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Match Prediction

Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa Prediction

Finished
Brazil flag Brazil
Maranhense

Imperatriz

-

30 Apr18:30
1 : 2

Sampaio Correa

€1.05m

Preview

Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa Prediction Maranhense

Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa Prediction: A Tight Derby Under the Lights

When Imperatriz and Sampaio Correa meet at Estádio Frei Epifânio D'Abadia on April 30, 2025, it won’t just be another match—it’ll be a battle for pride, points, and bragging rights in the Maranhense league. Our Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa prediction leans on data, recent form, and the electric atmosphere of one of Brazil’s most underrated rivalries. Expect tension, tactical discipline, and perhaps just a single moment of magic to decide it.

The Stage Is Set: Rivalry, Stakes, and Stadium Roar

The Frei Epifânio D'Abadia isn’t just a stadium; it’s a cauldron where passion meets pressure. Imperatriz’s home advantage is real—home teams win 43.0% of Maranhense matches, and their betting odds of 2.5 for a victory reflect that edge. But Sampaio Correa are no pushovers, with a knack for grinding out results when least expected (remember their 2-2 stunner against Volta Redonda at 7.15 odds?). This derby could be decided by who blinks first.

Form Guide: Recent Trends and Head-to-Head Clues

The last head to head between these two ended in a cagey 0-0 draw, with odds heavily favoring Sampaio (2.0 vs. 3.4). That match was a masterclass in defensive organization, and our AI’s NG tip (1.72 odds, 5.0/10 confidence) suggests a repeat is plausible. Here’s why:

  • Imperatriz at home: 2.5 win odds align with the league’s 43.0% home win rate—but they’ll need efficiency in front of goal.
  • Sampaio’s resilience: Their 26.5% away win rate is below league average, but they’ve shown they can disrupt favorites.
  • Draw potential: With 30.4% of Maranhense matches ending level, the 3.0 odds for a draw aren’t far-fetched.

Betting Insights: Where the Value Lies

But here’s where the numbers get interesting. While 62.7% of league matches see over 1.5 total goals, only 39.2% exceed 2.5—backing our AI’s under 2.5 goals prediction (1.48 odds). Both teams score in just 44.1% of games, reinforcing the NG bet’s appeal. For those eyeing a calculated risk, Imperatriz’s 1x2 win at 2.5 odds (3.0 confidence) offers value given their home grit versus Sampaio’s occasional defensive lapses.

Tactical Keys to the Match

This won’t be a free-flowing spectacle. Expect midfield battles and set-piece duels:

  1. Imperatriz’s compact shape: They’ll likely sit deeper, exploiting Sampaio’s occasional high-line vulnerability on counters.
  2. Sampaio’s patience: Their 2-2 comeback against Volta Redonda proved they can rally—but can they break down a low block?
  3. Set pieces: With goals likely scarce, a well-worked corner or free-kick could be decisive.

Final Prediction: A Nail-Biter in the Making

Our Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa prediction mirrors the AI’s lean: a gritty 1-0 home win (0-0 at HT), with Imperatriz edging it late. The stats, the stakes, and the stadium roar all point to a match where one moment—not a flurry—will define it. For bettors, the 1.72 NG tip and under 2.5 goals are safer plays, while the 2.5 Imperatriz win odds tempt as a calculated punt. Bring your patience—this derby’s a slow burn.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Imperatriz vs Sampaio Correa

NG -139

At least one team is not expected to score with odds of -139
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 150

Imperatriz is expected to win with odds of 150
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

No -139

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -119

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

1.2
Total Goals
1.5
0.7
Goals Scored
0.6
0.5
Goals Against
0.9

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
3
3
Over 1.5 Goals
4
2
Over 2.5 Goals
2
0
Over 3.5 Goals
1
3
Both Teams Scored
2
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Imperatriz
6 - 2 - 6
Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa Sampaio C 05-Jul-25
3:0
Imperatriz Imperatriz
Imperatriz Imperatriz 10-May-25
1:0
Sampaio C Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa Sampaio C 07-May-25
0:2
Imperatriz Imperatriz
Imperatriz Imperatriz 30-Apr-25
1:2
Sampaio C Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa Sampaio C 09-Mar-25
1:2
Imperatriz Imperatriz
Imperatriz Imperatriz 11-Jan-25
0:0
Sampaio C Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa Sampaio C 10-Apr-24
3:0
Imperatriz Imperatriz
Imperatriz Imperatriz 07-Apr-24
0:2
Sampaio C Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa Sampaio C 02-Apr-24
1:1
Imperatriz Imperatriz
Imperatriz Imperatriz 07-Feb-24
1:0
Sampaio C Sampaio Correa

Brazil - Maranhense Brazil - Maranhense

Team Matches Goals Points
1 IAPE IAPE14
18-13
24
2 Sampaio Correa Sampaio Correa14
18-11
23
3 Imperatriz Imperatriz14
17-10
23
4 Maranhão Maranhão14
16-10
23
5 Moto Club Moto Club14
15-9
23
6 Tuntum Tuntum14
16-14
17
7 Pinheiro Pinheiro14
13-15
16
8 Viana Viana14
5-36
3
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