Lagarto vs Falcon Prediction - Mar 5, 2025
Match Tips
Confidence
Best Tip
1
1.50
Lagarto to win
5.4/10
1x2 Tip
11.50
5.5/10
Total Goals
Under 3.51.30
3.5/10
Both Teams To Score
No1.73
1.3/10
Correct Score
Preview
AI
Lagarto and Falcon face off in the Sergipano league showdown at Estádio Paulo Barreto de Menezes on March 5, 2025, at 23:30 UTC. With Lagarto priced at 1.5 odds to win and Falcon at a distant 5.9, the home side is the clear favorite. But can Falcon pull off another shocker like they did in 2024?
Recent Form & Head-to-Head
These two met just days ago on March 1, and Lagarto dominated with a 3-0 victory. That’s a strong indicator that they have the upper hand. However, Falcon fans will remember their surprise 1:1 win in 2024, when they defied 5.0 odds to steal a point.
AI Predictions & Betting Tips
Our AI is backing Lagarto to win (1.5 odds) with a trust level of 5.5/10. It also suggests a final score of 2:0, meaning a first-half lead of 1:0 is likely. If you're considering goal markets, the Under 3.5 goals bet (1.3 odds) has a 3.5/10 confidence level.
League Trends & Stats
Looking at the Sergipano league’s historical data, home teams have won 35.0% of matches, while away teams have won 28.2%, with 36.8% ending in a draw. That gives a slight edge to Lagarto, but it’s not a guaranteed walk in the park.
Goal stats also tell an interesting story:
- 62.4% of games have over 1.5 goals.
- 41.0% feature over 2.5 goals.
- Only 21.4% exceed 3.5 goals, supporting our AI’s Under 3.5 goals prediction.
Final Thoughts
With Lagarto’s recent 3-0 win over Falcon, their home advantage, and the 1.5 odds on offer, they look like the smart pick. But if you love an underdog story, Falcon has shocked them before!
Will history repeat itself, or will Lagarto cruise to another comfortable win? Place your bets wisely!
Statistics
Average / Match
Falcon
Total GoalsLagarto: 3Falcon: 2.6
Goals ScoredLagarto: 2.1Falcon: 1.1
Goals AgainstLagarto: 0.9Falcon: 1.5
Form
Overview Last 10 Matches
Falcon
WinsLagarto: 5Falcon: 4
Over 1.5 GoalsLagarto: 9Falcon: 7
Over 2.5 GoalsLagarto: 6Falcon: 5
Over 3.5 GoalsLagarto: 4Falcon: 4
Both Teams ScoredLagarto: 4Falcon: 2
Unexpected WinsLagarto: 0Falcon: 0
Unexpected LosesLagarto: 0Falcon: 0
H2H
Total meetings 7
2Wins
5Draws
0Wins
Recent meetings 6
1.8Goals per match
50%Both Teams Scored
33%Over 2.5 Goals
Jan 102026
Lagarto
Falcon22
Mar 052025
Lagarto
Falcon00
Mar 012025
Lagarto
Falcon30
Mar 232024
Lagarto
Falcon11
Mar 162024
Falcon
Lagarto00
Jan 202024
Lagarto
Falcon11
Recent Matches
No matches for this selection.
Standings
Brazil - Sergipano
| # | Team | M | G | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
9 | 26-8 | 20 |
| 2 |
|
9 | 18-7 | 19 |
| 3 |
|
9 | 20-8 | 17 |
| 4 |
|
9 | 10-6 | 15 |
| 5 |
|
9 | 9-19 | 13 |
| 6 |
|
9 | 11-15 | 12 |
| 7 |
|
9 | 10-11 | 11 |
| 8 |
|
9 | 7-12 | 8 |
| 9 |
|
9 | 8-27 | 7 |
| 10 |
|
9 | 10-16 | 3 |
Semi-finals
Play-off
Relegation