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Match Prediction

Lincoln vs Burton Prediction

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England flag England

Lincoln

€7.70m

22 Jan15:00
2 : 1

Burton

€8.20m

Preview

Lincoln vs Burton Prediction League One

Lincoln vs Burton Prediction: Insights, Odds, and AI Betting Tips

Welcome to our Lincoln vs Burton prediction for the League One fixture on January 22, 2026, at LNER Stadium. If you’re hunting for the best betting tips, match context, and a data-driven outlook, you’re in the right place. Let’s break down everything you need to know before you place your bets on this intriguing encounter.

Match Context: Promotion Push Meets Survival Fight

Lincoln City and Burton Albion are set to meet under the floodlights at LNER Stadium, with both teams having very different ambitions this season. Lincoln, currently sitting 2nd in League One, are dreaming of promotion. Burton, meanwhile, find themselves battling at the wrong end of the table in 19th place, hoping to steer clear of relegation worries.

  • Kick-off: January 22, 2026, 20:00 GMT
  • Venue: LNER Stadium, Lincoln
  • Referee: Matthew Corlett

Lincoln’s recent form has been nothing short of impressive: 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, scoring at a healthy clip of 2.4 goals per game. Their home record is even more intimidating, with 9 wins at LNER Stadium this season. Burton, on the other hand, have managed 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5, conceding as many as they score (1.53 per game).

Tactics, Team News & Head to Head

Lincoln, under the guidance of Michael Skubala, have become a well-drilled, high-pressing side. Their 4-2-3-1 setup focuses on suffocating the opposition in midfield and springing quick transitions. Set pieces are a real weapon—last season, they scored more goals from dead-ball situations than any other EFL team. Skubala’s futsal roots show in their positional fluidity and fast decision-making.

Key players like captain Tendayi Darikwa, Reeco Hackett, and Conor McGrandles have all signed on until 2027, providing stability and quality. Darikwa, in particular, has chipped in with 17 goals from right-back since 2024—a stat that would make even some strikers jealous!

Burton, managed by Gary Bowyer, are no strangers to set-piece drama themselves. While their overall goal tally from corners is lower, their xG per corner is among the best in League One. Charlie Webster is the creative spark, while goalkeeper Bradley Collins is second in the league for saves per match—he’ll need to be at his best against Lincoln’s attack.

  • Last head to head: Burton edged Lincoln 1-0 in February 2025
  • Overall H2H since 2009: Lincoln 9 wins, Burton 8 wins, 1 draw
  • Lincoln’s average goals vs Burton: 1.2 per match
  • Burton’s average goals vs Lincoln: 0.6 per match

Injuries could play a part, with Lincoln monitoring the fitness of Lewis Montsma and Dom Jeffries, while Jack Moylan remains sidelined after ankle surgery. Burton’s squad is relatively settled, but they’ll be hoping for a clean bill of health come matchday.

Lincoln vs Burton Prediction: Odds, AI Tips & Betting Insights

Now, let’s get to the heart of our Lincoln vs Burton prediction. The bookies have Lincoln as clear favorites at odds of 1.53 for a home win, while a draw is priced at 4.05 and a Burton victory is a long shot at 6.5. But football, as we know, loves a surprise—just ask Burton, who stunned Bradford away with a 2-1 win at 5.0 odds earlier this season.

Key Betting Markets & AI Recommendations

  1. Over 1.5 Goals: Our AI recommends this as the standout tip, with an 8.5/10 confidence rating and odds of 1.3. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games lately, and Lincoln’s attacking style should ensure at least two goals are scored.
  2. 1x2 Full-Time Result: While the AI gives a low confidence score (1.5) for a Burton win at 6.5 odds, it’s not entirely out of the question—especially considering their recent head-to-head win and knack for surprising results.
  3. Expected Scoreline: The numbers point to a 2:3 thriller, with a 1:1 draw at half-time. Lincoln are expected to dominate possession (56%) and rack up more shots (15 vs 8), but Burton’s efficiency on the break could make things interesting.

If you’re looking for more betting tips, consider these match stats:

  • Lincoln are likely to win the corner count (5 to 3)
  • Both sides are expected to keep their discipline, with just one yellow card each
  • Lincoln’s squad value (€7.70m) is slightly less than Burton’s (€8.20m), but recent form and home advantage tip the scales

Final Thoughts: Where’s the Smart Money?

Our Lincoln vs Burton prediction leans heavily towards a home win, but the real value lies in the goals market. With both teams showing attacking intent and a history of lively encounters, backing over 1.5 goals at 1.3 looks like a smart, safe play. If you’re feeling adventurous, a small punt on Burton at 6.5 could pay off—after all, League One is never short on surprises.

