Preview
Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia prediction time arrives with a very different feeling than usual. On 2026-05-13 at 18:15 GMT, Huvepharma Arena hosts a game that looks like a “normal” First League fixture on paper… but the story around it is anything but normal. Levski are the new champions of Bulgaria, and Ludogorets are the former kings who just watched a 14-year reign end.
The timing adds extra spice: because of the playoff schedule, these sides meet almost back-to-back. They play on May 9 at Georgi Asparuhov, where Levski get the trophy moment, and then they travel to Razgrad four days later. One team will still be smiling for photos. The other will be hoping the camera angles don’t catch the grim faces.
Levski have been the best team in Bulgaria this season. They are on an 8-match unbeaten run and they’ve done it the “safe” way: top-level discipline, balance, and results that don’t need fireworks. They’ve combined the best attack with the tightest defense, which is usually the simplest recipe for lifting a title.
Ludogorets, meanwhile, are finishing the season like a phone battery stuck at 1%. They’ve gone six matches without a win, and those dropped points are a big reason the title moved back to Sofia. The squad value still screams “top club” (around €45.65m vs Levski’s €28.50m), but form doesn’t care about market value.
The most recent head to head on 2026-03-05 ended 1-0 for Ludogorets. That matters because it shows the home side can still “solve” Levski in a low-scoring game. Back then, the market leaned Ludogorets (2.12) with Levski longer (4.45), and the result followed the favorite.
For this match, the 1X2 odds are closer: Home win 1.89, Draw 3.45, Away win 4.4. In other words, bookmakers see a competitive night, not a routine home win.
Both clubs have shown they can surprise bigger names in Europe too. Ludogorets’ 3-2 win over Celta Vigo (2025-11-27) came at huge odds (5.1). Levski’s 1-1 draw with Eintracht Frankfurt (2023-08-24) also beat expectations when Frankfurt were priced at 1.42. Translation: neither team is scared of a big moment… and this one is big for different reasons.
Now to the numbers and the Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia prediction from NerdyTips. The stats and tips point to a controlled game where Ludogorets have more of the ball, but chances are limited.
These picks connect well with the match story. Ludogorets are struggling, yes, but they’re at home and still project as the side more likely to manage territory. Levski are champions and in great form, but champions often play “smart” away from home—especially when the opponent is desperate to restore pride.
When the model expects just three shots on target in total, it’s hard to argue with the idea of fewer goals. That’s why Under 2.5 fits the picture, and it also matches the recent 1-0 head to head feel.
That half-time call (0-0) lines up with the “champions manage the game, hosts try not to panic” script. If you’re a beginner bettor, this is a good reminder: not every big-name match becomes a goal party. Sometimes it’s more like chess… but with sliding tackles.
Final takeaway: the market respects Levski’s champion form, but the model sees a home-controlled, low-scoring evening where Ludogorets are more likely to avoid defeat. That’s the core of this Ludogorets vs Levski Sofia prediction, and it’s also why the 1X stands out among the betting tips for this one.
Read More
Read Less
Want to see how AI predicts football matches? → Check the latest results !
Levski Sofia is champion!
|
20
-
8
-
4
|
|
Ludogorets |
11-Feb-26
1:0
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
05-Mar-26
1:0
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
03-May-25
1:1
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
17-Aug-24
1:0
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
03-Apr-24
5:1
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
03-Jun-23
3:2
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
04-Dec-22
2:1
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
01-Sep-22
2:2
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
01-Dec-22
0:0
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
Ludogorets |
13-Apr-22
2:3
| Levski Sofia ![]() |
| 09 May | W |
Levski Sofia
| 0 |
Ludogorets
| 1 |
| 03 May | L |
CSKA Sofia
| 1 |
Ludogorets
| 0 |
| 29 Apr | D |
CSKA Sofia
| 0 |
Ludogorets
| 0 |
| 25 Apr | L |
Ludogorets
| 1 |
CSKA 1948
| 2 |
| 21 Apr | L |
Ludogorets
| 1 |
CSKA Sofia
| 2 |
| 15 Apr | L |
Arda K
| 1 |
Ludogorets
| 0 |
| 09 Apr | D |
Ludogorets
| 0 |
Cherno M
| 0 |
| 05 Apr | W |
Ludogorets
| 3 |
CSKA 1948
| 0 |
| 19 Mar | W |
Spartak Varna
| 1 |
Ludogorets
| 5 |
| 14 Mar | W |
Ludogorets
| 3 |
CSKA Sofia
| 0 |
| 09 May | L | Levski Sofia |
0 | Ludogorets |
1 |
| 02 May | W | Levski Sofia |
1 | CSKA 1948 |
0 |
| 25 Apr | W | CSKA Sofia |
1 | Levski Sofia |
3 |
| 13 Apr | D | CSKA Sofia |
1 | Levski Sofia |
1 |
| 09 Apr | W | Levski Sofia |
1 | Arda K |
0 |
| 05 Apr | D | Dobrudzha |
2 | Levski Sofia |
2 |
| 21 Mar | W | Levski Sofia |
2 | Cherno More |
1 |
| 15 Mar | W | Beroe |
0 | Levski Sofia |
1 |
| 09 Mar | W | Levski Sofia |
1 | Lok. Plovdiv |
0 |
| 05 Mar | L | Ludogorets |
1 | Levski Sofia |
0 |
Bulgaria - First League| Team | M | G | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levski Sofia | 33 | 68-24 | 76 |
| 2 |
Ludogorets | 33 | 59-23 | 63 |
| 3 |
CSKA Sofia | 33 | 46-26 | 62 |
| 4 |
CSKA 1948 | 33 | 52-34 | 62 |