Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Preview
The Nou Camp de Inca hums with that peculiar Sunday morning energy—part sleepy village ritual, part simmering footballing tension. By 11:45 GMT, the scent of freshly cut grass will mingle with chorizo-stuffed bocadillos as Constancia's faithful shuffle into their sun-baked seats. Opposite them, a pocket of Formentera supporters, still salty from the ferry ride, clutch their scarves tighter. This is Tercera División RFEF Group 11 football, where the stakes feel continental even when the prize is three points and bragging rights over a neighboring island.
These odds suggest the bookmakers are as torn as a Sunday league defender facing a tricky winger. Constancia's home advantage is priced at 2.35, while Formentera's away win sits curiously lower at 2.87—a whisper of respect for the visitors' recent exploits. The draw? A middling 3.15, perfect for those who sense this might be decided by a single moment of chaos. NerdyTips' AI leans cautiously toward X2 (Double Chance: Draw or Formentera at 1.5 odds), but with a 2/10 confidence that speaks volumes. After all, this is the same Formentera that defied 6.2 odds to topple Hércules in January, and the same Constancia that clawed back a 3-3 draw at Ibiza Islas Pitiusas against 7.0 odds in March. Group 11 laughs at probability.
That predicted 0-1 full-time scoreline isn't just random number-crunching. Formentera have turned defensive resilience into an art form, often resembling a well-organized fishing net—loose enough to lure opponents in, tight enough to snare them. Constancia, meanwhile, have shown home vulnerabilities like a creaky wooden pier; solid until the right storm hits. The halftime 0-0 projection? A nod to Formentera's patience and Constancia's tendency to start games as if warming up on the beach.
That under 2.5 goals bet at 1.67 odds (with a reassuring 1.1 confidence rating) isn't just tempting—it's practically winking. Five of Formentera's last seven away games ended with two or fewer goals, while Constancia's last three home matches saw the net bulge precisely four times... combined. This isn't a fixture for thrill-seekers, unless your idea of excitement is a perfectly timed tactical foul.
Yet therein lies the beauty of Tercera División predictions—they're written in sand, not stone. Formentera might park the ferry, not the bus, if they sense Constancia's full-backs pushing too high. The hosts could turn the Nou Camp de Inca into a pressure cooker if their wingers find early joy. And let's not forget the x-factor: that gusty crosswind that turns every goal kick into a lottery.
So take those 1.5 odds on Formentera avoiding defeat, but maybe keep the stake modest enough to still enjoy your post-match ensaimada. Because in Group 11, the only sure bet is that nothing's ever certain—except the passion, the pride, and that one drunk fan who'll argue about offside until the next ferry leaves.
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X2 -200
Formentera to win or draw with odds of -200X2 -200
Formentera to win or drawUnder 2.5 -149
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -118
At least one team is not expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -141
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
0:1
|
|
2
-
3
-
2
|
|
 Formentera |
14-Sep-25
2:2
| Constancia  |
| Constancia |
06-Apr-25
3:2
| Formentera |
| Formentera |
24-Nov-24
1:1
| Constancia |
| Constancia |
16-May-21
2:1
| Formentera |
| Formentera |
24-Apr-21
1:1
| Constancia |
| Constancia |
09-Feb-20
0:4
| Formentera |
| Formentera |
15-Sep-19
2:0
| Constancia |
Recent Matches of Constancia| 25 Jan | W |
Constancia.
|
2:1
| Formentera.
|
Recent Matches of Formentera
| 25 Jan | L | Constancia. |
2:1 |
Formentera. |
Spain - Tercera División RFEF - Group 11| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Poblense | 34 | 47-17 | 72 |
| 2 |
Constància | 34 | 55-31 | 67 |
| 3 |
Formentera | 34 | 68-34 | 66 |
| 4 |
Porreres | 34 | 51-32 | 62 |
| 5 |
Penya | 34 | 59-34 | 58 |
| 6 |
Platges | 34 | 51-37 | 54 |
| 7 |
Manacor | 34 | 54-36 | 51 |
| 8 |
Alcúdia | 34 | 51-53 | 47 |
| 9 |
Binissalem | 34 | 35-34 | 47 |
| 10 |
Llosetense | 34 | 47-45 | 44 |
| 11 |
Santanyí | 34 | 40-45 | 43 |
| 12 |
Mercadal | 34 | 40-43 | 40 |
| 13 |
Felanitx | 34 | 33-50 | 40 |
| 14 |
Collerense | 34 | 42-48 | 39 |
| 15 |
Portmany | 34 | 43-51 | 37 |
| 16 |
PE Sant Jordi | 34 | 30-52 | 30 |
| 17 |
Campos | 34 | 31-75 | 20 |
| 18 |
Migjorn | 34 | 22-82 | 16 |
