Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Turkey
Preview
As the spring sun begins to warm up the Aegean coast, all eyes turn to Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı this April 1st, where Karsiyaka host Kusadasispor in a 3. Lig - Group 1 fixture that could quietly shape the mid-table narrative. Kick-off is set for 12:00 GMT, and while the odds may look lopsided on paper, there’s more to this match than meets the eye.
Karsiyaka, one of Turkey’s proud footballing institutions with a fiery fan base and a rich past, come into this one as strong favorites — and the betting markets agree. Priced at 1.25 for a home win, the odds reflect both their form and the weight of history in their favor. Kusadasispor, meanwhile, are the clear underdogs at 11.0, with the draw sitting at 4.6. But as recent results have shown, this league isn’t short on surprises.
Let’s not forget, Karsiyaka pulled off a gritty 0-0 draw away to Bursaspor back in December, defying odds of 7.34 in a game where few gave them a chance. Kusadasispor also raised eyebrows more recently, holding the same Bursaspor side to a 1-1 draw on March 16, when most expected them to fold. These results tell us something important: both sides know how to punch above their weight when the occasion calls for it.
Still, the broader stats from the Turkish 3. Lig suggest home advantage matters. Over the last few seasons, 39.3% of games have ended in a home win, compared to just 26.7% for the away side. That trend alone paints a picture favorable to Karsiyaka, especially when you consider their passionate home support and a team that's been quietly solid at home.
Based on analysis, the AI prediction for Karsiyaka vs Kusadasispor is a home win, with a confidence level of 5.0 out of 10 and odds of 1.25 — not the boldest call, but a logical one given the context and home form.
Kusadasispor’s squad is actually valued higher than Karsiyaka’s (€170.00Th. vs €75.00Th.), which may surprise some. But value doesn’t always translate to points in this league, particularly when you're on the road. They’ll need to show more than just resilience — they’ll need clinical finishing and a bit of luck — if they’re to leave Izmir with anything more than respect.
Interestingly, NerdyTips' AI expects goals in this one, albeit cautiously. The recommended over/under tip is over 2.5 goals, with a modest trust score of 2.2 and odds of 1.78. That makes sense when you consider that 42.7% of matches in this league see three or more goals. It’s not a slam dunk, but it’s a bet with potential if you’re feeling adventurous.
The predicted final score? A 2-1 win for Karsiyaka — but here’s the twist: the AI sees Kusadasispor actually leading 1-0 at halftime. That could open up some interesting live betting opportunities if the visitors do come out swinging early.
In terms of both teams to score, it’s worth noting that 44.8% of games in this league feature goals from both sides. Given Kusadasispor’s recent ability to nick a goal in unlikely places, and Karsiyaka's knack for bouncing back, that market might offer some value for punters looking beyond the 1X2.
This fixture may not make international headlines, but it has all the ingredients of a quietly entertaining afternoon of football. Karsiyaka’s home record, fan support, and recent form suggest they’ll edge it, but Kusadasispor won’t go down without a fight. Expect a tense first half, a response from the home side in the second, and maybe even a goal-fueled finale.
So, if you’re looking for a smart punt, the safe money is on Karsiyaka to win — but don’t be surprised if Kusadasispor make them earn every bit of it.
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1 -400
Karsiyaka is expected to win with odds of -4001 -400
Karsiyaka is expected to win with odds of -400Over 2.5 -128
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes 138
Both teams are expected to score1X&O2.5 -115
Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
2:1
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2
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0
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0
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 Karsiyaka |
01-Apr-25
5:1
| Kusadasispor  |
Recent Matches of Karsiyaka| 25 Jan | L |
Balikesirspo.
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2:1
| Karsiyaka.
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Recent Matches of Kusadasispor
Turkey - 3. Lig - Group 1| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bursaspor | 30 | 64-17 | 70 |
| 2 |
Karşıyaka | 30 | 56-28 | 60 |
| 3 |
Muş | 30 | 48-24 | 58 |
| 4 |
Kütahyaspor | 30 | 57-37 | 58 |
| 5 |
Düzcespor | 30 | 40-27 | 56 |
| 6 |
Silifke | 30 | 51-36 | 49 |
| 7 |
Anadolu | 30 | 39-32 | 47 |
| 8 |
Artvin | 30 | 26-30 | 39 |
| 9 |
Tokat Bld | 30 | 27-32 | 31 |
| 10 |
Kahramanmaraş | 30 | 28-39 | 30 |
| 11 |
Kartal | 30 | 35-58 | 30 |
| 12 |
Kırşehir | 30 | 26-48 | 29 |
| 13 |
Viven Bornova | 30 | 36-53 | 28 |
| 14 |
Elazığ Belediyespor | 30 | 18-31 | 26 |
| 15 |
Kuşadasıspor | 30 | 25-51 | 24 |
| 16 |
Ergene | 30 | 17-50 | 23 |
