Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Italy
Preview
The Stadio G. Corsaro braces itself for a Thursday afternoon showdown that might not set pulses racing at first glance—but dig deeper, and this Serie D encounter between Montecchio Maggiore and Calvi Noale has all the makings of a tactical chess match wrapped in mid-table tension. With kickoff at 14:00 GMT, expect a game where defenses RSVP early, and goals crash the party reluctantly.
Neither Montecchio Maggiore nor Calvi Noale are fighting for the stars or scrambling to avoid the abyss, but that doesn’t mean this is a dead rubber. In Serie D’s Girone C, every point can nudge a team closer to respectability—or drag them into an unplanned relegation scrap. The home side, valued at €895k, might lack the financial muscle of Calvi Noale’s €1.05m squad, but as their recent 1-1 draw against favorited Treviso proved, they’ve got grit to spare.
Let’s be honest: if this match were a Netflix show, it’d be a slow-burn thriller, not a goal-fest blockbuster. Serie D’s Girone C has a knack for tight, low-scoring affairs—only 24.3% of games here see more than 3.5 goals, and a staggering 42.7% end in draws. Montecchio Maggiore vs Calvi Noale prediction models love those numbers, whispering that patience will be key for viewers and bettors alike.
Montecchio’s resilience against Treviso—a team with far stronger odds—hints at a side comfortable soaking up pressure. They’re the kind of team that makes you work for every half-chance, like trying to crack a walnut with a spoon. Calvi Noale, meanwhile, arrive with slightly better squad value and odds (2.4 for an away win), but their Achilles’ heel might be breaking down stubborn defenses. Expect a first half where both teams circle each other warily, like two cats deciding whether to fight or nap.
Here’s where things get juicy for the nerds. With 42.7% of Serie D games ending level, the X2 (Double Chance: Draw or Away Win) at 1.36 odds feels like finding money in last winter’s coat pocket. Calvi Noale’s slight edge in quality makes them favorites, but Montecchio’s knack for grinding out results—especially at home, where 31.1% of league games end in home wins—suggests this could be another stalemate. Pair that with the under 3.5 goals market (1.25 odds), and you’ve got a bet that’s as safe as houses in a league where goals are scarcer than a sunny day in November.
So, what’s the verdict? Our Montecchio Maggiore vs Calvi Noale prediction leans heavily into the stats: a 1-1 draw, with a nap-inducing first half (0-0 HT) that erupts into life late on. It’s the kind of game where the biggest drama might be a defender’s misplaced pass or a goalkeeper’s heroic save—but sometimes, that’s where the beauty lies. Just don’t expect fireworks. Unless, of course, someone forgets the script.
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U3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -400X2 -278
Calvi Noale to win or drawUnder 3.5 -400
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -125
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&U4.5 -182
Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:1
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0
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0
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2
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 Montecchi |
17-Apr-25
0:3
| Calvi Noale  |
Recent Matches of Montecchi
Recent Matches of Calvi Noale
| 25 Jan | L | Calvi Noal. |
0:1 |
Luparense. |
Italy - Serie D - Girone C| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dolomiti | 38 | 65-39 | 78 |
| 2 |
Treviso | 38 | 59-32 | 74 |
| 3 |
Villa Valle | 38 | 62-44 | 67 |
| 4 |
Adriese | 38 | 55-31 | 66 |
| 5 |
Mestre | 38 | 40-34 | 64 |
| 6 |
Campodarsego | 38 | 52-36 | 62 |
| 7 |
Brusaporto | 38 | 46-37 | 60 |
| 8 |
Luparense | 38 | 48-36 | 56 |
| 9 |
Real Calepina | 38 | 44-44 | 55 |
| 10 |
Cjarlins | 38 | 50-49 | 55 |
| 11 |
Este | 38 | 50-50 | 54 |
| 12 |
Brian Lignano | 38 | 45-49 | 48 |
| 13 |
Calvi Noale | 38 | 44-44 | 47 |
| 14 |
Bassano Virtus | 38 | 43-36 | 47 |
| 15 |
Portosummaga | 38 | 32-36 | 46 |
| 16 |
Caravaggio | 38 | 42-54 | 41 |
| 17 |
Virtus Ciserano | 38 | 42-55 | 40 |
| 18 |
Chions | 38 | 35-59 | 30 |
| 19 |
Montecchio | 38 | 32-55 | 27 |
| 20 |
Lavis | 38 | 25-91 | 12 |