To sum up, expect an entertaining match with goals, drama, and tactical intrigue. Lincoln’s promotion charge should see them dominate, but don’t write off Burton’s ability to spring a surprise. For more head to head stats, betting tips, and the latest updates, keep checking back with NerdyTips!

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Lincoln didn't play better in the last H2H match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Lincoln vs Burton

O1.5 -333

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -333
8/10

1x2 Tip

2 550

Burton is expected to win with odds of 550
1/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -333

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes 112

Both teams are expected to score
8/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 216

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:1

Correct Score

2:3

Stats Predictions

1.69
xG
0.66
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots Off Goal
2
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

1.33
Expected Goals
1.09
3.2
Total Goals
3.1
2
Goals Scored
1.8
1.2
Goals Against
1.3
41%
Possession
48%
13.1
Total Shots
11.7
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.8
4.4
Shots off Goal
3.3
12.9
Fouls
10.5
4.6
Corners
5.3
2.1
Offsides
1
2.11
Yellow Cards
1.29
312
Total Passes
311

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
8
6
Over 2.5 Goals
6
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
7
Both Teams Scored
4
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Lincoln
9 - 0 - 5
Burton
Burton Burton 13-Sep-25
0:1
Lincoln Lincoln
Burton Burton 26-Aug-25
0:1
Lincoln Lincoln
Lincoln Lincoln 22-Feb-25
0:1
Burton Burton
Burton Burton 10-Aug-24
2:3
Lincoln Lincoln
Burton Burton 03-Feb-24
0:1
Lincoln Lincoln
Lincoln Lincoln 14-Oct-23
0:1
Burton Burton
Lincoln Lincoln 25-Apr-23
0:1
Burton Burton
Burton Burton 26-Dec-22
3:0
Lincoln Lincoln
Lincoln Lincoln 29-Jan-22
1:2
Burton Burton
Burton Burton 25-Sep-21
1:2
Lincoln Lincoln

Profile time Recent Matches of Lincoln

31 Jan Wigan Wigan.
-
Lincoln. Lincoln
22 JanW Lincoln Lincoln.
2:1
Burton. Burton
17 JanD Luton Luton.
2:2
Lincoln. Lincoln
04 JanW Lincoln Lincoln.
5:2
Peterborough. Peterborough
01 JanD Lincoln Lincoln.
1:1
Huddersfield. Huddersfield
29 DecW Barnsley Barnsley.
0:2
Lincoln. Lincoln
26 DecW Stockport Stockport.
1:2
Lincoln. Lincoln
20 DecW Lincoln Lincoln.
2:1
Cardiff. Cardiff
13 DecD Blackpool Blackpool.
2:2
Lincoln. Lincoln
09 DecW Lincoln Lincoln.
3:1
Barnsley. Barnsley

Profile time Recent Matches of Burton

31 JanBurton Burton.
-
Cardiff.Cardiff
22 JanLLincoln Lincoln.
2:1
Burton.Burton
17 JanWBurton Burton.
3:1
Huddersfield.Huddersfield
10 JanWBoreham Wood Boreham Wood.
0:5
Burton.Burton
04 JanLPlymouth Plymouth.
3:0
Burton.Burton
01 JanLReading Reading.
2:0
Burton.Burton
29 DecLBurton Burton.
0:2
Wigan.Wigan
26 DecWBurton Burton.
5:1
Northampton.Northampton
20 DecDStevenage Stevenage.
2:2
Burton.Burton
13 DecDBurton Burton.
0:0
Wycombe.Wycombe

England - League One England - League One

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Cardiff Cardiff27
46-27
56
2 Lincoln Lincoln27
44-29
52
3 Bolton Bolton28
35-26
46
4 Bradford Bradford26
35-28
46
5 Stockport County Stockport27
38-33
46
6 Huddersfield Huddersfield28
47-38
42
7 Luton Luton27
37-33
39
8 Stevenage Stevenage26
28-24
39
9 Peterborough Peterborough27
35-35
38
10 Exeter City Exeter City26
31-24
36
11 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town25
35-29
36
12 Wycombe Wycombe27
34-31
36
13 Reading Reading26
35-33
36
14 Plymouth Plymouth27
34-39
36
15 Barnsley Barnsley23
37-36
33
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient27
40-45
32
17 Blackpool Blackpool27
34-39
32
18 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon26
28-35
32
19 Wigan Wigan26
29-31
31
20 Burton Albion Burton Albion26
27-37
30
21 Northampton Northampton26
23-32
29
22 Doncaster Doncaster26
28-44
27
23 Rotherham Rotherham26
25-39
25
24 Port Vale Port Vale25
19-37
18
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