€6.90m
€10.20m
El Nacional and Aucas are set to battle it out at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa on March 16, 2025, with kickoff at 20:30 UTC. This Liga Pro showdown is looking tight, and the odds reflect just that—El Nacional at 2.46, a draw at 3.37, and Aucas at 2.65. So, where’s the smart money? Let’s break it down.
El Nacional and Aucas are set to battle it out at Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa on March 16, 2025, with kickoff at 20:30 UTC. This Liga Pro showdown is looking tight, and the odds reflect just that—El Nacional at 2.46, a draw at 3.37, and Aucas at 2.65. So, where’s the smart money? Let’s break it down.
Our AI suggests a home win (El Nacional) as the most likely outcome, but with a trust rating of just 1.4/10, it’s not exactly a slam dunk. However, the predicted final score of 2-1 gives some confidence to those leaning toward the home side. Historically, home teams in Ecuador’s Serie A win 39.3% of the time, while away teams only manage 23.1%. That’s a solid edge for El Nacional.
If you’re looking for a safer bet, the best tip according to NerdyTips is under 3.5 goals (odds of 1.3), with a trust level of 3.6/10. Our AI backs this up with a slightly higher trust score of 3.7/10. The stats support this play—only 22.5% of Ecuadorian Serie A matches see more than 3.5 goals. Plus, their last head-to-head ended in a 0-0 draw, so fireworks aren’t guaranteed.
Expect El Nacional to control possession at 54%, with Aucas holding 46%. Shot-wise, El Nacional should fire off 16 attempts (4 on target), while Aucas is expected to take 14 shots (also 4 on target). Corners? We’re looking at a total of 11 (6 for El Nacional, 5 for Aucas). Yellow cards? Two apiece—so don’t expect a dirty game.
Both teams have pulled off surprising wins lately—El Nacional stunned Barcelona SC on February 27, while Aucas shocked Independiente del Valle in March 2024. With both teams in decent form, this one could be closer than the odds suggest.
Final verdict? A low-scoring game with El Nacional edging it. If you want a safer pick, under 3.5 goals looks like the way to go. Happy betting!
U3.5 -333
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -3331 147
El Nacional is expected to win with odds of 147Under 3.5 -333
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -143
Both teams are expected to score
1:0
2:1
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3
-
7
-
5
|
![]() |
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16-Mar-25
0:1
|
Aucas ![]() |
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24-Aug-24
0:0
|
Aucas ![]() |
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21-Mar-24
3:4
|
El Nacional ![]() |
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06-Aug-23
2:2
|
Aucas ![]() |
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26-Feb-23
0:2
|
El Nacional ![]() |
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09-Dec-20
2:2
|
Aucas ![]() |
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19-Aug-20
2:0
|
El Nacional ![]() |
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14-Jul-19
0:0
|
El Nacional ![]() |
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16-Feb-19
1:3
|
Aucas ![]() |
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01-Jul-18
1:2
|
Aucas ![]() |
08 Mar | L |
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4:3
| El Nacion.
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08 Mar |
![]()
1 150
X 200
2 181
|
||||
02 Mar | D |
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0:0
| Tecnico U.
![]() | |
02 Mar |
![]()
1 130
X 215
2 190
|
||||
27 Feb | D |
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1:1
| El Nacion.
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27 Feb |
![]()
1 -227
X 350
2 570
|
||||
23 Feb | D |
![]() |
1:1
| El Nacion.
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23 Feb |
![]()
1 -208
X 350
2 460
|
||||
16 Feb | L |
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0:1
| Deportivo.
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16 Feb |
![]()
1 210
X 210
2 128
|
||||
14 Feb | W |
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2:1
| Blooming.
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14 Feb |
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1 -333
X 435
2 825
|
||||
07 Feb | L |
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3:2
| El Nacion.
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07 Feb |
![]()
1 162
X 212
2 175
|
||||
02 Feb | D |
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0:0
| LDU Q.
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02 Feb |
![]()
1 400
X 250
2 -161
|
||||
01 Dec | W |
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2:1
| Tecnico U.
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01 Dec |
![]()
1 298
X 250
2 -118
|
||||
27 Nov | W |
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0:1
| El Nacion.
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27 Nov |
![]()
1 -263
X 340
2 660
|
09 Mar | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
Aucas.![]() |
|
09 Mar |
![]()
1 140
X 200
2 198
|
||||
07 Mar | D | ![]() |
0:0
|
Aucas.![]() |
|
07 Mar |
![]()
1 -143
X 280
2 358
|
||||
02 Mar | D | ![]() |
2:2
|
Cuniburo.![]() |
|
02 Mar |
![]()
1 100
X 215
2 262
|
||||
22 Feb | L | ![]() |
2:0
|
Aucas.![]() |
|
22 Feb |
![]()
1 163
X 200
2 165
|
||||
15 Feb | W | ![]() |
4:1
|
Tecnico U.![]() |
|
15 Feb |
![]()
1 114
X 210
2 230
|
||||
30 Nov | W | ![]() |
1:2
|
Aucas.![]() |
|
30 Nov |
![]()
1 -119
X 280
2 270
|
||||
24 Nov | W | ![]() |
2:0
|
Delfin SC.![]() |
|
24 Nov |
![]()
1 -172
X 300
2 420
|
||||
09 Nov | L | ![]() |
3:2
|
Aucas.![]() |
|
09 Nov |
![]()
1 -175
X 320
2 400
|
||||
02 Nov | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
Barcelona.![]() |
|
02 Nov |
![]()
1 170
X 220
2 150
|
||||
26 Oct | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
Aucas.![]() |
|
26 Oct |
![]()
1 165
X 235
2 150
|
Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
5 |
9-7 |
12 |
2 |
![]() |
5 |
10-7 |
10 |
3 |
![]() |
5 |
10-3 |
9 |
4 |
![]() |
5 |
5-3 |
9 |
5 |
![]() |
5 |
8-2 |
8 |
6 |
![]() |
5 |
8-6 |
8 |
7 |
![]() |
5 |
7-6 |
8 |
8 |
![]() |
5 |
7-5 |
7 |
9 |
![]() |
5 |
4-4 |
7 |
10 |
![]() |
5 |
7-5 |
6 |
11 |
![]() |
5 |
5-11 |
6 |
12 |
![]() |
5 |
4-7 |
5 |
13 |
![]() |
5 |
9-13 |
4 |
14 |
![]() |
5 |
2-8 |
4 |
15 |
![]() |
5 |
4-7 |
2 |
16 |
![]() |
5 |
4-9 |
2 |