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Monza vs Napoli Prediction - Oct 28, 2026

Oct 2819:45
VS
14.40 X3.85 21.80

Match Tips

Confidence

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Best Tip
7.6/10
1x2 Tip
6.0/10
Total Goals
7.7/10
Both Teams To Score
6.3/10
Bet Builder Tip
3.9/10
Half-Time Score
Correct Score

Stats Predictions

AI
Monza
Napoli
xGMonza: 1.32Napoli: 1.61
Ball PossessionMonza: 42%Napoli: 58%
Total ShotsMonza: 12Napoli: 19
Shots on GoalMonza: 5Napoli: 6
Shots Off GoalMonza: 4Napoli: 6
CornersMonza: 4Napoli: 6
Yellow CardsMonza: 1Napoli: 1
OffsidesMonza: 2Napoli: 2
FoulsMonza: 11Napoli: 9

Preview

AI
Monza vs Napoli Prediction

Monza vs Napoli prediction: visitors face a stern test

The Monza vs Napoli Prediction points towards an away victory, but Wednesday night may be more competitive than the prices imply. The Serie A Matchday 9 fixture begins at 19:45 GMT on October 28, 2026, with Monza hoping to turn their U-Power Stadium into an uncomfortable place for Napoli.

Different systems, similar pressure

Both clubs changed direction during the summer. Massimiliano Allegri replaced Antonio Conte at Napoli in July, taking charge of a squad balancing domestic football with Champions League demands. Ivan Jurić arrived at Monza in the same month after a short spell with Atalanta, bringing his familiar high-energy approach.

Jurić normally sets Monza up in a 3-4-2-1. They are expected to defend in a compact shape before attacking quickly into the spaces behind Napoli’s wing-backs. That strategy suits a team sitting around 16th but arriving with an encouraging record of scoring in seven consecutive matches. Monza have managed six home goals, although their defensive weaknesses remain difficult to ignore.

Napoli, positioned around eighth, have used a flat 3-5-2 under Allegri. Kevin De Bruyne has operated as a deeper playmaker beside Scott McTominay and Frank Anguissa, giving the visitors control and passing range through midfield. Allegri was direct when discussing the adjustment: he simply told De Bruyne where he would play and trusted him to understand the role.

The visitors have conceded only 10 league goals, yet recent games have been unusually wild: a 3-3 draw with Roma followed by a 4-3 Champions League win over Bodo/Glimt. Allegri also comes into this match after his controversial dismissal against Roma, so calm touchline management might be almost as valuable as midfield control.

Team news and likely absences

Monza’s injury list could limit Jurić’s options, particularly if the hosts need fresh legs late in the match.

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Statistics

Average / Match
Monza
Napoli
Expected GoalsMonza: 1.73Napoli: 1.81
Total GoalsMonza: 3.8Napoli: 3.3
Goals ScoredMonza: 1.9Napoli: 1.6
Goals AgainstMonza: 1.9Napoli: 1.7
PossessionMonza: 47%Napoli: 49%
Total ShotsMonza: 14.8Napoli: 15.3
Shots on GoalMonza: 6.3Napoli: 5.8
Shots off GoalMonza: 5.4Napoli: 5.5
FoulsMonza: 10.9Napoli: 9.4
CornersMonza: 4.9Napoli: 4.8
OffsidesMonza: 2.6Napoli: 2.5
Yellow CardsMonza: 1.22Napoli: 1.4
Total PassesMonza: 390Napoli: 482

Form

Overview Last 10 Matches
Monza
Napoli
WinsMonza: 3Napoli: 3
Over 1.5 GoalsMonza: 9Napoli: 7
Over 2.5 GoalsMonza: 8Napoli: 6
Over 3.5 GoalsMonza: 7Napoli: 4
Both Teams ScoredMonza: 8Napoli: 6
Unexpected WinsMonza: 0Napoli: 0
Unexpected LosesMonza: 0Napoli: 0

H2H

Total meetings 6
Monza
Napoli
1Wins
1Draws
4Wins
Recent meetings 6
2.5Goals per match
17%Both Teams Scored
33%Over 2.5 Goals
Apr 192025MonzaNapoli01
Sep 292024NapoliMonza20
Apr 072024MonzaNapoli24
Dec 292023NapoliMonza00
May 142023MonzaNapoli20
Aug 212022NapoliMonza40

Recent Matches

Standings

Italy - Serie A
# Team M G P
1 Inter 8 23-10 22
2 Lazio 8 16-5 22
3 AS Roma 8 19-6 18
4 AC Milan 8 16-7 18
5 Como 8 14-7 17
6 Frosinone 8 17-13 14
7 Juventus 8 11-8 14
8 Torino 8 13-11 13
9 Cagliari 8 6-9 13
10 Napoli 8 13-10 11
11 Atalanta 8 14-15 10
12 Lecce 8 9-14 9
13 Bologna 8 8-10 8
14 Sassuolo 8 12-16 8
15 Monza 8 15-18 7
16 Genoa 8 6-13 7
17 Udinese 8 9-18 4
18 Fiorentina 8 9-19 4
19 Parma 8 5-15 4
20 Venezia 8 6-17 3
Champions League league stage Europa League league stage Play-offs Relegation