Fortaleza EC takes on Ferroviario in the Cearense - 1 on March 8, 2025, at 19:30 UTC at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. With Fortaleza priced at 1.24 for the win, a draw at 5.25, and Ferroviario at 9.9, the home side is the clear favorite. But is there value beyond the 1x2 market? Let’s break it down.

Fortaleza EC boasts a squad value of €47.15m, significantly higher than Ferroviario’s €150K, highlighting the gulf in quality. Historically, home teams in Cearense - 1 win 41.6% of matches, while away teams take just 28.5%, making a Fortaleza victory a logical pick. However, with only 24.8% of league games seeing over 3.5 goals, our AI’s top tip is Under 3.5 goals at 1.36, backed by a confidence rating of 7.1/10.

Recent head-to-head results also support a low-scoring affair. While Fortaleza dominated their last meeting in 2023 with a 4-0 win, Ferroviario pulled off a surprising 0-0 draw on March 1, 2025, despite being heavy underdogs at 8.5 odds. Fortaleza’s recent shock 2-2 draw against Palmeiras as 6.7 underdogs also suggests they can struggle to break down resilient defenses.

Our AI predicts a 1-0 win for Fortaleza, with a 0-0 half-time score. This aligns with the Under 3.5 goals bet, which looks like the safest play. If you’re considering a side bet, a Fortaleza win to nil could offer additional value, given Ferroviario’s struggles in front of goal.

Bottom line? Under 3.5 goals at 1.36 is the smartest bet here. Fortaleza should win, but don’t expect a goal-fest. Play smart, bet wisely, and good luck!