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Match Prediction

Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire Prediction

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US Open Cup

Minnesota

€44.25m

9 Jul 01:00
3 : 1

Chicago Fire

€41.95m

Preview

Minnesota vs Chicago Fire Prediction US Open Cup

Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire Prediction: A High-Stakes Open Cup Thriller?

The Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire prediction for their upcoming US Open Cup clash is shaping up to be a tantalizing prospect. With kickoff at 01:00 GMT on July 9, 2025, at Allianz Field, the odds suggest a nail-biter—home side Minnesota at 2.05, a draw at 3.7, and Chicago at 3.19. But the real story? An AI-projected 2-3 scoreline, hinting at chaos, goals, and perhaps a touch of unpredictability.

Why the Goals Could Flow

The numbers scream entertainment. The AI gives a 6.6/10 confidence rating for over 2.5 total goals, with odds at 1.57—a stat that aligns perfectly with both teams’ recent tendencies. Consider these clues:

  • Head-to-head fireworks: Chicago’s 4-0 demolition of Minnesota in February 2024 still lingers, a reminder of their attacking potential.
  • Recent form: Minnesota’s 1-0 upset against NYRB in 2022 and Chicago’s 2-2 draw vs. NYCFC (at 5.65 odds) show both sides thrive as underdogs.
  • Shot parity: Identical total shots (12 each) and near-even possession (51%-49%) suggest a balanced but aggressive approach.

Add Chicago’s slight edge in clinical finishing (5 on-target shots vs. Minnesota’s 4), and the recipe for a high-scoring affair becomes clear.

Where the Battle Could Be Won

Beyond the betting odds, subtle nuances could decide this tie:

  1. Set-piece skirmishes: Minnesota averages 5 corners per game, Chicago 4—a minor but potentially decisive margin.
  2. Discipline: With 2 yellow cards each in recent meetings, tensions could boil over, disrupting rhythm.
  3. Squad value vs. recent dominance: Minnesota’s €44.25m roster edges Chicago’s €42.055m, yet the Fire’s recent H2H dominance adds intrigue.

The AI’s Bold Call—Trust or Fade?

The model leans toward a Chicago win (3.19 odds), albeit with low confidence (1.57/10). This might reflect Minnesota’s occasional home inconsistencies or Chicago’s counterattacking prowess. But here’s the twist: derbies rarely follow scripts. If the AI’s crystal ball is right, fans might want to buckle up for a rollercoaster.

Final Thoughts: Expect Fireworks, Not Guarantees

While the Minnesota United vs Chicago Fire prediction points to goals—and possibly an away win—cup football thrives on chaos. The head-to-head history, combined with both teams’ flair for drama, suggests a match that could swing on a moment of brilliance or a defensive lapse. One thing’s certain: at Allianz Field, under the lights, this won’t be a quiet night.

Our take? The numbers lean toward a 3-2 thriller, but as any fan knows, the beautiful game loves a plot twist. Tune in for what could be the Open Cup’s most electrifying duel yet.

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Warning

Chicago Fire has an unusually high recent form

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Minnesota vs Chicago Fire

O2.5 -175

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -175
6/10

1x2 Tip

2219

Chicago Fire is expected to win with odds of 219
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -175

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -200

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -105

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

1:2

Full-Time Score

2:3

Stats Predictions

51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3.4
Total Goals
3.9
1.9
Goals Scored
2.4
1.5
Goals Against
1.5
40%
Possession
49%
10.9
Total Shots
13.7
4.1
Shots on Goal
5.9
4.3
Shots off Goal
4.3
12.9
Fouls
12.3
4.1
Corners
5.1
1.5
Offsides
1.5
2
Yellow Cards
2.33
0
Red Cards
0.22
348
Total Passes
440

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
6
9
Over 1.5 Goals
9
7
Over 2.5 Goals
8
5
Over 3.5 Goals
6
7
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Minnesota United
3 - 1 - 4
Chicago Fire

Latest Matches

Minnesota United Minnesota 14-Feb-24
0:4
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Minnesota United Minnesota 28-Jul-23
2:3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 09-Apr-23
2:1
Minnesota Minnesota United
Minnesota United Minnesota 23-Apr-22
3:0
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Minnesota United Minnesota 05-Nov-20
2:2
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12-May-19
2:0
Minnesota Minnesota United
Minnesota United Minnesota 17-Mar-18
2:1
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 27-Aug-17
1:2
Minnesota Minnesota United

Profile time Recent Matches of Minnesota

20 Jul Portland Portland .
-
Minnesota. Minnesota
13 JulW Minnesota Minnesota.
4:1
San J. San J
09 JulW Minnesota Minnesota.
3:1
Chicago Fire. Chicago Fire
08 JulD Minnesota Minnesota.
0:0
Holstein . Holstein
05 JulW FC Dallas FC Dallas.
1:2
Minnesota. Minnesota
29 JunD New Y New Y.
2:2
Minnesota. Minnesota
26 JunW Minnesota Minnesota.
3:1
Houston D. Houston D
15 JunL Minnesota Minnesota.
2:4
San Diego. San Diego
01 JunW Seattle S Seattle S.
2:3
Minnesota. Minnesota
29 MayD Vancouver Vancouver.
0:0
Minnesota. Minnesota

Profile time Recent Matches of Chicago Fire

20 JulCF Montreal CF Montreal.
-
Chicago Fire.Chicago Fire
17 JulDAtlanta U Atlanta U.
2:2
Chicago Fire.Chicago Fire
13 JulLChicago Fire Chicago Fire.
1:2
San Diego.San Diego
09 JulLMinnesota Minnesota.
3:1
Chicago Fire.Chicago Fire
06 JulLCincinnati Cincinnati.
2:1
Chicago Fire.Chicago Fire
29 JunWChicago Fire Chicago Fire.
3:2
Charlotte.Charlotte
26 JunLChicago Fire Chicago Fire.
0:1
Philadelp.Philadelp
15 JunLChicago Fire Chicago Fire.
0:2
Nashville SC.Nashville SC
08 JunWDC United DC United.
1:7
Chicago Fire.Chicago Fire
01 JunWOrlando C Orlando C.
1:3
Chicago Fire.Chicago Fire
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