovese

Profile time Recent Matches of Recanatese

11 JanDRecanatese Recanatese.
2:2
Sammaurese.Sammaurese

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Sambenedettese Sambenedettese34
61-21
72
2 L'Aquila L'Aquila34
48-31
62
3 Teramo Teramo34
51-33
60
4 Chieti Chieti34
52-39
58
5 Fossombrone Fossombrone34
44-36
50
6 Ancona Ancona34
35-40
47
7 Avezzano Avezzano34
41-43
46
8 Castelfidardo Calcio Castelfidardo 34
39-34
45
9 Atletico Ascoli Atletico Ascol34
35-39
43
10 Vigor Senigallia Vigor Senigall34
36-38
42
11 Termoli Calcio Termoli Calcio34
37-44
41
12 Recanatese Recanatese34
42-53
40
13 Sora Sora34
32-39
40
14 San Nicolò San Nicolò34
37-45
38
15 Civitanovese Civitanovese34
31-39
37
16 Roma City Roma City34
32-36
35
17 Città di Isernia Città di Iser34
32-57
34
18 Fermana Fermana34
24-42
27
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