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Match Prediction

ES Tunis vs Simba Prediction

Finished

ES Tunis

€20.98m

24 Jan11:00
1 : 0

Simba

€4.28m

Preview

ES Tunis vs Simba Prediction CAF Champions League

ES Tunis vs Simba Prediction: Odds, Form, and Expert Tips

Welcome to our ES Tunis vs Simba prediction, where we break down everything you need to know about this crucial CAF Champions League Group D encounter. With both teams hungry for points and a lot at stake, this match promises to be a fascinating watch for sports betting fans and football enthusiasts alike. Let’s dive into the tactics, team news, betting odds, and our expert predictions to help you make the smartest bets.

Match Context: Stakes, Standings, and Recent Form

The CAF Champions League Group D fixture between ES Tunis and Simba SC kicks off at 16:00 GMT on January 24, 2026, at the iconic Hammadi Agrebi Stadium in Radès, Tunisia. This is the first-ever head to head meeting between these two sides in the competition, adding a layer of intrigue to an already high-stakes match.

  • ES Tunis currently sit third in Group D, having drawn both their opening games. Their attack has been a bit shy, with just one goal in two matches, but their defense remains solid as ever.
  • Simba SC, on the other hand, are bottom of the group with zero points after two defeats. Their campaign is in desperate need of a spark, and a result here would be a lifeline.

Looking at recent form, ES Tunis have been tough to beat at home, unbeaten in nine of their last ten matches across all competitions. Their last five games show two wins, two draws, and one loss, with eight goals scored and four conceded. Simba’s recent form is less convincing, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five, although their away record isn’t terrible—three wins and two defeats, with seven goals scored and three conceded.

Tactics, Team News, and Key Players

Both teams have had to navigate injuries and squad changes, which could play a big role in this match.

  • ES Tunis are missing several key players due to injuries picked up during the Africa Cup of Nations. Captain Yassine Meriah and Mohamed Ben Ali are both out, as is Algerian defender Mohamed Amine Tougai. Creative midfielder Youcef Belaïli is sidelined for the season, which is a huge blow. Still, the likes of Aboubacar Diakité (3 goals in the Champions League) and Florian Danho (2 goals) have stepped up when needed.
  • Simba SC are also dealing with absentees. Goalkeeper Yakoub Suleiman is out, and forward Mohammed Bajaber misses out again after a brief return. The return of Clatous Chama adds some much-needed creativity, and new signings like Olivier Touré and Mahamadou Tanja bring fresh energy to the squad.

Tactically, ES Tunis coach Maher Kanzari is known for his pragmatic, disciplined approach—treating each group game as a mini-tournament. Expect a resilient defense and a focus on controlling the tempo at home. Simba, now under Steve Barker, have been working on team chemistry and tactical flexibility, hoping to finally turn their Champions League fortunes around.

What’s at Stake?

For ES Tunis, a win is vital to keep their quarter-final hopes alive, while Simba SC need at least a point to avoid being cut adrift at the bottom of Group D. With ES Tunis boasting a squad value of €20.98m compared to Simba’s €4.28m, the home side are clear favorites—but football has a way of surprising us!

ES Tunis vs Simba Prediction: Odds, Tips, and Final Score

Let’s get into the numbers and see what our expert analysis and AI predictions say about the ES Tunis vs Simba prediction for this Group D battle.

  • Betting Odds: Home win at 1.311, Draw at 5.0, Away win at 10.5. The bookmakers clearly see ES Tunis as the likely winners.
  • Best Tip: Our AI recommends a home win (1) as the top tip, with a trust level of 5.0/10 and odds of 1.311. It’s not a slam dunk, but the stats favor the hosts.
  • Over/Under: The best value is on under 3.5 goals (odds 1.3115, trust rating 3.3/10), reflecting ES Tunis’s solid defense and Simba’s struggles in attack.
  • Predicted Score: Our AI model forecasts a 2:0 win for ES Tunis, with a 1:0 lead at half-time. This fits the pattern of recent results and both teams’ current form.

Here’s how the stats and tips line up:

  1. ES Tunis have a strong home record and a much higher squad value, making them favorites in the sports betting markets.
  2. Simba’s away form is decent, but their Champions League campaign has been rocky, with defensive lapses and injuries to key players.
  3. With both teams missing important players, especially in attack, a low-scoring game is likely—hence the under 3.5 goals tip.
  4. The head to head history is non-existent, but ES Tunis’s pedigree (four-time African champions) and home advantage tip the scales in their favor.

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

To wrap up our ES Tunis vs Simba prediction, all signs point to a home win. The odds, form, and team news all favor ES Tunis, even if their attack hasn’t quite clicked yet. Simba will fight hard, but with their Champions League hopes hanging by a thread and key players missing, it’s a tall order in Tunisia.

  • Best Bet: Home win (1) at 1.311 odds
  • Value Bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.3115 odds
  • Predicted Score: 2:0 to ES Tunis

As always, remember that football can be unpredictable—sometimes the underdog bites back! But if you’re looking for smart sports betting advice, our ES Tunis vs Simba prediction is to back the home side and expect a tight, disciplined match. Good luck, and may your bets bring you more joy than a last-minute winner!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for ES Tunis vs Simba

1 -323

ES Tunis is expected to win with odds of -323
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -323

ES Tunis is expected to win with odds of -323
5/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -323

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -200

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -185

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:0

Correct Score

2:0

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
2.1
1.9
Goals Scored
1.3
0.5
Goals Against
0.8

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
8
Over 1.5 Goals
7
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
2
Over 3.5 Goals
0
4
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
2

Head to Head

ES Tunis
0 - 0 - 0
Simba

Profile time Recent Matches of ES Tunis

01 Feb Simba Simba.
-
ES Tunis. ES Tunis
27 JanW ES Tunis ES Tunis.
1:0
JS Kairoua. JS Kairouan
24 JanW ES Tunis ES Tunis.
1:0
Simba. Simba
19 JanL Monastir Monastir.
2:1
ES Tunis. ES Tunis
15 JanW ES Tunis ES Tunis.
2:1
AS Gabes. AS Gabes
10 JanW ES Tunis ES Tunis.
4:0
Ben Guerda. Ben Guerdane
29 NovD Petro L Petro L.
1:1
ES Tunis. ES Tunis
22 NovD ES Tunis ES Tunis.
0:0
Stade M. Stade M
09 NovD Club Africain Club Afric.
0:0
ES Tunis. ES Tunis
06 NovW ES Tunis ES Tunis.
4:0
Jeunesse S. Jeunesse S

Profile time Recent Matches of Simba

01 FebSimba Simba.
-
ES Tunis.ES Tunis
29 JanWSimba Simba.
2:0
Mashujaa.Mashujaa
24 JanLES Tunis ES Tunis.
1:0
Simba.Simba
18 JanDSimba Simba.
1:1
Mtibwa Sug.Mtibwa Sugar
07 DecLSimba Simba.
0:2
Azam.Azam
04 DecWSimba Simba.
3:0
Mbeya City.Mbeya City
30 NovLStade M Stade M.
2:1
Simba.Simba
23 NovLSimba Simba.
0:1
Petro L.Petro L
08 NovWJKT Tanzania JKT Tanzan.
1:2
Simba (Tan.Simba (Tan)
26 OctDSimba Simba.
0:0
Nsingizin.Nsingizin

World - CAF Champions League World - CAF Champions League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien3
4-1
7
2 ES Tunis ES Tunis3
2-1
5
3 Petro de Luanda Petro de3
2-3
4
4 Simba Simba3
1-4
0
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