Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Italy
Preview
The Stadio Porta Elisa braces for a Serie C battle with real stakes as Lucchese host Vis Pesaro on April 13, 2025. The Tuscan air will carry more than just spring warmth—it’ll hum with the tension of two teams fighting to tilt their season’s narrative. The odds whisper intrigue: Lucchese at 3.2, the draw at 3.0, and Vis Pesaro as slight favorites at 2.2. But as any Serie C devotee knows, the numbers only tell half the story.
NerdyTips’ algorithm throws a curveball with its 1X tip (Lucchese double chance) at 1.57 odds and a 5.3/10 confidence rating. This isn’t blind faith—it’s cold, hard logic dressed in underdog glory. Lucchese’s recent 4-1 demolition of Ternana (a shock at 6.0 odds) wasn’t just luck; it was a masterclass in punching above their weight. Their squad may be valued at €3.28m compared to Vis Pesaro’s €3.77m, but money doesn’t always buy resilience.
Dig deeper, and the 1X2 market starts leaning toward Lucchese like a sunflower to daylight. A home win sits at 4.0 confidence with those tempting 3.2 odds. Picture this: a 2-1 final score, the hosts edging it after a 1-0 halftime lead. It fits like puzzle pieces—Lucchese’s attack has found its rhythm, while Vis Pesaro’s defense occasionally snoozes at crucial moments. Remember their 1-1 draw against Virtus Entella? At 5.0 odds, that result screamed 'unpredictable.'
Vis Pesaro’s higher squad value suggests dominance, but Serie C laughs at such assumptions. Their road form has been a mixed bag—flashes of brilliance clouded by inconsistency. That €3.77m roster means little if they can’t translate it into clean sheets away from home. Lucchese, meanwhile, have turned their stadium into a fortress of late, feeding off the energy of their supporters.
For those who prefer safer bets, the Over 1.57 goals tip at 1.36 odds (3.7 confidence) is practically a love letter to probability. Both teams have been involved in matches where the net bulges regularly—this isn’t the clash for a 0-0 purist. Expect fireworks, or at least a couple of decent sparks.
In the end, this Lucchese vs Vis Pesaro prediction hinges on which version of each team shows up. Will it be the giant-killing Lucchese or the occasionally shaky hosts? The theoretically superior Vis Pesaro or the side that sometimes forgets to pack their defensive focus for trips? One thing’s certain: in Serie C, the only guarantee is drama. NerdyTips’ model sees value in backing the home side’s spirit, and after that Ternana thrashing, who’d dare argue?
Remember: In Italy’s third tier, logic wears dancing shoes. The stats guide us, but the heart of the game always has the final say.
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Vis Pesaro no motivation!
1X -175
Lucchese to win or draw with odds of -1751 220
Lucchese is expected to win with odds of 220Over 1.5 -278
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -118
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 107
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2:1
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4
-
0
-
4
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|
 Lucchese |
13-Apr-25
1:0
| Vis Pesaro  |
| Vis Pesaro |
30-Nov-24
2:1
| Lucchese |
| Vis Pesaro |
28-Mar-24
1:3
| Lucchese |
| Lucchese |
25-Nov-23
1:2
| Vis Pesaro |
| Lucchese |
19-Feb-23
3:0
| Vis Pesaro |
| Vis Pesaro |
19-Oct-22
0:1
| Lucchese |
| Vis Pesaro |
16-Feb-22
2:1
| Lucchese |
Recent Matches of Lucchese
Recent Matches of Vis Pesaro
| 31 Jan |  Pianese. |
- |
Vis Pesaro. | |
| 25 Jan | L |  Livorno. |
2:1 |
Vis Pesaro. |
Italy - Serie C - Girone B| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Virtus Entella | 38 | 61-24 | 83 |
| 2 |
Ternana | 38 | 64-23 | 74 |
| 3 |
Torres | 38 | 55-36 | 68 |
| 4 |
Pescara | 38 | 55-35 | 67 |
| 5 |
Arezzo | 38 | 48-37 | 64 |
| 6 |
Vis Pesaro | 38 | 44-34 | 58 |
| 7 |
Pineto | 38 | 46-49 | 57 |
| 8 |
Pianese | 38 | 48-48 | 53 |
| 9 |
Rimini | 38 | 45-35 | 51 |
| 10 |
Pontedera | 38 | 54-54 | 48 |
| 11 |
Gubbio | 38 | 32-42 | 48 |
| 12 |
Perugia | 38 | 43-41 | 47 |
| 13 |
Athletic Carpi | 38 | 41-48 | 44 |
| 14 |
Città di | 38 | 36-46 | 43 |
| 15 |
Ascoli | 38 | 37-46 | 40 |
| 16 |
Lucchese | 38 | 47-64 | 39 |
| 17 |
Spal | 38 | 41-61 | 35 |
| 18 |
Milan II | 38 | 36-57 | 34 |
| 19 |
Sestri Levante | 38 | 34-54 | 31 |
| 20 |
Legnago Salus | 38 | 30-63 | 29 |
